HONG KONG – SHA TIN SUN-2/28/21

[Nitro]

Good evening to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!

I’ll be posting my pre-race selections for this very competitive race card that looks to offer some decent value.
There are 10 races at Sha Tin with 10 races on Turf

Post Time Race #1 – 12:00 AM SUN EST

I’ve taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and using a unique static tote analysis have come up with my preliminary picks for each race. However, I’ll be only posting live selections this morning because the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these entries and any others I might have missed.

The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores. A few of the races this morning look wide open!

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

For those of you that have the resources to bet more than $2 per race you might want to consider the following in terms of betting:
1) Win Dutching 3 entries means betting each of the 3 entries so that no matter which one wins the return is the same. (Wait until 4 mins to post for final odds calculations).
2) For Quinellas there are many options:
a) Using all 3 of the top Keys with all the others = 12 bets
b) Boxing all 6 selections = 15 bets
3) Triples there also many options:
a) Using any Key in the top position w/All others = 20 bets
b) Using all 3 Keys in the top position w/All others = 60 bets
c) Using Top 4 selections in the top position w/All others = 80 bets
d) Boxing all 6 selections = 120 bets
(Warning: The odds of the selected entries @ 7 mins to post should determine playability by comparing the combined value of each group of 3 that may complete the triple with the amount to be bet).

Good Luck if you’re playing!
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[Nitro]

Preliminary Selections for ALL 10 races:

R#1-1200M C5 (6F)T…..........1-7-2 W/ 5-8-11

R#2-1000M C4 (5F)T……….....4-2-13 W/ 1-8-3

R#3–1400M C2 (7F)T……..…..6-1-4 W/ 7-2

R#4- 1400M C4 (7F)T…………..1-4-5 W/ 9-3-2

R#5- 1200M C4 (6F)T…………..7-3-13 W/ 14-1-10

R#6- 1600M C4 (8F)T…………..7-12-1 W/ 9-4-2

R#7– 1800M C3 (9F)T……….…2-10-7 W/ 1-6-4

R#8- 1200M C3 (6F)T…….…...12-10-6 W/ 4-3-14

R#9- 1000M C3 (5F)T………....2-3-7 W/ 14-10-8

R#10-1400M C3 (7F)T……..…2-6-10 W/ 14-3-4

[Nitro]

R#1-1200M C5 (6F)T…..........1-7-2 W/ 5-8-11

4-3-12-9– Dutch LOSS 265% Profit Margin - PLAYED / Some very late action on the Winner #4 winding up as the 6/1 favorite ! A very WIDE open race!

[Nitro]

R#2-1000M C4 (5F)T……….....4-2-13 W/ 1-8-3

8-10-3-12– Dutch LOSS 66% Profit Margin - PLAYED / Some late action on the LS Winner #8 – not much action on the LS Placer #10

[Nitro]

UPDATE---R#3–1400M C2 (7F)T…..6-1-4 W/ 7-8

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Nitro

UPDATE---R#3–1400M C2 (7F)T…..6-1-4 W/ 7-8

9-3-1-8– Dutch LOSS 44% Profit Margin - PASSED / Good late action on the LS Winner #9 –

So far it looks like it might be one of those nights (mornings)!
Let’s hope there’s some better results ahead.

On top of that it looks like the PA site is having some stability issues. If it continues I won’t be making any tote updates.

[Nitro]

UPDATE--- R#4- 1400M C4 (7F)T…..1-4-2 W/ 3-13-6

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Nitro

UPDATE--- R#4- 1400M C4 (7F)T…..1-4-2 W/ 3-13-6

4-13-1-6– Dutch WIN 88% Profit Margin - PLAYED / $38.90 Quinella & $402.40 Triple BX & ($6,103.00 Quartet Bx) – All of that one!

[Nitro]

UPDATE---R#5- 1200M C4 (6F)T…..7-1-13 W/ 14-3-8

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Nitro

UPDATE---R#5- 1200M C4 (6F)T…..7-1-13 W/ 14-3-8

2-8-14-1– Dutch LOSS 27% Profit Margin - PASSED / No action on the LS Winner #2

[Nitro]

UPDATE--- R#6- 1600M C4 (8F)T..…9-12-7 W/ 2-8-4

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Nitro

UPDATE--- R#6- 1600M C4 (8F)T..…9-12-7 W/ 2-8-4

4-2-7-12– Dutch LOSS 49% Profit Margin - PASSED / $67.00 Quinella & $891.20 Triple BX & ($3,076.80 Quartet Bx) – All of that one!

[Nitro]

UPDATE--- R#7– 1800M C3 (9F)T….2-8-1 W/ 4-6-10

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Nitro

UPDATE--- R#7– 1800M C3 (9F)T….2-8-1 W/ 4-6-10

7-9-1-8– Dutch LOSS 66% Profit Margin - PLAYED / No action on the LS Winner #7 or LS Placer #9

[Nitro]

UPDATE---R#8- 1200M C3 (6F)T…..12-10-4 W/ 9-2-3