Louisiana Derby PPs

[luisbe]

Originally Posted by Afleet

can't find a place to play and online is illegal. All tracks/OTBs in OK, IA, ARK, MN, Ellis Park, Fairmount in Illinois closed to the public. Waiting on NE. Didn't realize what an addicted gambler I was

Make an etransfer to a friend that can bet in another state.

[minethatbird08]

Originally Posted by Afleet

can't find a place to play and online is illegal. All tracks/OTBs in OK, IA, ARK, MN, Ellis Park, Fairmount in Illinois closed to the public. Waiting on NE. Didn't realize what an addicted gambler I was

Get a VPN. I use Nord VPN, recommended by a friend that does programming. I can use it on up to 6 devices, instal was easy, can turn on and off as needed. Regardless, I’m sure there are others out there. Full disclosure is I haven’t tried using it with TwinSpires yet.

[Blenheim]

Terribly interesting race, close data clusters . . . difficult to decipher; tough one. I don’t have a high level of confidence with any of the entrants thus far. It appears to be a trip race or jockey race.

I think Chestertown has a legit shot weren’t he so green - “Chestertown broke a length slowly, was last into the first turn and appeared to not corner well while keen to go on racing …” Can’t still be workin’ on fundamentals and expect to win a G2 race - but Johnny V up could make a difference and he worked well in company w/Silver State the last four.

I think the early pace will be key in this one. That quarter mile run to the first turn may tell the tale . . .

[boys at tosconova]

Originally Posted by Blenheim

Terribly interesting race, close data clusters . . . difficult to decipher; tough one. I don’t have a high level of confidence with any of the entrants thus far. It appears to be a trip race or jockey race.

I think Chestertown has a legit shot weren’t he so green - “Chestertown broke a length slowly, was last into the first turn and appeared to not corner well while keen to go on racing …” Can’t still be workin’ on fundamentals and expect to win a G2 race - but Johnny V up could make a difference and he worked well in company w/Silver State the last four.

I think the early pace will be key in this one. That quarter mile run to the first turn may tell the tale . . .

the way i see it, how can u play chester if u don't at least include the other horses in the same race...

[boys at tosconova]

i have to include the 14 on my speed tix 1-2-3-11-14.

the horse is just working for this race strongly. it looks like he could have a rocket up his ass with all those 5f worx

[Afleet]

Originally Posted by minethatbird08

Get a VPN. I use Nord VPN, recommended by a friend that does programming. I can use it on up to 6 devices, instal was easy, can turn on and off as needed. Regardless, I’m sure there are others out there. Full disclosure is I haven’t tried using it with TwinSpires yet.

I use opera that has a built in VPN. Websites think I'm in Europe somewhere

[Afleet]

this is an excellent race and many seem to figure. I like Silver State, Farmington Road (may not draw in). Shake some action has Tiznow, Kris S on bottom of pedigree so should like going long. Irad on Portos. Cedillo on Royal act. There are many ways you could go here. Think Silver State may go off higher than ML. Pace should be decent. Excellent betting race. Favorite goes off at 9/2?

[f2tornado]

Originally Posted by Afleet

Irad on Portos.

Irad said today is done until the outbreak clears.

[boys at tosconova]

this just in.....the 5 is the only unplayable horse

[Blenheim]

Modernist to win the Louisiana.

~

Ebx:

Tri: //

[boys at tosconova]

Originally Posted by Blenheim

Modernist to win the Louisiana.

~

Ebx:

Tri: //

have you ever once in your life ever cashed an exacta of 13/14?..in 40 years of betting i'm pretty sure i have not

[CheckMark]

Race 12: Twinspires Louisiana Derby G2 $1,000,000 1 3/16 Miles (Dirt)

#3 WELLS BAYOU 8-1
#13 SILVER STATE 6-1

This year's Louisiana Derby does not have a lot of early speed here but does have the majority of the horses that will be off the pace this afternoon. Looking to get some prices home with #3 WELLS BAYOU (8-1) and #13 SILVER STATE(6-1), and they do look respected. ‘BAYOU has been back and forth between Oaklawn and Keeneland and this will be his first time shipping in to take a shot. Almost won the G3 Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn last out and just got run down by the winner of that race which was Silver Prospector at odds of 8-1, which he is the same odds today. A lot of things to like about this horse would be that both Trainer(Cox) and Jockey(Geroux) have high % of wins, especially when they team up(7-2-2-0). Also,he does have the Best Dirt speed in this race which is the fastest among today’s starters. His late pace figures do match par and I think this effort can prove he is a likely candidit for the Kentucky Derby, which has now been planned for September 5th. My other win selection is #13 SILVER STATE. Since arriving here at Fair Grounds, ‘STATE has yet to win, but has been in the money since. The Risen Star was very fast late and this caused him to hold position but never gained turning for home. Another excellent Trainer(Asmussen) and Jockey (Santana Jr) that will hook up here to win. Watch out that Asmussen is 26% with Beaten favourites. Another horse to look for late due to his Late Pace figures last 3 (98,100,99) are way over par (90).

WPS on and
EXA and TRI BOX
Super Key //ALL/ALL


Good luck and hopefully this race can still run

[boys at tosconova]

my problem with the 13 is not that he doesn't figure. it's that he'll have to come from last or almost last to do it.


how on earth does it pass all those horses, some which as good as him.

[groupie doll]

FG12

Wells Bayou ftw
_________________________________
and for fun the rest of the stakes races today:

FG1 CC Derby
FG3 CC Oaks
FG6 Costa Rising
FG8 Benson Mem
FG9 NO Classic
FG10 Muniz Mem
FG11 FG Oaks

[kingfin66]

I really like this race a lot.

EX Key Box: with

TRI Part Wheel: with with

WIN: Wire-to-Wire

I am also considering taking some exacta boxes:










Good luck. It's nice that we get some national racing coverage today.

Don't sleep on the .