Conference championship round

[Valuist]

Carolina -3 (-123)

Will this come off the board? Just heard Schefner say on ESPN Palmer's finger has to be evaluated. But that's not why I'm on the Panthers. I was far more impressed by their win than Arizona's. I think many have doubted Carolina; their division wasn't good. They've now beaten Seattle twice and won much easier yesterday than the final margin.

YTD 51-38-1

[ebcorde]

Originally Posted by Valuist

Carolina -3 (-123)

Will this come off the board? Just heard Schefner say on ESPN Palmer's finger has to be evaluated. But that's not why I'm on the Panthers. I was far more impressed by their win than Arizona's. I think many have doubted Carolina; their division wasn't good. They've now beaten Seattle twice and won much easier yesterday than the final margin.

YTD 51-38-1

Carolina wins , The Patriots win.

The AFC is a terrible conference, it's Brady, Manning or a third team (Baltimore, Pittsburgh) every year. and it's boring as hell. Goodell should fine the AFC teams not trying or come up with a relegation scheme, or new playoff scheme. Over half the AFC is not trying to win a super bowl.

[ebcorde]

QB at the right time. I would not bet against the Panthers QB the next two games.

[tucker6]

surprised the NE game opened at -2.5 pts. It is now at 3.5 pts for NE. This game will all be about the Denver D versus Brady. Manning played very average yesterday as per his usual self, and that isn't going to cut it.

[Secondbest]

Denver beat the pats 30-24 week 12 when NE was 10-0 Game was in denver where Pats do not do as well as elseware.Although Manning did not play that game.

[Marshall Bennett]

Originally Posted by Valuist

Carolina -3 (-123)

Will this come off the board? Just heard Schefner say on ESPN Palmer's finger has to be evaluated. But that's not why I'm on the Panthers. I was far more impressed by their win than Arizona's. I think many have doubted Carolina; their division wasn't good. They've now beaten Seattle twice and won much easier yesterday than the final margin.

YTD 51-38-1

Just curious, why do you commit so early when the game's a week away?

[kingfin66]

I am glad he does. It gets the conversation going!

[Secondbest]

Its a smart move if you think the number is going to go against you later in the week

[Stillriledup]

Originally Posted by Secondbest

Its a smart move if you think the number is going to go against you later in the week

It's going to take a lot to move that number off 3.

[Marshall Bennett]

Originally Posted by Secondbest

Its a smart move if you think the number is going to go against you later in the week

Depends perhaps on how much you're invested. A lot can go wrong in a week's time, injuries/accidents, arrest, scandals, and whatever else. I'd take my chances on the line barely moving one way or the other. If little or nothing is at stake, then i guess it really doesn't matter. With his record this year picking games, 1 loss isn't a big deal.

[Stillriledup]

Originally Posted by Marshall Bennett

Depends perhaps on how much you're invested. A lot can go wrong in a week's time, injuries/accidents, arrest, scandals, and whatever else. I'd take my chances on the line barely moving one way or the other. If little or nothing is at stake, then i guess it really doesn't matter. With his record this year picking games, 1 loss isn't a big deal.

I think the only reason you bet early is if you think you won't get your number. If you bet on Carolina you have to home Cam Newton doesn't get into a car accident and can't play.

[Valuist]

Originally Posted by Marshall Bennett

Just curious, why do you commit so early when the game's a week away?

Because the line was 3, and was already juiced (-120). It's moving toward 3.5. The difference of an extra half point or point from the biggest key number of all (3) is significant. 1 of every 6 NFL games ends with a differential of 3.

If I liked Arizona, I'd wait. Most of the time, we expect favorites to get bet later in the week as the public gets involved. And with totals, if I like an under, I will bet it early, knowing Joe Public wants to root for a 50-40 game.

I didn't see SRU's post above earlier, but yes, he is correct.

[BetHorses!]

Originally Posted by Valuist

Because the line was 3, and was already juiced (-120). It's moving toward 3.5. The difference of an extra half point or point from the biggest key number of all (3) is significant. 1 of every 6 NFL games ends with a differential of 3.

If I liked Arizona, I'd wait. Most of the time, we expect favorites to get bet later in the week as the public gets involved. And with totals, if I like an under, I will bet it early, knowing Joe Public wants to root for a 50-40 game.

I didn't see SRU's post above earlier, but yes, he is correct.

Funny, I actually thought the number could only go down. Good Luck and great season once again!

[tucker6]

Originally Posted by BetHorses!

Funny, I actually thought the number could only go down. Good Luck and great season once again!

curious as to why you think this.

[ManU918]

I'll be on the Broncos and Cardinals. Both favorites aren't getting the money. I personally don't think either of them will. It's possible one of the favorites win but don't cover... I guess