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09-15-2013, 05:21 PM
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#1
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Dead money
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Baltimore
Posts: 3,838
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Baseball gambling angle
Game after football game when they have to remake the mound.....games go over 74.3 percent.......makes sense
__________________
Bustout degenerate gambler
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09-15-2013, 05:53 PM
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#2
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Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2012
Posts: 1,244
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wiffleball whizz
Game after football game when they have to remake the mound.....games go over 74.3 percent.......makes sense
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Wiff teams don play on the same field anymore...if im wrong please list them.
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09-15-2013, 05:59 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Orlando, Fl
Posts: 804
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I think Oakland is the only one.
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09-15-2013, 06:04 PM
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#4
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Dead money
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Baltimore
Posts: 3,838
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheEdge07
Wiff teams don play on the same field anymore...if im wrong please list them.
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Oakland all that I know of........
__________________
Bustout degenerate gambler
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09-15-2013, 06:17 PM
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#5
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 25,607
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Here's how you win money betting baseball.
Bet against top pitchers who "hit the wall" and get tired. Verlander was a great example this year, he was having a bad year, you would have done really well betting against him, almost blindly. A pitcher is like a racehorse, when they run out of steam, a good nights sleep isnt going to get their arm fully charged and ready to go 5 days later. When they're done, they're DONE for the immediate future. Great pitchers find ways to eventually bounce back, but when the tank is on E, you can bet against that guy until further notice.
Now, the key is that you can't mistakenly think a guy is "done" if he has a bad game and gives up a ton of runs...that's bound to happen to anyone, you have to actually watch the games, watch how he pitches, watch the body language and watch the velocity and see if that velocity drops off.
Its not easy to sniff out a "tired" pitcher or a tired bullpen, but if you can do it, its a good skill to have.
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09-16-2013, 05:16 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wiffleball whizz
Game after football game when they have to remake the mound.....games go over 74.3 percent.......makes sense
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I love this angle. You had a thread awhile back about late MLB underdogs and I'm a firm believer in that. I've been picking spots, just a game here and there. I was already looking at the Angels-A's game, which fits your scenario as the Raiders hosted the Jags yesterday. There's one added benefit: A's starter Jarrod Parker was supposed to pitch yesterday but was a late scratch due to stomach flu. Back on the mound tonight, one can't help but wonder if Parker's reserves will be depleted. Angels have won 5 out of last 6 so they are also a live doggie.
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09-16-2013, 05:38 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 1,336
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Valuist
I love this angle. You had a thread awhile back about late MLB underdogs and I'm a firm believer in that. I've been picking spots, just a game here and there. I was already looking at the Angels-A's game, which fits your scenario as the Raiders hosted the Jags yesterday. There's one added benefit: A's starter Jarrod Parker was supposed to pitch yesterday but was a late scratch due to stomach flu. Back on the mound tonight, one can't help but wonder if Parker's reserves will be depleted. Angels have won 5 out of last 6 so they are also a live doggie.
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I agree on the Angels tonight and got +128.
Good luck
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09-16-2013, 05:46 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bettowin
I agree on the Angels tonight and got +128.
Good luck
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Good luck to you. I also like the fact that Wilson has good numbers vs individual A's hitters. A's hitters have 238 at bats vs Wilson and are hitting a meager .181.
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09-16-2013, 05:49 PM
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#9
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 25,607
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Valuist
I love this angle. You had a thread awhile back about late MLB underdogs and I'm a firm believer in that. I've been picking spots, just a game here and there. I was already looking at the Angels-A's game, which fits your scenario as the Raiders hosted the Jags yesterday. There's one added benefit: A's starter Jarrod Parker was supposed to pitch yesterday but was a late scratch due to stomach flu. Back on the mound tonight, one can't help but wonder if Parker's reserves will be depleted. Angels have won 5 out of last 6 so they are also a live doggie.
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The Angels have essentially "quit" on the year. Their wins vs Houston don't count, everyone beats Houston at least 2 out of 3...i find it hard for me to bet against a team who's 'locked in' and playing playoff baseball and is an elite team in the MLB to a team like the Angels who have underachieved as badly as a team can underachieve due to the talent they have. I wouldnt trust the Angels to be able to "capitalize" on a situation like you describe above. Now, with that said, i'm not recommending a bet on the A's, just suggesting be careful with LAA, they're dog***t and completely unreliable.
The next time Jered Weaver pitches he's a great bet against..he had terrible body language on the mound vs a AAA team in Houston, maybe he's a pitcher to keep an eye on, i wasnt impressed with his individual performance the other day.
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09-16-2013, 05:53 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: On The Bay
Posts: 9,857
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Nats game cancelled tonight due to shootings in DC
__________________
I wouldn't say I drink too much but my mother did tell me that my first words were" when does happy hour start"?
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09-16-2013, 05:57 PM
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#11
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 25,607
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cj's dad
Nats game cancelled tonight due to shootings in DC
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Was the shooting at the stadium?
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09-16-2013, 06:07 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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Getting back to the original angle, maybe one of the Canadian posters knows the answer to this: do the Argonauts play at the Sky Dome/Rogers Center? They also would qualify, and the Bills play one game a year there, although it could be after MLB is over.
Also, stadiums like Wrigley and Yankee Stadium host concerts. Have to think the mound would have to be reconstructed then, as well.
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09-16-2013, 06:17 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 5,005
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Baseball gambling angle
Quote:
Originally Posted by Stillriledup
Was the shooting at the stadium?
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The stadium is just a few blocks away from the Navy Yard.
I like the Mets tonight to not lose; they're off.
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09-16-2013, 06:28 PM
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#14
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Dead money
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Baltimore
Posts: 3,838
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Bad mound angle has to be looked into more.......10-15 years ago there was a ton of 2 stadium teams
__________________
Bustout degenerate gambler
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09-16-2013, 09:18 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Stillriledup
Was the shooting at the stadium?
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Has anyone accounted for Gilbert Arenas?
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