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Originally Posted by KingChas
Will pays in the BC Distaff-Classic double
After Untapable's win in Friday's BC Distaff, here are the $1 daily double will-pays into Saturday's BC Classic, according to track officials -
#1 - Prayer for Relief - $187.20
#2 - Cigar Street - $36.20
#3 - Imperative - $240.80
#4 - Moreno - $102.20
#5 - V.E. Day - $78.50
#6 - Shared Belief - $9.30
#7 - Bayern - $24.70
#8 - Zivo - $36.30
#9 - Toast of New York - $62.80
#10 - Footbridge - $245.30
#11 - Tonalist - $14.50
#12 - Candy Boy - $73.30
#13 - California Chrome - $18
#14 - Majestic Harbor - $132.50
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Here are my simple and humble opinions on these DD payoffs vis-à-vis what I consider the horse's chances of winning the Classic. I have no opinion either way nor vested in those not in bold. I am alive with a few horses.
Horses/payoffs that are
underlays, in PP order:
Cigar Street, Shared Belief, Zivo, Tonalist, California Chrome.
Horses/payoffs that are
overlays, in PP order:
Imperative, Bayern, Toast of New York, Majestic Harbor
Horses/payoffs that seem
'just about right' based on the payoff and my opinion of their chances:
Moreno, V.E. Day, Candy Boy.
Alive with $25 DD with Bayern; $10 DD with Toast of New York; $6 DD with Imperative and Majestic Harbor, and, $2 DD with Cali Chrome, V.E. Day and Tonalist.
Against conventional thinking and possibly exhibiting zero common sense
... I am keying
Bayern at what might be a square price this afternoon. I'll never forget his sensational effort at Belmont in the Woody Stephens and his Monmouth and Parx blowouts.
I don't buy the 'track/inside/lone speed bias' talk from the media. Bayern made those tracks look fast. Bayern
was the
bias, not those racetracks!
Win, lose or draw I'd rather bet Bayern at 4-1 or 6-1 (and to me he's a great price) as opposed to the probable lower win odds expected for Shared Belief, Tonalist, Cali Chrome and especially Cigar Street.
Good luck, every one.
Thanks for posting the payoffs, KingChas.
