Is This a good Longshot?

[jay68802]

Gulfstream Race #2:


Jubilant 10-1

Shows steady improvement from the first race. Trainer shows confidence by raising her in class. Has been working solid during break and should like the added distance.


Race #4:


Jay's Way 12-1

With a name like this I have to play him. Gets Tyler Gaffalione in third race since a break and he looks to me to be the primary speed.

[MONEY]

Originally Posted by jay68802

Gulfstream Race #2:


Jubilant 10-1

Shows steady improvement from the first race. Trainer shows confidence by raising her in class. Has been working solid during break and should like the added distance.


Race #4:


Jay's Way 12-1

With a name like this I have to play him. Gets Tyler Gaffalione in third race since a break and he looks to me to be the primary speed.

Jubilant 10-1, is in Race #3.

Good Luck

[jay68802]

Thanks Money, I need to stop posting while under the influence. The Jay's Way was a winner paying $12.40 and keyed an respectable $29.80 exacta.

[jay68802]

Delta Downs Race #9:


Gold Label 5-1


Highest last race speed rating and a solid trainer. Last seen in May and with the added maturity might be to tough to handle for this group.

[jay68802]

Gulfstream Race #6:


Court Central 12-1


Get one of the better turf riders and has a solid trainer. Distance looks right and the speed here is suspect to say the least. 2nd off the lay off and might be able to run this group down in the stretch.


Race #8:


Express Jet 12-1


I count 6 runners here that have to be close to or on the lead. If the track is allowing the late runners to make up ground, could get a great set up.

[Ocala Mike]

is scratched in the 8th.

My longshot in the 6th is the - shows improving pattern, and I am way ahead betting ARCH horses on the grass all year.

[jay68802]

Originally Posted by Ocala Mike

is scratched in the 8th.

My longshot in the 6th is the - shows improving pattern, and I am way ahead betting ARCH horses on the grass all year.

I keep looking for first time turf horses by Flatter, good luck.

[jay68802]

Aqueduct Race #7:


H Man 10-1



Claimed back by a good trainer. Looking to go wire to wire here.

Race #8:


Salty Slew 12-1

Second off the claim and MSW to Maiden Claiming.

[TheOracle]

Hey Jay

I don't know if Aqueduct will race today as there is snow in the tri-state area

If they do run, now would be the time to do your longshot handicapping as there are only 9 horses with Morning Lines less than 3-1

That makes up only 13.6% of the entire card !!!

RowNum:    Date:    Race:    PgmNum:    Horse:    RaceCond:    Distance:    Trainer:    Odds:    Surface:
1    12-30-2017    1st race    4    Hail (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    One Mile    W I Mott    1/1#    Dirt
2    12-30-2017    2nd race    4    Competitiveness (KY)    Claiming    Six Furlongs    G P Gullo    2/1#    Dirt
3    12-30-2017    3rd race    2    Classy Class (KY)    Allowance Optional Claiming    One Mile    K P McLaughlin    7/5#    Dirt
4    12-30-2017    3rd race    3    Vulcans Forge (KY)    Allowance Optional Claiming    One Mile    T A Pletcher    8/5#    Dirt
5    12-30-2017    4th race    7    I Miss My Father (NY)    Claiming    Six Furlongs    L Rice    6/5#    Dirt
6    12-30-2017    5th race    1    Holland Road (FL)    Starter Allowance     Six And One Half Furlongs    M Dilger    5/2#    Dirt
7    12-30-2017    5th race    5    Special Story (NY)    Starter Allowance     Six And One Half Furlongs    R Diodoro    2/1#    Dirt
8    12-30-2017    6th race    8    My Victoria Rose (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six And One Half Furlongs    J C Englehart    5/2#    Dirt
9    12-30-2017    7th race    2    Jewel Can Disco (NY)    Allowance Optional Claiming    Six Furlongs    G P Gullo    5/2#    Dirt

This is before scratches!!!

[jay68802]

Thanks Oracle, lets take a shot at two of them.

Aqueduct Race #5:


Sir Alfred 8-1


Coming off a long break with a work out tab starting back in November. Has ran fast enough to beat this group before and has won off a long layoff before.

Aqueduct Race #6:


My Lightnin Strike 15-1


Improved in second start of career and moves to the dirt today. The last race was on the turf but those opening fractions look very fast. Employ the same up front tactics today and could break the Maiden.

Do have a horse on the watch list running today in the 9th. Ghost Block, my notes say ran well with very bad start. See four class droppers in the race and that means it will be a tough race or he could be catching a very weak feild. Do not know what to do here.

[jay68802]

Last day of the year, go big or go home.

Gulfstream Race #6:


Galileo's Affair 15-1


Hot trainer, good jockey. Highest last race speed figure, a lot to like if you trust the surface change.


Race #8:


Shades Of Night 20-1


Has been steadily improving since the start. Trainer does well off a break and the 5f works have been getting faster.

Race #8

Shes Dynomite 15-1

The juice man and Ortiz...enough said.

Race #11

Little Toe 20-1


Second off a break, sprint to route, and a solid pilot. Needs to improve and the breeding is there.

[Redboard]

Originally Posted by jay68802

Last day of the year, go big or go home.

Gulfstream Race #6:
Galileo's Affair 15-1
Hot trainer, good jockey. Highest last race speed figure, a lot to like if you trust the surface change.

Race #8:
Shades Of Night 20-1
Has been steadily improving since the start. Trainer does well off a break and the 5f works have been getting faster.

Race #8
Shes Dynomite 15-1
The juice man and Ortiz...enough said.

Race #11
Little Toe 20-1

Second off a break, sprint to route, and a solid pilot. Needs to improve and the breeding is there.

Your best finish was Shades Of Night who finished a game 6th. It looked like he was live there for a bit, but didn't finish very well. 55-1 too.

Keep firing Jay!

[jay68802]

Originally Posted by Redboard

Your best finish was Shades Of Night who finished a game 6th. It looked like he was live there for a bit, but didn't finish very well. 55-1 too.

Keep firing Jay!

Wide and on a solid pace, horse to watch for again.

[jay68802]

Gulfstream Race #6:


Miz Mayhem 8-1


Trainer does ok in this spot and gets Zayas. Three yr old is stretching out for the first time, and is the speed of the race.


Gulfstream Race #8:


Fabriana 8-1


Trainer wins a lot in this situation and Gaffalione is on board. Sharp last work and the breeding for the surface and distance is solid.

[jay68802]

Gulfstream Race #7:


Diplomatic Shaft 6-1

Steadily improving work tab and a drop in class. Has the speed to get a good early position.


Race #10


Mai Ty One On 5-1


Second off for Cibelle and Lezcano gets on. Came with a run in first effort off a break, and has a work since. Improvement off that effort can get him a win today.