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06-10-2012, 12:14 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,288
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NBA Finals series odds
First out, OKC -170, Miami +150.
Thoughts?
I expect this price to drop significantly by Tuesday night, maybe OKC -130? I have to think money is going to come in on Miami.
I'm taking the Heat simply because of the value. Last year, I thought Miami would win but Dallas was my play simply because the odds were too good to pass up.
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06-10-2012, 12:41 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 14,582
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slew101
First out, OKC -170, Miami +150.
Thoughts?
I expect this price to drop significantly by Tuesday night, maybe OKC -130? I have to think money is going to come in on Miami.
I'm taking the Heat simply because of the value. Last year, I thought Miami would win but Dallas was my play simply because the odds were too good to pass up.
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It's OKC -155/ MIA +135 with Cal Neva books in Nevada this morning.
I'm guessing the Heat will get some action as the dog.....
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06-10-2012, 12:41 PM
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#3
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,844
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slew101
First out, OKC -170, Miami +150.
Thoughts?
I expect this price to drop significantly by Tuesday night, maybe OKC -130? I have to think money is going to come in on Miami.
I'm taking the Heat simply because of the value. Last year, I thought Miami would win but Dallas was my play simply because the odds were too good to pass up.
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I'm surprised the Heat aren't favored just due to being in the limelight so much.
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06-10-2012, 02:04 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 2,459
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
I'm surprised the Heat aren't favored just due to being in the limelight so much.
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Basketball is a sport that doesn't get much wagering action except from the regular customers. If it goes to 130 or less (think it sets at 150) the wiseguys will look to middle it.
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06-10-2012, 02:22 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: denton. tx
Posts: 2,966
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Odds are I won't watch a whole lot of it. I can't stand the hype!
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david stewart
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06-10-2012, 02:48 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,288
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Was looking at a couple offshore books. Ones that had OKC -170, now down to -165 or +145 for Miami.
Quote:
Originally Posted by horses4courses
It's OKC -155/ MIA +135 with Cal Neva books in Nevada this morning.
I'm guessing the Heat will get some action as the dog.....
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06-10-2012, 02:54 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,288
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Anyone know who that woman is always in the Heat runway at the half and end of games, and always shown on TV? LeBron kisses her every time, and I thought I saw Wade do the same the other night?
Not exactly what I'd want my star players focused on at halftime. It looks absurd.
Quote:
Originally Posted by dav4463
Odds are I won't watch a whole lot of it. I can't stand the hype!
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06-11-2012, 11:38 AM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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The West was definitely stronger than the East. The Heat struggled to beat an aging Boston team. They never had to play Chicago either. Certainly had an easier road to get there. I'll take the battle tested team, and its Ok-City.
But who will feel more pressure? It has to be Miami. Lebron already knows if they don't win, he'll get labelled as a guy who can't win a championship.
Last edited by Valuist; 06-11-2012 at 11:39 AM.
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06-11-2012, 11:56 AM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: On The Bay
Posts: 9,857
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slew101
Anyone know who that woman is always in the Heat runway at the half and end of games, and always shown on TV? LeBron kisses her every time, and I thought I saw Wade do the same the other night?
Not exactly what I'd want my star players focused on at halftime. It looks absurd.
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His Mother !
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06-11-2012, 12:21 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 3,089
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A better question may be what % of fans outside Florida are rooting for Miami? Over/under is probably 10%. "Everyone I know says who is Miami playing? That is who I am rooting for"
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06-11-2012, 12:45 PM
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#11
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,844
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jdhanover
A better question may be what % of fans outside Florida are rooting for Miami? Over/under is probably 10%. "Everyone I know says who is Miami playing? That is who I am rooting for"
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The Thunder needed the Heat to be the opponent for this Hollywood script to play out. It is the ultimate good vs evil showdown, even if the "evil" team isn't really evil.
They'll never live down the "not 4, not 5..." bullshit.
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06-11-2012, 07:51 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 2,359
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I do not favor OKC in this series as much as some. Okc does match up well with the Heat. I guess Lebron will have to guard Durant. Nobody else can do it. This will take a little starch out of both their sails. Thats a wash. Sefalosha( I assume) will guard Lebron. I give the advantage to OKC in the other matchups.
I hate this 2-3-2 format.
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06-11-2012, 08:18 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Anaheim,California
Posts: 4,675
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My prediction is OKC in 6. However, do not feel comfortable laying anything around 150. The better value would seem to be betting game by game. In case anyone needs a reminder, the schedule format is 2-3-2, not 2-2-1-1-1.
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06-11-2012, 09:26 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 14,036
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I'm just excited to watch this series. If I was making a prediction I would go with the Heat in 6. OKC has not faced a defense nearly this stout or physical. I don't think it will be pretty but I think the Heat take this series in OKC in game 6.
I hate the 2-3-2 format BTW.
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06-11-2012, 10:51 PM
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#15
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,844
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Quote:
Originally Posted by maddog42
I do not favor OKC in this series as much as some. Okc does match up well with the Heat. I guess Lebron will have to guard Durant. Nobody else can do it. This will take a little starch out of both their sails. Thats a wash. Sefalosha( I assume) will guard Lebron. I give the advantage to OKC in the other matchups.
I hate this 2-3-2 format.
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Durant will spend time guarding Lebron too. His defense is really underrated. He just doesn't always guard the toughest guy because he is more valuable on offense. When he has though, he has been very good this year.
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