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Old 10-05-2015, 03:38 PM   #1
Capper Al
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Turn Time

Turn Time is good for me to guess at form of cheaper horses, but does anyone here have another use for it?
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Old 10-05-2015, 03:56 PM   #2
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Couple solid TT(wide comments) with Jockey change for value opportunities
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Old 10-05-2015, 04:09 PM   #3
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I like to see my closers begin their moves in the second fraction rather than wait until the stretch. I also use it to separate the front runners. Friday, that horse Pandy talked about at KEE in the 8th was deficient in F1, but he was outstanding in TT, so what looked like a bad break and a rush up really was how he runs.
His BRIS numbers for E1 and E2 were 100 114, so his TT was +14. Work All Week had a 107 - 115, +8 TT.

Two ratings I use TT in are BRIS LP + TT for turf races, and TT + E2 to look at early and pressers. That is an old Sartin Contender Factor.
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Old 10-05-2015, 05:42 PM   #4
upthecreek
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Capper Al
Turn Time is good for me to guess at form of cheaper horses, but does anyone here have another use for it?
Here's a link to a discussion and a neat little program:
http://www.thorotech.com/freestuff/turntime.html
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Old 10-05-2015, 06:59 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
I like to see my closers begin their moves in the second fraction rather than wait until the stretch. I also use it to separate the front runners. Friday, that horse Pandy talked about at KEE in the 8th was deficient in F1, but he was outstanding in TT, so what looked like a bad break and a rush up really was how he runs.
His BRIS numbers for E1 and E2 were 100 114, so his TT was +14. Work All Week had a 107 - 115, +8 TT.

Two ratings I use TT in are BRIS LP + TT for turf races, and TT + E2 to look at early and pressers. That is an old Sartin Contender Factor.
Thanks Tom. These are the things that I'm trying to remember. Did Scott use second call(E2) + TT for his ability time?
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Old 10-05-2015, 07:09 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by upthecreek
Here's a link to a discussion and a neat little program:
http://www.thorotech.com/freestuff/turntime.html
That pretty much points to the conflicting camps, FPS vs Pace Pars. Right now I'm leaning towards Pace Pars because BRIS makes it so easy, E2 - E1. And my default is for pars unless proven otherwise. To be fair, I do use FPS to build an alternate speed figure which BRIS has beaten up in reviewing of a few hundred races.

Thanks
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Old 10-05-2015, 09:52 PM   #7
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AL, I don't remember - I think it was that or close to it.....I'll have to look that up.
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Old 10-05-2015, 09:58 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Capper Al
That pretty much points to the conflicting camps, FPS vs Pace Pars. Right now I'm leaning towards Pace Pars because BRIS makes it so easy, E2 - E1. And my default is for pars unless proven otherwise. To be fair, I do use FPS to build an alternate speed figure which BRIS has beaten up in reviewing of a few hundred races.

Thanks
This is always a good idea to develop an alternative to verify a figure has validity since you're creating as an individual you need a way to ensure your method is valid.
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Old 10-05-2015, 10:05 PM   #9
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Originally Posted by whodoyoulike
This is always a good idea to develop an alternative to verify a figure has validity since you're creating as an individual you need a way to ensure your method is valid.
I am confused by your post; what are validating or are your verifying?
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Old 10-05-2015, 10:18 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cratos
I am confused by your post; what are validating or are your verifying?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Capper Al
That pretty much points to the conflicting camps, FPS vs Pace Pars. Right now I'm leaning towards Pace Pars because BRIS makes it so easy, E2 - E1. And my default is for pars unless proven otherwise. To be fair, I do use FPS to build an alternate speed figure which BRIS has beaten up in reviewing of a few hundred races.

Thanks
I was responding that it was a good idea to have an alternative to using Pace Pars by using FPS to build an alternate speed figure. And, if the results provide similar results it would lend credence that both are valid. I always try to double check my work as I go along.
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Old 10-05-2015, 10:54 PM   #11
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Originally Posted by Capper Al
Thanks Tom. These are the things that I'm trying to remember. Did Scott use second call(E2) + TT for his ability time?
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Old 10-06-2015, 01:03 AM   #12
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Originally Posted by whodoyoulike
I was responding that it was a good idea to have an alternative to using Pace Pars by using FPS to build an alternate speed figure. And, if the results provide similar results it would lend credence that both are valid. I always try to double check my work as I go along.
OK I understand; thanks for the clarification
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Old 10-06-2015, 10:31 AM   #13
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Originally Posted by ldiatone
dick mitchell AT
Thanks
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Old 10-06-2015, 10:32 AM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by whodoyoulike
I was responding that it was a good idea to have an alternative to using Pace Pars by using FPS to build an alternate speed figure. And, if the results provide similar results it would lend credence that both are valid. I always try to double check my work as I go along.
I guess that's why I keep them around.
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Old 10-07-2015, 12:25 AM   #15
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great thread

Always find TT in interesting and profitable angle.
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