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Old 12-13-2018, 05:12 AM   #1
Ray2000
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A Mohawk Trifecta test.

I'm posting a small 'Fun Run' on 20¢ Trifectas at Mohawk.

I'll use 4 horses in the Key PartWheel vs the 4-Box for a cost of $3.60 or $4.80 /race.

The picks are derived as a consensus from:

Mr Barnsdale (DRF)
Mr Hamilton (WEG Program)
Mr Bot (My Program)
Mr Post (Always picks 5 to Place and 6 to Show)

A scratch on any of the 4 picks, passes the race.


Thursday, Dec 13, Trifectas
Code:
R1	1 / 7,5,6
R2	5 / 7,3,6
R3	3 / 1,5,4
R4	4 / 8,1,5
R5	3 / 5,1,4
R6	7 / 6,2,5
R7	4 / 3,5,9
R8	6 / 1,3,9
R9	7 / 4,5,6
R10	3 / 10,1,5
If I could go back and rerun a year or two, I would but I don't have the public picks.
So we'll see how this goes as an experiment.
So far The KeyW is up $10 on 26 races but scoring starts today.
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Old 12-13-2018, 05:29 PM   #2
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Old 12-13-2018, 06:12 PM   #3
Bogo
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray2000 View Post
I'm posting a small 'Fun Run' on 20¢ Trifectas at Mohawk.

I'll use 4 horses in the Key PartWheel vs the 4-Box for a cost of $3.60 or $4.80 /race.

The picks are derived as a consensus from:

Mr Barnsdale (DRF)
Mr Hamilton (WEG Program)
Mr Bot (My Program)
Mr Post (Always picks 5 to Place and 6 to Show)

A scratch on any of the 4 picks, passes the race.


Thursday, Dec 13, Trifectas
Code:
R1	1 / 7,5,6
R2	5 / 7,3,6
R3	3 / 1,5,4
R4	4 / 8,1,5
R5	3 / 5,1,4
R6	7 / 6,2,5
R7	4 / 3,5,9
R8	6 / 1,3,9
R9	7 / 4,5,6
R10	3 / 10,1,5
If I could go back and rerun a year or two, I would but I don't have the public picks.
So we'll see how this goes as an experiment.
So far The KeyW is up $10 on 26 races but scoring starts today.
Last I saw the tri was a 27% takeout there. Is that a little steep or just the going rate at harness tracks?
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Old 12-13-2018, 07:30 PM   #4
Ray2000
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bogo View Post
Last I saw the tri was a 27% takeout there. Is that a little steep or just the going rate at harness tracks?
Trifecta rates are all high, Pocono is at 30%

But if you shop around and qualify for good rebates, all pools effectively become -11%

BTW
I played the key bet in the 1st, but not the box4
20¢ Box4 6-7-5 paid $141
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Old 12-14-2018, 05:20 AM   #5
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Results:

20¢ Trifectas, 12/13/18
7 Races with no scratch on pick
KeyWheel ...Bet 25.20 return 10.53
4Box...........Bet 33.60 return 151.80

Saturday 12/14/18 plays
Code:
R1		5 / 2,3,6
R2		6 / 4,5,2
R3		4 / 6,5,3
R4		6 / 4,5,2
R5		5 / 3,4,1
R6		9 / 8,5,10
R7		7 / 6,5,8
R8		7 / 6,1,3
R9		2 / 7,9,10
R10		7 / 3,5,10
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Old 12-15-2018, 05:56 AM   #6
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12/14/18 Results (Friday NOT Saturday )
20¢ Trifectas
8 Races with no scratch on pick
KeyWheel ...Bet 28.80 return 51.98
4Box...........Bet 38.40 return 51.98

Sat, 12/15/18 Plays. . .Lotsa 5's GLA
Code:
5 / 6,7,2
1 / 2,3,5
5 / 6,8,1
5 / 3,7,4
2 / 4,7,9
1 / 3,4,5
5 / 2,8,3
5 / 7,8,3
6 / 2,3,5
1 / 7,5,4
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Old 12-16-2018, 04:57 AM   #7
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Results:

12/15/18 Results

20¢ Trifectas
7 Races with no scratch on pick
KeyWheel
...Bet $25.20 Return $139.78
4Box
....Bet $33.60 Return $139.78


Race 1 Barnsdale and the Bot had #2 picked to place
The 2 won it, ($45.80) making the Trifecta 20¢ Price $117.39

Think I will change the box4 tracking to straight up A/BCD


Monday 12/17 Trifectas
Code:
R1		1 / 2,5,7
R2		5 / 3,6,1
R3		7 / 4,5,1
R4		7 / 6,2,5
R5		5 / 6,4,7
R6		5 / 3,4,6
R7		6 / 7,2,5
R8		6 / 5,2,8
R9		4 / 7,5,6
R10		6 / 2,8,5
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Old 12-18-2018, 05:21 AM   #8
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Results:

Hit 7 of 10 keywheels, box 4 did no better

Code:
R1	15.59
R2	
R3	5.66
R4	
R5	10.76
R6	13.67
R7	
R8	14.66
R9	14.41
R10	12.06

12/15/18 								
 10 Races with no scratch on pick				
KeyWheel 				
	Bet	 $36.00 	Return	 $86.81 
4Box				
	Bet	 $48.00 	Return	 $86.81
Will drop box 4 next Thursday
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Old 12-20-2018, 05:02 AM   #9
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Thursday 12/20 plays
Code:
R1		2 / 4,10,5
R2		7 / 8,5,6
R3		5 / 3,1,6
R4		9 / 2,1,5
R5		5 / 4,6,10
R6		2 / 3,5,6
R7		5 / 6,3,8
R8		1 / 6,3,5
R9		7 / 1,6,5
R10		8 / 10,7,5
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Old 12-21-2018, 04:38 AM   #10
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Results:

Thursday 12/20/18, just 1 hit
Code:
				
20¢ Trifectas				
 9 Races with no scratch on pick				
KeyWheel 				
	Bet	 $32.40 	Return	 $7.97 
4Box				
	Bet	 $43.20 	Return	 $7.97 


Friday 12/21 Key Part Wheel Trifectas
R1		5 / 9,3,4
R2		4 / 6,2,3
R3		7 / 5,6,1
R4		4 / 5,2,7
R5		4 / 6,8,10
R6		8 / 5,7,9
R7		7 / 9,5,6
R8		5 / 8,6,3
R9		8 / 3,4,5
R10		4 / 2,5,8
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Old 12-21-2018, 01:30 PM   #11
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Thumbs up

I was late to the post

saw the opt to make a P3
Cheap play that track
paid 110. so if that helps thanks u rock
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Old 12-22-2018, 06:15 AM   #12
Ray2000
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Way to go Spicy, good to see you posting on 'The Dark Side' again.

Yesterday's results, not so good
Box 4 almost got even with a 27$ collect in R7 6-9-8, Key missed the board

Code:
				
20¢ Trifectas				
 8 Races with no scratch on pick				
KeyWheel 				
	Bet	 $28.80 	Return	 $8.92 
4Box				
	Bet	 $38.40 	Return	 $36.17
Since tonight is a $352,873 mandatory payout Jackpot Hi-5 in R10 Here's the complete picks
Code:
Race1	Race2	Race3	Race4	Race5	Race6	Race7	Race8	Race9	Race10
Ray(Bot)
1	7	2	1	8	8	6	6	7	9
3	5	5	4	5	4	1	8	5	4
8	2	6	8	2	1	8	3	4	1
Barnsdale
3	4	1	4	8	4	8	8	1	4
1	7	3	3	6	8	7	2	7	1
9	6	6	1	2	5	10	3	9	5
Hamilton
3	7	5	4	6	4	1	8	7	9
9	4	2	1	8	8	8	9	4	5
1	6	7	3	5	5	9	3	3	4

Consensus
3	7	5	4	8	4	8	8	7	4
Saturday's Trifectas (last day of run)
3 / 1,9,5
7 / 4,5,6
5 / 2,1,6
4 / 1,3,5
8 / 6,5,2
4 / 8,5,1
8 / 1,6,5
8 / 6,3,2
7 / 5,1,4
4 / 9,5,1

Good Luck Everyone and

Merry Christmas and HNY
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Old 12-22-2018, 10:10 AM   #13
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Ray,EDZONE,Porkchop,Checkmark, and anyone else who made many a monday

a funday for me have a merry christmas or how ever you celebrate this season

make it be a wonderful time of the year for all.
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