7/15 Parx: Race 9

[PressThePace]

Interested to hear thoughts on Decesion Point regarding the probability of a bounce off of his last effort.

He trounced a similar field 17 days ago in his 3rd start off a layoff at odds of 17/1. That race was much tougher than his previous start, in which he finished 2nd at 7/1....which is by far the lowest odds showing in his last 10 starts. Thoughts???

[Stillriledup]

The horse is 22 1 0 4 at Parx....that race was at Penn Nat, i'd toss that line like it didn't happen and just look at what this horse did on today's surface.

But, that's just me and how i do things.

[HuggingTheRail]

I like the 1 - I think he can improve second time off the layoff, just worry that he will be hemmed in on the rail....

I tend not to get too excited by the sudden "big" number....I don't think the "cheaper" horses replicate them when they come from out of the blue...

[PressThePace]

Originally Posted by Stillriledup

The horse is 22 1 0 4 at Parx....that race was at Penn Nat, i'd toss that line like it didn't happen and just look at what this horse did on today's surface.

But, that's just me and how i do things.

He's not much better at Penn National.

[PressThePace]

Anybody notice that the front bandages came off in his last start?

There will be more differences than just change of scenery. They will travel an extra half furlong and the track condition will likely not be a fast track. If you look at the horse's record on a fast track, his line doesn't look that bad.

[PressThePace]

Originally Posted by HuggingTheRail

I like the 1 - I think he can improve second time off the layoff, just worry that he will be hemmed in on the rail....

I tend not to get too excited by the sudden "big" number....I don't think the "cheaper" horses replicate them when they come from out of the blue...

Interesting...same trainer.

[Stillriledup]

Originally Posted by PressThePace

Anybody notice that the front bandages came off in his last start?

There will be more differences than just change of scenery. They will travel an extra half furlong and the track condition will likely not be a fast track. If you look at the horse's record on a fast track, his line doesn't look that bad.

The horse had fronts last time, just a mistake in the DRF.

Also, its wet at Parx, this horse struggles in the wet with a 7 0 0 3 boxscore.

[Robert Fischer]

the only thing that I see is that the is probably an underlay

[Robert Fischer]

[PressThePace]

was already improving form wise, add the trainer change and BAM!

[Maximillion]

Originally Posted by PressThePace

add the trainer change and BAM!

thats parx in 6 words.

[PressThePace]

Originally Posted by Maximillion

thats parx in 6 words.

So true!