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Old 01-06-2018, 11:12 AM   #211
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Gulfstream Race #1:


Fox Rox 10-1


Got to think the last was a needed race. In for a tag today and if you ignore the last race you have some solid speed figures for this group.


Race #4:


Starship Rocky 10-1


I see a high figure 2 back, but that was in the slop. Given a short break and reinforced that figure on this surface, and notice he missed the break in that one.

Race #10:


Bal Harbour 9-2


Highest last race figure, Pletcher and Johnny V. Second off the lay off and just keeps improving.
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Old 01-07-2018, 11:42 AM   #212
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Gulfstream Race #8:


I'm Pretty Strong 10-1


Does not look to be a strong field and trainer is solid. Lezcano is the first to give her a try. Solid works leading up to debut.
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Old 01-07-2018, 01:46 PM   #213
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I'll use yours with Motion's , 2TS, FTL.
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Old 01-07-2018, 09:05 PM   #214
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Laurel Race #7:


Power Of Snunner 10-1


8 yr old is a tough one. Race off the break was a sprint and not a bad run. Can't help but think that was the prep for this one. Running style fits the track and notice most of the speed is drawn inside of this one.


Race #8:


El Areeb 15-1


The Withers runner is doing what I always thought he should do. Sprint. Got to know the track in last in a 7f affair, and cuts back to 6 today. 4 works since last and is back with McCarthy.
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Old 01-10-2018, 12:04 AM   #215
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Gulfstream Race #2:


Frosty The Dragon 8-1

All the picks today are the same type of horse. Catch me if you can.

Race #6

Billy The Bull 9-2

Race #8:

Mr Joshua 6-1

Race #10

Prince of England 8-1
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Old 01-11-2018, 09:39 AM   #216
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Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Gulfstream Race #2:


Frosty The Dragon 8-1

All the picks today are the same type of horse. Catch me if you can.

Race #6

Billy The Bull 9-2

Race #8:

Mr Joshua 6-1

Race #10

Prince of England 8-1
One scratch and 2 of three were winners. Not bad but there was one thing missing in the winners, price.
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Old 01-11-2018, 09:48 AM   #217
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Gulfstream Race #4:


Cordele 6-1


Ton of speed in this one, outside draw and has tactical speed. Class is a question, but if you judge class by wins, she is 3 for 3 at this distance on the turf.


Race #7:


Lucky Switch 10-1


Solid trainer and jockey team up here. Off the pace runner tries the turf for the first time. Race sets up well for the running style. Drop in class might get her over the top.
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Old 01-11-2018, 10:17 AM   #218
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Hey Jay,


There are only 10 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct which makes up only 14.9% of the entire card
Code:
RowNum:    Date:    Race:    PgmNum:    Horse:    RaceCond:    Distance:    Trainer:    Odds:    Surface:
1    01-11-2018    1st race    2    Holland Park (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    One And One Eighth Miles    K P McLaughlin    4/5#    Dirt
2    01-11-2018    2nd race    2    All Clear (KY)    Starter Allowance     Six Furlongs    D Gargan    7/5#    Dirt
3    01-11-2018    3rd race    1    Frost Wise (NY)    Stakes    One And One Eighth Miles    M Dilger    8/5#    Dirt
4    01-11-2018    3rd race    4    Frostie Anne (NY)    Stakes    One And One Eighth Miles    R R Rodriguez    2/1#    Dirt
5    01-11-2018    3rd race    5    Riot Worthy (NY)    Stakes    One And One Eighth Miles    C Baker    5/2#    Dirt
6    01-11-2018    4th race    5    Stan the Man (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    J P Terranova II    2/1#    Dirt
7    01-11-2018    4th race    7    Preservationist (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    J A Jerkens    6/5#    Dirt
8    01-11-2018    5th race    6    Maddizaskar (KY)    Claiming    One Mile    J T Toscano Jr.    9/5#    Dirt
9    01-11-2018    6th race    3    Northern (FL)    Claiming    Six And One Half Furlongs    W A Ward    2/1#    Dirt
10    01-11-2018    8th race    1    Westwood (KY)    Allowance    Six And One Half Furlongs    K P McLaughlin    9/5#    Dirt
So I would venture a guess and say that win prices should be good today for any long shots that you come up with for the card!!!

I'm leaning on Gargan, Rodriguez, and J P (Terra Squad) Terranova for today's chalk!!!
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Old 01-11-2018, 10:49 AM   #219
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
Hey Jay,


There are only 10 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct which makes up only 14.9% of the entire card
Code:
RowNum:    Date:    Race:    PgmNum:    Horse:    RaceCond:    Distance:    Trainer:    Odds:    Surface:
1    01-11-2018    1st race    2    Holland Park (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    One And One Eighth Miles    K P McLaughlin    4/5#    Dirt
2    01-11-2018    2nd race    2    All Clear (KY)    Starter Allowance     Six Furlongs    D Gargan    7/5#    Dirt
3    01-11-2018    3rd race    1    Frost Wise (NY)    Stakes    One And One Eighth Miles    M Dilger    8/5#    Dirt
4    01-11-2018    3rd race    4    Frostie Anne (NY)    Stakes    One And One Eighth Miles    R R Rodriguez    2/1#    Dirt
5    01-11-2018    3rd race    5    Riot Worthy (NY)    Stakes    One And One Eighth Miles    C Baker    5/2#    Dirt
6    01-11-2018    4th race    5    Stan the Man (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    J P Terranova II    2/1#    Dirt
7    01-11-2018    4th race    7    Preservationist (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    J A Jerkens    6/5#    Dirt
8    01-11-2018    5th race    6    Maddizaskar (KY)    Claiming    One Mile    J T Toscano Jr.    9/5#    Dirt
9    01-11-2018    6th race    3    Northern (FL)    Claiming    Six And One Half Furlongs    W A Ward    2/1#    Dirt
10    01-11-2018    8th race    1    Westwood (KY)    Allowance    Six And One Half Furlongs    K P McLaughlin    9/5#    Dirt
So I would venture a guess and say that win prices should be good today for any long shots that you come up with for the card!!!

I'm leaning on Gargan, Rodriguez, and J P (Terra Squad) Terranova for today's chalk!!!
The percentages were before scratches
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Old 01-12-2018, 12:24 AM   #220
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Gulfstream Race #8:


One Direction Song 15-1


Try to steel this one. Looks like this race has some speed in it. Rail is out for this one and I like the speed on the turf when the rail is out. If you think a speed duel is in order in this race, look again. The other speed won its last race, on Wednesday.

Race #9:


Diddley 12-1


Dirt to turf is hard to judge, but the running style helps. Gets a hot jockey and the outside post puts this guy in a ideal stalking situation.

Aqueduct Race #7:


Dream Fever 6-1


Second off for a trainer that hits good here. Need the lead type can go wire to wire here.


Race #9:


Queen Apollo 8-1


Beat by the favorite in last while wide and the other got a much better trip. Even with the outside draw, has less competition for the lead here and turns the table.
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Old 01-12-2018, 09:25 AM   #221
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Gulfstream Race #8:


One Direction Song 15-1


Try to steel this one. Looks like this race has some speed in it. Rail is out for this one and I like the speed on the turf when the rail is out. If you think a speed duel is in order in this race, look again. The other speed won its last race, on Wednesday.

Race #9:


Diddley 12-1


Dirt to turf is hard to judge, but the running style helps. Gets a hot jockey and the outside post puts this guy in a ideal stalking situation.

Aqueduct Race #7:


Dream Fever 6-1


Second off for a trainer that hits good here. Need the lead type can go wire to wire here.


Race #9:


Queen Apollo 8-1


Beat by the favorite in last while wide and the other got a much better trip. Even with the outside draw, has less competition for the lead here and turns the table.
Hey Jay

There are quite a number of Morning Line Favorites today at Aqueduct
Code:

RowNum:	Date:	Race:	PgmNum:	Horse:	RaceCond:	Distance:	Trainer:	Odds:	Surface:
1	01-12-2018	1st race	5	Hembree (KY)	Starter Allowance	One Mile	R R Rodriguez	2/1#	Dirt
2	01-12-2018	1st race	6	Vilma (KY)	Starter Allowance	One Mile	L Rice	9/5#	Dirt
3	01-12-2018	2nd race	1	Cocktail Countess (KY)	Maiden Claiming	Six And One Half Furlongs	L Rice	2/1#	Dirt
4	01-12-2018	2nd race	8	Solitary Gem (KY)	Maiden Claiming	Six And One Half Furlongs	L Gyarmati	7/5#	Dirt
5	01-12-2018	3rd race	1	Cotton Candy Cutie (NY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	One And One Eighth Miles	R R Rodriguez	6/5#	Dirt
6	01-12-2018	3rd race	4	Connie A (NY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	One And One Eighth Miles	T A Pletcher	5/2#	Dirt
7	01-12-2018	4th race	5	War Eagles Return (KY)	Claiming	Six Furlongs	C J Englehart	2/1#	Dirt
8	01-12-2018	4th race	7	Afleet Martini (KY)	Claiming	Six Furlongs	J C Englehart	5/2#	Dirt
9	01-12-2018	5th race	1	Bluegrass Prevails (NY)	Claiming	Six Furlongs	R R Rodriguez	5/2#	Dirt
10	01-12-2018	6th race	1	Impazible Creek (NY)	Maiden Claiming	Six Furlongs	J C Kimmel	6/5#	Dirt
11	01-12-2018	6th race	1A	Impazible Woman (NY)	Maiden Claiming	Six Furlongs	J C Kimmel	6/5#	Dirt
12	01-12-2018	7th race	5	Acquainted (KY)	Starter Allowance	Seven Furlongs	L Rice	8/5#	Dirt
13	01-12-2018	8th race	4	Holiday Disguise (NY)	Stakes	Seven Furlongs	L Rice	5/2#	Dirt
14	01-12-2018	8th race	6	Quezon (NY)	Stakes	Seven Furlongs	R Ribaudo	7/5#	Dirt
However, they only make up 18.9% of the entire card before scratches

So I think your longshots have a chance today provided the card can carry at least 60+ entrants

If the total card goes down toward the mid to low 50s things might get chalky we’ll see!!!
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Old 01-12-2018, 12:43 PM   #222
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I've been tracking D S Lalman on the wet stuff for a while at Aqueduct

He had a $69 number in 2014



Let's see if he can hit the board with this one in the 7th

7th race
#7 Blushing Justine

Let's see if he can sneak this one in and hit the board at a price!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 01-12-2018 at 12:45 PM.
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Old 01-13-2018, 11:02 AM   #223
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Hey Jay
There are only 9 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct

Which makes up only 14% of the entire card
Code:
RowNum:	Date:	Race:	PgmNum:	Horse:	RaceCond:	Distance:	Trainer:	Odds:	Surface:
1	01-13-2018	1st race	2	Praetereo (KY)	Claiming	One And One Fourth Miles	R R Rodriguez	5/2#	Dirt
2	01-13-2018	2nd race	5	Belleville Spring (NY)	Maiden Special Weight	Six Furlongs	G Weaver	8/5#	Dirt
3	01-13-2018	3rd race	2	T R Crew (PA)	Allowance Optional Claiming	One Mile	D G Donk	2/1#	Dirt
4	01-13-2018	3rd race	3	Pioneer Spirit (KY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	One Mile	B H Cox	8/5#	Dirt
5	01-13-2018	4th race	6	Tammany Giant (NY)	Maiden Claiming	Six Furlongs	J T Toscano Jr.	5/2#	Dirt
6	01-13-2018	5th race	4	My Boy Tate (NY)	Stakes	Seven Furlongs	M Nevin	5/2#	Dirt
7	01-13-2018	6th race	2	Polar City (KY)	Claiming	One Mile	J C Englehart	5/2#	Dirt
8	01-13-2018	7th race	8	Shimmering Moon (NY)	Allowance	Six And One Half Furlongs	M Nevin	5/2#	Dirt
9	01-13-2018	8th race	7	Firenze Fire (FL)	Stakes	One Mile	J Servis	3/5#	Dirt
So your longshots should do well today!!!

I’m leaning towards Rodriguez and Nevin’s horses less than 3-1 in the Morning Line today!!!
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Old 01-13-2018, 11:21 AM   #224
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Thanks Oracle

Aqueduct Race #7:


Bow Town Cat 15-1


Last time this one was second off the layoff at this distance, she recorded the highest figure in the race.
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Old 01-14-2018, 12:09 PM   #225
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Aqueduct Race #3:


My Rose of Savanna 12-1

Claimed in first start of life after finishing within a length of a 2 time winner. Moved across the country and caught a sloppy track in second start. Gets a fast track today and can return to the stalk and pounce of first race.


Status Asthmaticus 15-1


Tried to wire a higher class in first start of life. Gets some class relief for second start and can improve off the first try.
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