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10-20-2020, 04:43 AM
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#1
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Top Horse Analytics
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,303
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Top Horse Analytics: 10/20/2020 Weekly Statistics
CHART TRACKS:
AQU - inactive
BEL - active
CD - suspended
DMR - suspended
FG - inactive
GP - inactive (winter)
GPS - inactive (spring/summer, uses GP)
GPW - active
KEE - active
LRL - active
MTH - active
OP - inactive
PIM - inactive (Preakness only, uses LRL data base)
SA - active
SAR - inactive
TAM - inactive
TP - inactive (synthetic)
CHART SURFACES:
ALL - All surfaces and track conditions
DirtDRY - Dirt surface with "fst" or "wf" conditions
DirtWET - Dirt surface with NOT "fst" or "wf" conditions
TurfDRY - Turf surface with "fm" or "hd" conditions
TurfWET - Turf surface with NOT "fm" or "hd" conditions
CHART COLORS:
Pink colored cells indicate 0.85 to 0.90 ROI. (good)
Yellow colored cells indicate 0.90 ROI to 1.00 ROI. (better)
Green colored cells indicate above 1.00 ROI. (profitable)
NOTE:
Conditional Top Horse refers to the Top Horse when it matches conditions that are profitable over the past year - ROI greater than $1.00
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10-20-2020, 04:44 AM
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#2
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Top Horse Analytics
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,303
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10-20-2020, 04:46 AM
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#3
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Top Horse Analytics
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,303
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Base Factor "Best" Flags
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10-20-2020, 04:47 AM
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#4
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Top Horse Analytics
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,303
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10-20-2020, 04:49 AM
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#5
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Top Horse Analytics
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,303
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Latest Testing Results - v12.20.09.21c
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10-20-2020, 04:51 AM
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#6
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Top Horse Analytics
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,303
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How are these statistics produced?
At the very start of a year for a track, the previous year's data base is analyzed during which race calculation parameters for future races are optimized and stored in a parameter file.
Each week after the start, a track's data base is rebuilt by programmatically adding the previous week's data to the data base and removing the oldest week's data from the data base. Then an analysis is run to re-optimize race calculation parameters. This means that statistics will vary week to week due to the changed data base. The stats you see today are only accurate until the following week's analysis.
After each weekly analysis run, a "totals" run is made to determine which of several hundred conditions are profitable. These are flagged in the track's parameter file. Most profitable conditions are compounds consisting of two or more conditions.
When a race is calculated for a track, the best profitable stats from the parameter file for the top horse are displayed on its entry line. You can see some of these races and statistics daily in our Free Pick(s).
During the coming year, THA will sometimes be upgraded with the latest performance improvements and rolled in during weekly processing. This also contributes to the statistics changes seen weekly.
Questions are welcome such as "Why use an 'always current' data base rather than a static one?".
Answer: After years of developing THA, it became apparent that "What have you done for me lately?" also applies to THA horse racing statistics. Other systems may have different answers and solutions.
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10-20-2020, 08:17 AM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2020
Posts: 5
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Thanks Augenj, for posting these. I played Grin n Bear at Mountaineer last night for a winner!
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10-20-2020, 08:36 AM
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#8
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Top Horse Analytics
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,303
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wolfpackin
Thanks Augenj, for posting these. I played Grin n Bear at Mountaineer last night for a winner!
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You're welcome.
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