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Old 01-05-2019, 08:42 AM   #5236
timtam
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I didn't see you posted it but I had it because I downloaded the entire card.

Anyway it was a terrific hit and I'm glad you shared it. I on the other hand

kept it to my selfish self
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Old 01-05-2019, 04:04 PM   #5237
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SA EXOTIC BETS! TIP SHEET 01-05

Glad you got it, Tim! Gonna try 4 wagers @ SA today using the EXOTIC BETS! PROGRAM--plus a small pick-3
.











*4TH RACE PICK-3 -//-//-

Last edited by NorCalGreg; 01-05-2019 at 04:07 PM.
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Old 01-06-2019, 04:46 AM   #5238
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Whosonfirst View Post
Greg, Nobody can say that you don't show any of your picks for your systems before the race. Been at this a long time, and haven't seen anyone else ever do that, well except maybe that kid from Canada. Happy New Year.
Never really thought about it, Trace. I'm fairly certain Platinum, Exotic, and Best-Five can improve a fair to struggling horse player's bottom line-- with some effort on his part. So I post picks in advance to prove it.

It's slightly embarrassing when I whiff for the day...but that happens to every handicapper. Luckily it's not often.

Thanks Trace

-NCG
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Old 01-07-2019, 03:58 AM   #5239
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MVR 01-07

.

MVR SELECTIONS

3RD- SEEING'N'BELIEVING 3-1

4TH- TOMATOE BISQUE 5-1

5TH- PURPLE FLOWERS 3-1

6TH- ARAZI LIKE MOVE 4-1

7TH- TERREL'S PEN PAL 8-1

Maybe mix in some of your own picks with some of these--NCG
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Old 01-07-2019, 08:12 PM   #5240
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Mannnnnnnnn....didn't come close to anything today. I think 4 of 5 picks were top Platinum Power.....and Top Prime Power as well. Usually horses with top power on both win 50-60%, but at very short unprofitable odds.

I have no explanation for Radar Vision or some of the others winning today. Wasn't that long ago we were killing this track with the HOT LIST. Don't know what changed--but something did.
It's not the muddy or dry track, either.
20cent pick-6:
$6.80
$6.20
$4.20
$9.00
$6.20
$7.60


-paid $521.58 --not a winner in double figures. I'm either gonna give up on MVR--or join them in the pick-6
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Old 01-08-2019, 12:21 AM   #5241
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Tue MVR

.
Okay...I'll give it a whirl til I get bored. Using EXOTIC BETS and other tools---we'll see what happens:


$0.20 Pick-6: 3,5,6 / 2,3,9 / 9 / 4,10 / 8,10 / 3,9

Bets: 72 Total: $14.40



...and a $1 pick-3 start r-7


$1 Pick-3:
10 / 1,10,12 / 3,9,10

Bets: 9 Total: $9
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Old 01-08-2019, 04:04 PM   #5242
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Just received this email from a Platinum user:

Greg,

Don’t know if you have stats for this, but your top power number @ 8-1 ML or more has shown a profit for me for over 2 years. If I could just wait for those I’d be set!

All the best,

Steve




I've mentioned previously I personally use 10-1 without handicapping--NCG
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Old 01-08-2019, 07:26 PM   #5243
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg View Post
Just received this email from a Platinum user:

Greg,

Don’t know if you have stats for this, but your top power number @ 8-1 ML or more has shown a profit for me for over 2 years. If I could just wait for those I’d be set!

All the best,

Steve


I've mentioned previously I personally use 10-1 without handicapping--NCG



And I use 6/1 and get more plays but a lower ROI, make it up on volume
hate to miss one of those $15 horses
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Old 01-08-2019, 08:52 PM   #5244
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Portland Meadows

.
You can begin online wagering here on the west coast @ 3AM--that's what I usually do. This morning forgot all about it--and by noon it's too late for any early wagers. I missed playing my exotics @ MVR, but happened to notice Portland Meadows was running.
Best-Five usually does really well there (strangely--it generally sucks @ Emerald). Decided to get a data file for Portland, and play the late Pick-3 for $1. I usually use the consensus 3 picks per race.

Wish I had played the pick-5--20cents using all 3 consensus picks per race. It costs less than $50. As it was I played 3x3x3 pick-3 straight out of the consensus-- for a buck.

.


*not bad for a $39.99 program...just find out where it works best--test it on paper for awhile--NCG
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Old 01-09-2019, 02:48 AM   #5245
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These exactas are from a program that was never released. I just played them on paper as 3-horse $2 exacta boxes. It showed a nice profit for 6 out of the 7 days I tested it.

So naturally when I post them, they'll most likely bomb--that's the way it seems to go, usually. This is before scratches and there's bound to be some. I'll post results for your perusal afterward sometime.

There is also a spot play that looks decent--we'll see:


MVR EXACTAS

1ST - 1- 5- 7
2ND- 1- 2- 6
3RD- 1- 5- 7
4TH- 2- 6-10
5TH- 2- 6- 8
6TH- 1- 6- 11
7TH- 1-10-11
8TH- 1- 7- 10
9TH- 7- 8- 12


MVR SPOT PLAYS

1ST- FILLY RIDE 9/2
4TH- EIGHTH COMMANDMENT 7/2
7TH- ARATHORN 2-1
8TH- CANYON CREED 7/2
8TH- STU MO 4-1
9TH- RACY EMBRACE 3-1
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Old 01-09-2019, 12:59 PM   #5246
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Greg,
I see you hit the first exacta but my question is Where or what are you using

to get these plays. I'm always tinkering and juggling things so are these plays

coming from one of your pace methods?
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Old 01-09-2019, 07:09 PM   #5247
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10-1 shot TUP

Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg View Post
Just received this email from a Platinum user:

Greg,

Don’t know if you have stats for this, but your top power number @ 8-1 ML or more has shown a profit for me for over 2 years. If I could just wait for those I’d be set!

All the best,

Steve




I've mentioned previously I personally use 10-1 without handicapping--NCG


Today I nailed one @ TUP. "Longshot 2" is any top power horse @ 10-1 or better. You don't have to look for one--click that button and if there is one, it's right there.
.

.
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Old 01-09-2019, 08:01 PM   #5248
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Quote:
Originally Posted by timtam View Post
Greg,
I see you hit the first exacta but my question is Where or what are you using

to get these plays. I'm always tinkering and juggling things so are these plays

coming from one of your pace methods?
No...this is the first time I posted anything from that method--It was never completed due to financial disagreement with the programmer. I had everything else completed -- except the main spot play/method. I'm always looking for different methods that I can change up and improve....and sometimes I get lucky. Other times whatever it was ends up being a big waste of time.

-NCG
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Old 01-11-2019, 04:16 AM   #5249
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Santa Anita 4th MSW

.

.

.
Two interesting maidens running @ SA 4th race MSW. They both are PLATINUM Top Power Longshot picks. It's rare to ever see two Longshot (top power & 10-1 +) picks from the same race.

The thing is how similar they are: Carla Gaines is trainer for JOURNAL ENTRY--while Leonard Powell trains WAZE READY. Both trainers have a dirt-to-turf positive ROI, both horses came out of the same race 4 weeks ago @ Los Al.

The running lines there are almost exactly the same. When I see even calls like that--often the following race is a strong effort. Especially going longer.

Also for you Pops/Tips fans out there...BOTH show a 4-race ODDS POP...odds dropping 4 races in a row. Look for yourself--you don't often see that pattern.

It's a good sign neither is dropping in class, as well. This one is tough to figure--If you put a gun to my head, I would have to take the Carla Gaines horse Journal Entry.

Still... I'll put down an identical win wager on both--and make a small exacta box on them.


-NCG
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Old 01-11-2019, 08:32 PM   #5250
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SA 1-11

.
Carla Gaines scratched all 3 of her entries today--AFTER wagering opened. Hope she had a good reason--I didn't hear why.
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