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01-04-2016, 11:54 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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NFL wildcard round
YTD: 47-34-1
Seattle/Minnesota Under 41- 41 is a key number and I only see it going down. When the Seahawks put up 38 on the Vikings earlier in the season, the Vikings had 3 key defensive players out, and all are back now. I expect Zimmer to make some adjustments. Minnesota won't be giving up anywhere near 38 this time.
Waiting on the other games. I anticipate the public to hammer Pittsburgh, Seattle and KC.
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01-04-2016, 11:57 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,548
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My line for this weekend:
K.C. -5.5
Sea. -6
Pit. -Pk
Was. -Pk
__________________
Live to play another day.
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01-05-2016, 04:56 AM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Houston , Tx.
Posts: 9,586
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by thaskalos
K.C. -5.5
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Where do you find that? Best I've seen anywhere is -3.5
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01-05-2016, 08:33 AM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Queens, New York
Posts: 2,269
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Marshall Bennett
Where do you find that? Best I've seen anywhere is -3.5
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That is his personal line
__________________
Learn the Game!!
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01-05-2016, 08:36 AM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Queens, New York
Posts: 2,269
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Valuist
YTD: 47-34-1
Seattle/Minnesota Under 41- 41 is a key number and I only see it going down. When the Seahawks put up 38 on the Vikings earlier in the season, the Vikings had 3 key defensive players out, and all are back now. I expect Zimmer to make some adjustments. Minnesota won't be giving up anywhere near 38 this time.
Waiting on the other games. I anticipate the public to hammer Pittsburgh, Seattle and KC.
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Gonna be frigid there
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Learn the Game!!
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01-05-2016, 08:51 AM
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#6
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Just Deplorable
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Lebanon, Ohio
Posts: 8,064
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I'm surprised they didn't make it a night game.
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01-05-2016, 12:12 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Houston , Tx.
Posts: 9,586
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by BetHorses!
That is his personal line
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Yeah, I see that now. Personally I think Houston will win with their defense. Their corners and safeties have really stepped it up. I gave up on this team early on. They got it together quickly.
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01-05-2016, 11:43 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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What do KC, Pittsburgh and Seattle have in common? All road favorites with cluster injuries at RB. The Steelers were very fortunate to have a back like DeAngelo Williams, but if he can't go, the Steelers will be much easier to defend. When Lynch went down, Rawls did great (better than Lynch was earlier in the year). Now Rawls is out; Lynch practiced but how good can a RB be who hasn't played in a game in a couple months?
Fact: If one wagered only on the team who had faced the superior schedule (per Sagarin's ratings) in the wildcard round, they'd be 37-14 ATS since 2002.
Fact: Road QBs have over 30 combined playoff starts; home QBs in this road have ZERO.
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01-06-2016, 06:41 AM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Queens, New York
Posts: 2,269
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Valuist
Fact: If one wagered only on the team who had faced the superior schedule (per Sagarin's ratings) in the wildcard round, they'd be 37-14 ATS since 2002.
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I think this goes beyond the wildcard round
on my data the the strength of sched looks like this...maybe someone can post if Sagarin agrees.
KC > Hou
Pitt > Cin
Min > Sea
GB > Was
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Learn the Game!!
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01-06-2016, 08:09 AM
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#10
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Canadian since 51
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Toronto
Posts: 3,458
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KC
Cinci
Sea
GB
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01-06-2016, 08:31 AM
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#11
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Just Deplorable
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Lebanon, Ohio
Posts: 8,064
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Pittsburgh and Cincinnati played the same schedule except that the Bengies won at Buffalo, and Pitt lost at NE. But Cincinnati went out west three times, and once to high-altitude Denver, while Pitt did only twice. I don't see any strength of schedule advantage to Pittsburgh between those two.
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01-06-2016, 10:38 AM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by rastajenk
Pittsburgh and Cincinnati played the same schedule except that the Bengies won at Buffalo, and Pitt lost at NE. But Cincinnati went out west three times, and once to high-altitude Denver, while Pitt did only twice. I don't see any strength of schedule advantage to Pittsburgh between those two.
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The strength of schedule is strictly based on power ratings of opponents, not the miscellaneous factors like trips across time zones, or short week games. Not saying those factors don't count, but for the purpose of this angle they don't.
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01-06-2016, 03:38 PM
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#13
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Buckle Up
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 10,614
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In weather that will conjure up images of Bud Grant at old Metropolitan Stadium, the Vikings and Seattle Seahawks will kick off Sunday in temperatures that will make you glad you're watching on your couch.
The coldest game in Seahawks history, according to Bob Condotta of the Seattle Times, was a 1992 game at Denver that was 13 degrees. The Seahawks have played only 20 games in freezing temperatures and are 6-14 in them.
Sunday's game will be pretty miserable. The forecast calls for a high temperature of 1 degree above zero....
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01-06-2016, 04:02 PM
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#14
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Bombardier
Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 4,039
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Inteteresting thing this cold weather. Both teams will have to play in it yet people are only concerned with how Seattle will handle it? Does Minnesota practice outdoors, or do they practice inside like every other nfl team? Minnesota has some type of home field advantage I guess, but is the game even sold out?
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01-06-2016, 04:04 PM
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#15
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Bombardier
Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 4,039
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by ReplayRandall
In weather that will conjure up images of Bud Grant at old Metropolitan Stadium, the Vikings and Seattle Seahawks will kick off Sunday in temperatures that will make you glad you're watching on your couch.
The coldest game in Seahawks history, according to Bob Condotta of the Seattle Times, was a 1992 game at Denver that was 13 degrees. The Seahawks have played only 20 games in freezing temperatures and are 6-14 in them.
Sunday's game will be pretty miserable. The forecast calls for a high temperature of 1 degree above zero....
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Who did Seattle play in those games? Were they favored? How many of the current roster played in those games?
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