Tapwrit out for exercise
On paper, the horse should win by daylight. He's had a year to heel his hoof, and horses get stronger at four years of age. It's the Belmont winner against allowance horses and a Grade 3 winner. The horse breezed a 59-3 5 furlong workout on the training track, fastest of the day. By all rights, it should win this for fun.
So why did Pletcher also enter You're To Blame? If Tapwrit is going to destroy this field, why settle for, at best, the roughly $16k in second-place prize money. There must be other spots to enter the horse, and it looks like it needs an easier race than this one. Pletcher knows how to spot horses. Why enter it here?
The answer I came up with is that Tapwrit isn't quite ready for prime time. If the horse can win under his own courage, without any serious urging from Ortiz, he will certainly win, but it sure looks like the horse is being sent for a workout today and pointed towards something in the future.
Since Tapwrit will probably go off at about 1/2 odds when the whales and CRW dudes get done slurping, I will make a nice hit if it doesn't win. I could be wrong, but that's the way I'm going.
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