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Old 06-08-2018, 04:03 PM   #16
BlueChip@DRF
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I like him (or did like him) but for a week now, as more and more jump on especially, it just screams warning: Wise Guy alert.

Apart from that as "superstition" because I'm sure a "Wise Guy" horse occasionally wins (I can't remember the last Triple Crown race where it did though) I always thought that Hofburg was crazy low odds. He should be 5 or 6 at the lowest, and probably 6 to 8 like Vino Rosso. Rosso has more wins and has the rest too, it is just odd for that gut feeling must be going for with Mott here, or the breeding; I can't explain it otherwise.
That Derby gallop-out (no one passed Justify on the gallop-out in the Preakness).... Mott's home track..... Tapit last 3-of-4..... Actually a 2nd start off the layoff....
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Old 06-08-2018, 04:36 PM   #17
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That Derby gallop-out (no one passed Justify on the gallop-out in the Preakness).... Mott's home track..... Tapit last 3-of-4..... Actually a 2nd start off the layoff....
I'd like to see him win, but I still can't believe the odds are hovering around 4-1
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Old 06-08-2018, 04:59 PM   #18
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I'd like to see him win, but I still can't believe the odds are hovering around 4-1
Who's the dumpty that set those odds? I was hoping/expecting 8-1 or so.
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Old 06-08-2018, 09:08 PM   #19
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Who's the dumpty that set those odds? I was hoping/expecting 8-1 or so.
The public.

https://www.belmontstakes.com/racing...akes-live-odds
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Old 06-08-2018, 09:12 PM   #20
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Old 06-08-2018, 11:11 PM   #21
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Vino Rosso is bit dead in the early betting, so is Gronkowski.
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Old 06-09-2018, 10:06 AM   #22
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Add to pluses: Hofburg is not void on the stamina wing (DP = 6-11-16-1-0, DI = 2.78, CD = 0.65), and indeed has the preferred "Classic shape" Dosage Profile.
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Old 06-09-2018, 11:37 AM   #23
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Does he have the right Ortiz on board?
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Old 06-09-2018, 11:53 AM   #24
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Does he have the right Ortiz on board?
Better than not having any on board. Either way, at least they are local.
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