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10-05-2015, 03:38 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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Turn Time
Turn Time is good for me to guess at form of cheaper horses, but does anyone here have another use for it?
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"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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10-05-2015, 03:56 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 1,000
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Couple solid TT(wide comments) with Jockey change for value opportunities
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10-05-2015, 04:09 PM
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#3
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,823
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I like to see my closers begin their moves in the second fraction rather than wait until the stretch. I also use it to separate the front runners. Friday, that horse Pandy talked about at KEE in the 8th was deficient in F1, but he was outstanding in TT, so what looked like a bad break and a rush up really was how he runs.
His BRIS numbers for E1 and E2 were 100 114, so his TT was +14. Work All Week had a 107 - 115, +8 TT.
Two ratings I use TT in are BRIS LP + TT for turf races, and TT + E2 to look at early and pressers. That is an old Sartin Contender Factor.
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Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Last edited by Tom; 10-05-2015 at 04:13 PM.
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10-05-2015, 05:42 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 2,956
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Capper Al
Turn Time is good for me to guess at form of cheaper horses, but does anyone here have another use for it?
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Here's a link to a discussion and a neat little program:
http://www.thorotech.com/freestuff/turntime.html
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10-05-2015, 06:59 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
I like to see my closers begin their moves in the second fraction rather than wait until the stretch. I also use it to separate the front runners. Friday, that horse Pandy talked about at KEE in the 8th was deficient in F1, but he was outstanding in TT, so what looked like a bad break and a rush up really was how he runs.
His BRIS numbers for E1 and E2 were 100 114, so his TT was +14. Work All Week had a 107 - 115, +8 TT.
Two ratings I use TT in are BRIS LP + TT for turf races, and TT + E2 to look at early and pressers. That is an old Sartin Contender Factor.
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Thanks Tom. These are the things that I'm trying to remember. Did Scott use second call(E2) + TT for his ability time?
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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10-05-2015, 07:09 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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Quote:
Originally Posted by upthecreek
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That pretty much points to the conflicting camps, FPS vs Pace Pars. Right now I'm leaning towards Pace Pars because BRIS makes it so easy, E2 - E1. And my default is for pars unless proven otherwise. To be fair, I do use FPS to build an alternate speed figure which BRIS has beaten up in reviewing of a few hundred races.
Thanks
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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10-05-2015, 09:52 PM
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#7
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,823
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AL, I don't remember - I think it was that or close to it.....I'll have to look that up.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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10-05-2015, 09:58 PM
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#8
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Veteran
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 3,428
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Capper Al
That pretty much points to the conflicting camps, FPS vs Pace Pars. Right now I'm leaning towards Pace Pars because BRIS makes it so easy, E2 - E1. And my default is for pars unless proven otherwise. To be fair, I do use FPS to build an alternate speed figure which BRIS has beaten up in reviewing of a few hundred races.
Thanks
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This is always a good idea to develop an alternative to verify a figure has validity since you're creating as an individual you need a way to ensure your method is valid.
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10-05-2015, 10:05 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: The Big Apple
Posts: 4,252
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Quote:
Originally Posted by whodoyoulike
This is always a good idea to develop an alternative to verify a figure has validity since you're creating as an individual you need a way to ensure your method is valid.
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I am confused by your post; what are validating or are your verifying?
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Independent thinking, emotional stability, and a keen understanding of both human and institutional behavior are vital to long-term investment success – My hero, Warren Edward Buffett
"Science is correct; even if you don't believe it" - Neil deGrasse Tyson
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10-05-2015, 10:18 PM
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#10
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Veteran
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 3,428
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cratos
I am confused by your post; what are validating or are your verifying?
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Capper Al
That pretty much points to the conflicting camps, FPS vs Pace Pars. Right now I'm leaning towards Pace Pars because BRIS makes it so easy, E2 - E1. And my default is for pars unless proven otherwise. To be fair, I do use FPS to build an alternate speed figure which BRIS has beaten up in reviewing of a few hundred races.
Thanks
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I was responding that it was a good idea to have an alternative to using Pace Pars by using FPS to build an alternate speed figure. And, if the results provide similar results it would lend credence that both are valid. I always try to double check my work as I go along.
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10-05-2015, 10:54 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: west view, pa. now Lancaster, Ca.
Posts: 3,382
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Capper Al
Thanks Tom. These are the things that I'm trying to remember. Did Scott use second call(E2) + TT for his ability time?
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dick mitchell AT
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Buy Sam a drink and get His dog one Too--->mlang
and now in Lancaster, CA.
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10-06-2015, 01:03 AM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: The Big Apple
Posts: 4,252
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Quote:
Originally Posted by whodoyoulike
I was responding that it was a good idea to have an alternative to using Pace Pars by using FPS to build an alternate speed figure. And, if the results provide similar results it would lend credence that both are valid. I always try to double check my work as I go along.
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OK I understand; thanks for the clarification
__________________
Independent thinking, emotional stability, and a keen understanding of both human and institutional behavior are vital to long-term investment success – My hero, Warren Edward Buffett
"Science is correct; even if you don't believe it" - Neil deGrasse Tyson
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10-06-2015, 10:31 AM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ldiatone
dick mitchell AT
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Thanks
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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10-06-2015, 10:32 AM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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Quote:
Originally Posted by whodoyoulike
I was responding that it was a good idea to have an alternative to using Pace Pars by using FPS to build an alternate speed figure. And, if the results provide similar results it would lend credence that both are valid. I always try to double check my work as I go along.
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I guess that's why I keep them around.
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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10-07-2015, 12:25 AM
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#15
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Mamma Kimbo
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 435
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great thread
Always find TT in interesting and profitable angle.
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briswizz
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