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05-29-2019, 11:56 AM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: pa.
Posts: 477
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angle players
my question is. how many angles does your selection must have.
ex: my selection must have best late pace+highest class+early speed.
if all 3 or if you have 5 angles and they must have all 5..
wondering , how many angles must your horse have?
thanks for any responses.
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05-29-2019, 04:14 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: pa.
Posts: 477
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angles
i see there are 70 views and no comments
i.m not looking to find out
what you r angles are, just how many angles do you use for your selection.
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05-29-2019, 04:27 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,757
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everyone uses whatever they have in their arsenal to evaluate the chances of the runners they pick. you may feel that a trainer excels at taking horses off a layoff, run 2 routes, then one sprint and then back to route and wins at a high percentage with that angle. that's all fine and good. everyone has these statistics, so i have no idea how you plan on making money with them.
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05-29-2019, 05:28 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: NJ
Posts: 3,822
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bugboy
my question is. how many angles does your selection must have.
ex: my selection must have best late pace+highest class+early speed.
if all 3 or if you have 5 angles and they must have all 5..
wondering , how many angles must your horse have?
thanks for any responses.
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I didn't really understand your definition of "angles". Is having the most early speed an "angle"? I think of angles as something like turf to dirt, route to sprint, first off the claim, drop in class and jockey switch, etc. etc. etc. That's why I didn't answer. But if it's an angle that is really strong---trainer who wins 30% on the turf off a 6-month or more layoff, let's say---just that angle would get a bet if the price was right. I use other things (like, say, they're using a 2% rider, trainer doesn't win at this track, horse hates the course) to disqualify that first strong angle.
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05-29-2019, 06:22 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: pa.
Posts: 477
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angles
thanks guys, i appreciate your responses.
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05-29-2019, 10:20 PM
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#6
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Apprentice
Join Date: May 2019
Posts: 21
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Usually the less angles the better. BTW one of the most underrated angles in handicapping is the trouble line. Rarely do I hear an on track handicapper mention the trouble lines. The TVG cappers are more granular and pick up on them quite a bit. There are a ton of speed handicappers out there when the focus should be more about pace. Then you have this resident old guy at the local OTB who only bets horses with the name “cat” or “kitten” in them. Man that old guy seems to win a bunch!
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05-31-2019, 12:57 AM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Willamette Valley, Oregon
Posts: 1,622
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A man from Socal (I don't remember his name) that sold essays about horse betting said you should have two reasons to bet a horse. Seems reasonable to me. (he wrote those essays before computer handicapping became commonplace)
Last edited by plainolebill; 05-31-2019 at 12:58 AM.
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05-31-2019, 05:57 AM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2019
Posts: 1,287
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the link is a summary of what I guess you could call "angles" from William Quirin a very respected handicapping author. I don't necessarily use this verbatim but I appreciate the points he makes:
http://www.brisnet.com/library/softw...t%20Values.pdf
__________________
believe only half of what you see.....and nothing that you hear..................Edgar Allan Poe
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05-31-2019, 08:31 AM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 2,176
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bugboy
my question is. how many angles does your selection must have.
ex: my selection must have best late pace+highest class+early speed.
if all 3 or if you have 5 angles and they must have all 5..
wondering , how many angles must your horse have?
thanks for any responses.
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Here's one that Replay Randall gave out on here. Horse is claimed, laid off <100 days, raised in class from where it was claimed. Min. odds, 9/2. No other conditions; distance, surface, tracks, jockeys, etc. While luck always plays a part, the very first one I played was a $40 winner, and several others over the next few weeks. I lowered my plays to 7/2 min. odds. He also told me that it sometimes works better at the beginning of a new meet. If you do a search on PaceAdv. there must be a half-dozen "angles" threads. My problem with angles is if you have enough of them, you wind up playing over half the field in a lot of races.
__________________
One of the downsides of the Internet is that it allows like-minded people to form communities, and sometimes those communities are stupid.
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05-31-2019, 02:22 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,123
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bugboy
my question is. how many angles does your selection must have.
ex: my selection must have best late pace+highest class+early speed.
if all 3 or if you have 5 angles and they must have all 5..
wondering , how many angles must your horse have?
thanks for any responses.
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How I see it.
We will call this the Bugboy Angle.
The rules for the Bugboy Angle are as follows.
1. best late pace
2. highest class
3. early speed
Your angle has 2 small problems, you need to define early speed, like has to be top 4 in early speed, and define the minimum odds you can play this angle and still make it profitable.
Angles are great, if the rules for them are well defined. And the more rules you have, the better off you are. Yes, the rules lessen the number of plays you get, but that's what makes them profitable.
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05-31-2019, 02:24 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: pa.
Posts: 477
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angles
thanks to the members for giving me suggestions.
ya know this ol' man of 77 can use all the help i can get.
even though i only retain about 5%.
again , i thank you guys and ladies.
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05-31-2019, 03:23 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Fort Worth,Texas
Posts: 606
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example
Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
How I see it.
We will call this the Bugboy Angle.
The rules for the Bugboy Angle are as follows.
1. best late pace
2. highest class
3. early speed
Your angle has 2 small problems, you need to define early speed, like has to be top 4 in early speed, and define the minimum odds you can play this angle and still make it profitable.
Angles are great, if the rules for them are well defined. And the more rules you have, the better off you are. Yes, the rules lessen the number of plays you get, but that's what makes them profitable.
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My good friend has these rules and he does quite well. He downloads every track for that days racing and applies these rules
No turf. no maidens no 5f,5.5f,7f and routes 9f and over.
no 2yr old, no stakes. no claiming under $10k
must be top speed and top class
If a sprint race he must be in the top 2 in early speed
Needless to say he doesn't get many plays.
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05-31-2019, 03:35 PM
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#13
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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Give me 1 really solid angle + >4/1
on multiple angles - If you do have 2,3,4... angles that you happen to see, then my rule is that the Big Angles should be moving in the same direction.
You don't want to be making 'tradeoffs' where one angle helps, and another important angle hurts.
PRICE + GOOD ANGLE
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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06-01-2019, 02:38 AM
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#14
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Arizona Downs Speed Play
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Let's call this one "Bug Boy Angle 2" The rules are posted--the track is today @ Arizona Downs 7th race.
.
Last edited by PaceAdvantage; 06-04-2019 at 09:58 PM.
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06-01-2019, 03:08 AM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Willamette Valley, Oregon
Posts: 1,622
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bugboy
thanks to the members for giving me suggestions.
ya know this ol' man of 77 can use all the help i can get.
even though i only retain about 5%.
again , i thank you guys and ladies.
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I'm 76, that's the reason I don't remember the name of the guy who wrote the essays and letters.
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