Top Horse Analytics: 01/26/2015 Weekly Statistics - Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com

Augenj · 01-26-2015, 09:44 AM

Welcome to a subset of the weekly statistics produced by Top Horse Analytics. Updated win stats will be posted here weekly for Favorites, Morning Line Favorites, Top Horse, and Conditional Top Horse* for all of the active and paused tracks we analyze.

THA Active Tracks: AQU-I, GP, OP, SA, TAM
THA Paused Tracks: AQU-O
THA Inactive Tracks: BEL, CD, DMR, GPW, KEE, SAR

Active - currently active tracks
Paused - between meets in a logical year
Inactive - between logical years

* What is a Conditional Top Horse?
It is the calculated Top Horse (100.0000) joined with conditional factors (filters) such as Race Age 2, Horse Is 3YO in 3UP Race, 2nd Race After 45 Days Off, and many more. Each conditional factor is also paired with its opposite "Not" condition, such as Race Not Age 2, etc.

The selected conditional factors for the Top Horse have shown the best persistent (year-to-year) ROI and have occurred at least 30 times during the previous year. These conditionals will be used in the coming week to select races for the Conditional Top Horse if they have occurred at least 20 times in the current year.

The following statistics simulate betting $2.00 to win from the start of the current logical year to the present for all active and paused tracks.

Augenj · 01-26-2015, 09:45 AM

Weekly Stats For Current Year At AQU
Start Of Logical Year: 12/03/2014
Updated Through: 01/25/2015
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 251
Number Of Wins: 109
Win Per Cent: 43.43
Dollars In: 502.00
Dollars Out: 500.70
Profit: -1.30
ROI: 0.9974

M/L Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 96.81
Number Of Races: 243 *
Number Of Wins: 92
Win Per Cent: 37.86
Dollars In: 486.00
Dollars Out: 451.30
Profit: -34.70
ROI: 0.9286
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 251
Number Of Wins: 89
Win Per Cent: 35.46
Dollars In: 502.00
Dollars Out: 457.30
Profit: -44.70
ROI: 0.9110

Top Horse When Favorite At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 61.75
Number Of Races: 155
Number Of Wins: 75
Win Per Cent: 48.39
Dollars In: 310.00
Dollars Out: 318.50
Profit: 8.50
ROI: 1.0274

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 68.92
Number Of Races: 173
Number Of Wins: 70
Win Per Cent: 40.46
Dollars In: 346.00
Dollars Out: 312.70
Profit: -33.30
ROI: 0.9038

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Best Conditional Factors At AQU
Used with the Conditional Top Horse in the coming week
Occurs Per Cent: 34.66
Number Of Races: 87
Number Of Wins: 43
Win Per Cent: 49.43
Dollars In: 174.00
Dollars Out: 220.20
Profit: 46.20
ROI: 1.2655

Augenj · 01-26-2015, 09:46 AM

Weekly Stats For Current Year At GP
Start Of Logical Year: 12/06/2014
Updated Through: 01/25/2015
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 379
Number Of Wins: 124
Win Per Cent: 32.72
Dollars In: 758.00
Dollars Out: 614.80
Profit: -143.20
ROI: 0.8111

M/L Favorites At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 99.74
Number Of Races: 378 *
Number Of Wins: 107
Win Per Cent: 28.31
Dollars In: 756.00
Dollars Out: 547.60
Profit: -208.40
ROI: 0.7243
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 379
Number Of Wins: 94
Win Per Cent: 24.80
Dollars In: 758.00
Dollars Out: 615.80
Profit: -142.20
ROI: 0.8124

Top Horse When Favorite At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 48.55
Number Of Races: 184
Number Of Wins: 63
Win Per Cent: 34.24
Dollars In: 368.00
Dollars Out: 280.20
Profit: -87.80
ROI: 0.7614

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 48.02
Number Of Races: 182
Number Of Wins: 61
Win Per Cent: 33.52
Dollars In: 364.00
Dollars Out: 284.80
Profit: -79.20
ROI: 0.7824

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Best Conditional Factors At GP
Used with the Conditional Top Horse in the coming week
Occurs Per Cent: 18.21
Number Of Races: 69
Number Of Wins: 30
Win Per Cent: 43.48
Dollars In: 138.00
Dollars Out: 229.40
Profit: 91.40
ROI: 1.6623

Augenj · 01-26-2015, 09:47 AM

Weekly Stats For Current Year At OP
Start Of Logical Year: 01/15/2015
Updated Through: 01/25/2015
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At OP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 81
Number Of Wins: 20
Win Per Cent: 24.69
Dollars In: 162.00
Dollars Out: 104.40
Profit: -57.60
ROI: 0.6444

M/L Favorites At OP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 81 *
Number Of Wins: 21
Win Per Cent: 25.93
Dollars In: 162.00
Dollars Out: 117.20
Profit: -44.80
ROI: 0.7235
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At OP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 81
Number Of Wins: 23
Win Per Cent: 28.40
Dollars In: 162.00
Dollars Out: 132.80
Profit: -29.20
ROI: 0.8198

Top Horse When Favorite At OP
Occurs Per Cent: 53.09
Number Of Races: 43
Number Of Wins: 16
Win Per Cent: 37.21
Dollars In: 86.00
Dollars Out: 77.40
Profit: -8.60
ROI: 0.9000

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At OP
Occurs Per Cent: 76.54
Number Of Races: 62
Number Of Wins: 19
Win Per Cent: 30.65
Dollars In: 124.00
Dollars Out: 103.60
Profit: -20.40
ROI: 0.8355

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Best Conditional Factors At OP
Used with the Conditional Top Horse in the coming week
Occurs Per Cent: 0.00
Number Of Races: 0
Number Of Wins: 0
Win Per Cent: 0.00
Dollars In: 0.00
Dollars Out: 0.00
Profit: 0.0
ROI: 0.0000

Augenj · 01-26-2015, 09:48 AM

Weekly Stats For Current Year At SA
Start Of Logical Year: 09/26/2014
Updated Through: 01/25/2015
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 402
Number Of Wins: 141
Win Per Cent: 35.07
Dollars In: 804.00
Dollars Out: 697.20
Profit: -106.80
ROI: 0.8672

M/L Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 98.76
Number Of Races: 397 *
Number Of Wins: 125
Win Per Cent: 31.49
Dollars In: 794.00
Dollars Out: 650.00
Profit: -144.00
ROI: 0.8186
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 402
Number Of Wins: 124
Win Per Cent: 30.85
Dollars In: 804.00
Dollars Out: 663.60
Profit: -140.40
ROI: 0.8254

Top Horse When Favorite At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 65.67
Number Of Races: 264
Number Of Wins: 99
Win Per Cent: 37.50
Dollars In: 528.00
Dollars Out: 452.80
Profit: -75.20
ROI: 0.8576

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 84.58
Number Of Races: 340
Number Of Wins: 113
Win Per Cent: 33.24
Dollars In: 680.00
Dollars Out: 565.40
Profit: -114.60
ROI: 0.8315

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Best Conditional Factors At SA
Used with the Conditional Top Horse in the coming week
Occurs Per Cent: 20.90
Number Of Races: 84
Number Of Wins: 35
Win Per Cent: 41.67
Dollars In: 168.00
Dollars Out: 196.40
Profit: 28.40
ROI: 1.1690

Augenj · 01-26-2015, 09:49 AM

Weekly Stats For Current Year At TAM
Start Of Logical Year: 11/29/2014
Updated Through: 01/25/2015
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 290
Number Of Wins: 104
Win Per Cent: 35.86
Dollars In: 580.00
Dollars Out: 557.80
Profit: -22.20
ROI: 0.9617

M/L Favorites At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 290 *
Number Of Wins: 90
Win Per Cent: 31.03
Dollars In: 580.00
Dollars Out: 550.80
Profit: -29.20
ROI: 0.9497
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 290
Number Of Wins: 76
Win Per Cent: 26.21
Dollars In: 580.00
Dollars Out: 507.80
Profit: -72.20
ROI: 0.8755

Top Horse When Favorite At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 45.86
Number Of Races: 133
Number Of Wins: 53
Win Per Cent: 39.85
Dollars In: 266.00
Dollars Out: 256.00
Profit: -10.00
ROI: 0.9624

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 43.79
Number Of Races: 127
Number Of Wins: 42
Win Per Cent: 33.07
Dollars In: 254.00
Dollars Out: 200.20
Profit: -53.80
ROI: 0.7882

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Best Conditional Factors At TAM
Used with the Conditional Top Horse in the coming week
Occurs Per Cent: 27.93
Number Of Races: 81
Number Of Wins: 26
Win Per Cent: 32.10
Dollars In: 162.00
Dollars Out: 189.00
Profit: 27.00
ROI: 1.1667