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Old 08-29-2018, 12:54 AM   #61
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The 9% win rate is disturbing...lol

I'm working on that the most...
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Old 08-29-2018, 04:49 PM   #62
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Originally Posted by thaskalos View Post
Aren't you curious to find out if track selection might greatly improve your overall results? The probability that your handicapping method is universally applicable is basically nil...IMO. By excluding certain unfavorable racetracks, your results might astonish you.
I have a play that has been hitting around 25-30% with ~1.25 roi at certain tracks, but at others, it is under 10% and under .60 roi.
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Old 08-29-2018, 05:11 PM   #63
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I have a play that has been hitting around 25-30% with ~1.25 roi at certain tracks, but at others, it is under 10% and under .60 roi.

Maybe those tracks have something in common...like early/late speed is good
BUT.....Be careful Tom...sometimes things like that might turn on a dime...

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Old 08-29-2018, 10:14 PM   #64
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The plays do not use pace and speed lor running styles at all.
Beside, I track daily and weekly, so I always know when things are going south.
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Old 08-31-2018, 05:21 PM   #65
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689 profitable picks...500 under my prior run....189 under my current run

And they aren't the same "method"...this current 189 play run is only in its third day of experimentation...and it's not 189 races...it's 65 over three days thus far, but I'm betting 3 horses a race to win.

Go figure.
This brings back memories ;
I tried a system that had you play 3 horses a race in 1973 and I thought I found the Holy Grail . I had about 56 dollars in the bank yet was betting 60 dollars a race , money I did not have so I went to the shylocks at work .
Anyway I was hitting everything , even took off from work to take the bus to Monmouth park for a week straight . Usually one of the three was winning often enough to generate a good profit . I never organized my winnings just spent the cash like a drunken sailor. But when a win less day popped up the Holy Grail turned in to an empty Dixie cup . So PA congratulations I tip my hat to you Keep up the good work..
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Old 09-03-2018, 11:08 AM   #66
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With any rebate at the 97% you posted, there's nothing to reexamine...


You need to consider the size of the bets that you would need to make to make any serious money and what that would do to the pool at some of these tracks. You can't put much money on some longer priced horses at these mid to lower level tracks without cutting you own price.



While having a 3% edge is huge, you can only bet a certain amount before it goes away.
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