2020 US Presidential election odds

[lamboguy]

Originally Posted by fast4522

After this year you won't want to do this much more.

i like staying up with this every 4 years because i am a complete political atheist and it gives me a reason to follow the election because i don't vote and deserve whatever i get at the end.

if you have a problem with that, just say something and i will stop posting it. i don't want to offend anyone.

[hcap]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

i like staying up with this every 4 years because i am a complete political atheist and it gives me a reason to follow the election because i don't vote and deserve whatever i get at the end.

if you have a problem with that, just say something and i will stop posting it. i don't want to offend anyone.

At the moment it is extremely unlikely Trump will take it. However if he does win and you cash a decent bet, you in fact, will get what you deserve..... IN the end

[biggestal99]

Originally Posted by biggestal99

It’s like when you are at a Uk track and going up to the bookies
They are begging you to back trump and lay biden.

With the exchange, it’s making money NOT who is actually going to win.

Allan

I wrote this when trump was on the drift back on March 7, 2020

That’s what so great about peer to peer betting.

No one wants to lose money.

Right now the market it stable

Biden 1.70
Trump 2.80

Biden the clear and overwhelming favorite to be the next president.

Trump has done nothing to move the needle back.

Until he actually does something and not just talk about something I don’t see the needle moving back.

Allan

[ElKabong]

Don't trust polls. Since ditching a land line for a cellphone, I've never once been polled by phone. I vote,, yet in the past 15 yrs pollsters have passed me by.

Right before the 2018 midterms, one person did knock on my door and ask how I was going to vote, "and why?" If this is how they poll now, it's an inaccurate method. Most people won't open up to someone they don't know in regards to voting

[boxcar]

Originally Posted by biggestal99

I wrote this when trump was on the drift back on March 7, 2020

That’s what so great about peer to peer betting.

No one wants to lose money.

Right now the market it stable

Biden 1.70
Trump 2.80

Biden the clear and overwhelming favorite to be the next president.

Trump has done nothing to move the needle back.

Until he actually does something and not just talk about something I don’t see the needle moving back.

Allan

Good little sheeple! Just follow the conventional wisdom of the crowd. How does that work out for you in betting the ponies?

[biggestal99]

Originally Posted by ElKabong

Don't trust polls. Since ditching a land line for a cellphone, I've never once been polled by phone. I vote,, yet in the past 15 yrs pollsters have passed me by.

Right before the 2018 midterms, one person did knock on my door and ask how I was going to vote, "and why?" If this is how they poll now, it's an inaccurate method. Most people won't open up to someone they don't know in regards to voting

It’s not polls, it’s peer to peer betting.

Allan

[biggestal99]

Originally Posted by boxcar

Good little sheeple! Just follow the conventional wisdom of the crowd. How does that work out for you in betting the ponies?

I bet profitably on the exchange. Next.

It’s all about making money.

Nobody is betting trump and nobody is laying biden.

Things change but not right now.

Allan

[fast4522]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

i like staying up with this every 4 years because i am a complete political atheist and it gives me a reason to follow the election because i don't vote and deserve whatever i get at the end.

if you have a problem with that, just say something and i will stop posting it. i don't want to offend anyone.

I doubt you can offend anyone here, everyone finds this quite entertaining or not which is on each of us. It is just these posts that are the most fun in the following years to stumble upon and read.

[Marshall Bennett]

The silent majority yields to the betting public.
Bet every dime on Trump. He'll win by a landslide.

[JustRalph]

Originally Posted by Marshall Bennett

The silent majority yields to the betting public.
Bet every dime on Trump. He'll win by a landslide.

I hope so........I’m hearing lots of sm talk

[Robert Fischer]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

2020 US Presidential Election - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 AM
111 Republican wins Presidential Election +143
112 Democrat wins Presidential Election -163

I don't follow politics, and i have no preference over who wins, but my irrational conspiracy theory is that if Trump maintains a decent health, he will serve a second term.

I don't really know any rational reasoning behind this belief, but it seems like a logical course of action, given the unorthodox proceedings of the first time, the convenience of 2-term services, and the relatively solid job Trump has done handling the first term.

Haven't followed the politics whatsoever, and reading this, it seems like Biden is the alternative, and I don't see anything there to necessitate a change in the 2nd term.

If I'm reading the odds correctly, I'd be willing to make a small "?100.00" wager on Trump serving a 2nd-term, even without really knowing his health.

[biggestal99]

Originally Posted by Marshall Bennett

The silent majority yields to the betting public.
Bet every dime on Trump. He'll win by a landslide.

And Susan Collins. And Cory garner. And thom tillis. And Martha McSally guaranteed winner all.

I will make a parley bet on those 5 (trump and the 4 sitting senators)

Losing.

But then again that’s what makes politics so intriguing to me.

Allan

[biggestal99]

Originally Posted by Marshall Bennett

The silent majority yields to the betting public.
Bet every dime on Trump. He'll win by a landslide.

Are you saying that trump will poll 50% +1 of the popular vote (that is a majority)

I’d stake my life of laying that bet.

How bout you?

Silent majority, hah.

Allan

[Marshall Bennett]

Originally Posted by biggestal99

Are you saying that trump will poll 50% +1 of the popular vote (that is a majority)

I’d stake my life of laying that bet.

How bout you?

Silent majority, hah.

Allan

Study Joe Biden (seriously so) and then look what the polls show. No one can convince me they're not way out of wack.
This is a unique election unlike any before it. People are different and the climate is disturbing. The country is in danger of failing and a sense of real threat is looming.
Laugh at the silent majority, they had the last laugh in 2016. They've grown since then, and afraid to say anything about it. Stick a TRUMP 2020 sign in the ground in the wrong neighborhood...see what happens. Walk any large urban street downtown wearing a MAGA cap. You wouldn't dare do either and you know it.
You don't value your life very much to stake it on lamebrain Joe.

[biggestal99]

Originally Posted by Marshall Bennett

Study Joe Biden (seriously so) and then look what the polls show. No one can convince me they're not way out of wack.
This is a unique election unlike any before it. People are different and the climate is disturbing. The country is in danger of failing and a sense of real threat is looming.
Laugh at the silent majority, they had the last laugh in 2016. They've grown since then, and afraid to say anything about it. Stick a TRUMP 2020 sign in the ground in the wrong neighborhood...see what happens. Walk any large urban street downtown wearing a MAGA cap. You wouldn't dare do either and you know it.
You don't value your life very much to stake it on lamebrain Joe.

It’s not for joe. It’s against trump. The man is flailing right now looking for a message that resonates with the voting public.

Allan