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05-07-2022, 09:06 AM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2021
Posts: 2,095
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Superfecta Filler(s)
One of the best things about the Kentucky Derby is wagering the Superfecta.
Life-changing payouts have been had. $800K or so can be in the cards if you play them right.
With that said who is your bottom fillers to create that 'lifer'?
 Tawny Port
 Barber Road
Those are my bottom fillers.
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05-07-2022, 09:24 AM
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#2
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Random Numbers Generator
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: In the grandstand looking under the seats for tickets or food
Posts: 2,291
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Rich Strike. The name fits.
__________________
Where will you be when diarrhea strikes?
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05-07-2022, 10:11 AM
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#3
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Enthusiast
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Maryland
Posts: 686
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I still like  as a legit selection, and qualifies as a filler at 80/1 (!). Another legitimate use is  at 40/1.
is a huge price that's not a hard toss. Not sure I can fit him in.
 ,  ,  worth a look.
Rich Strike, and especially  are just tosses for me, even for a hail Mary super.
That gets you to the upper half of the win pool. I need to study the exacta pool a little more—there's some significant discrepancies with the win pool. Not sure how much that matters in the bottom of a super. But I wonder if that 50/1 17th choice will pay proportionally as well in the exotics.
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05-07-2022, 12:09 PM
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#4
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Enthusiast
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Maryland
Posts: 686
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I think is a sneaky top choice for this.
He's paying much better underneath the top choices than  in the exacta pool, even though they're similar values in the win pool. He's paying about the same as , which is a substantially more generous price in the win pool.
I know he's "only" 13th choice at 33/1 in the win pool, but suspect he's value underneath. I bet folks are betting him only on top on the off chance he wires the field. But he's come in second twice, and fourth once—within three lengths. He's 14th choice in the place and show pools.
Dosage is 2.11. DRF gave him the best rating for the distance in the field, 333. BRIS rating and sire/dam sire AWD are meh, though.
Most of the other figs and ratings are "N/A," which is probably more good than bad.
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05-07-2022, 03:42 PM
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#5
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Enthusiast
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Maryland
Posts: 686
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Got it down to $77.
 ,  ,  / , ,  /  , , ,  , / , , ,
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05-07-2022, 03:55 PM
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#6
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Just Deplorable
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Lebanon, Ohio
Posts: 8,068
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Tiz the Bomb has points, money, local connections, etc. And is about 25-1 now. May not make for a life-changing score, but would surely help one finish in the black.
And then, if you hook him up with the other Turfway connections in exactas, like I just did, there might not be too many of those out there. 
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05-07-2022, 04:19 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Location: st louis
Posts: 2,985
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PalaceOfFortLarned
One of the best things about the Kentucky Derby is wagering the Superfecta.
Life-changing payouts have been had. $800K or so can be in the cards if you play them right.
With that said who is your bottom fillers to create that 'lifer'?
Tawny Port
Barber Road
Those are my bottom fillers. |
For me it is the I don't see any other horse over 20-1 who appeals to me whatsoever.
__________________
You will never achieve 100% if 99% is okay!
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05-07-2022, 06:33 PM
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#8
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Enthusiast
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Maryland
Posts: 686
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Modified my wager
, , , / , , , / , , , / , , , ,
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05-11-2022, 05:52 PM
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#9
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Random Numbers Generator
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: In the grandstand looking under the seats for tickets or food
Posts: 2,291
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I was right. He did fill in one of the superfecta spots. 
__________________
Where will you be when diarrhea strikes?
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05-13-2022, 01:36 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2017
Location: Near Lexington, KY
Posts: 3,246
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BlueChip@DRF
I was right. He did fill in one of the superfecta spots. |
__________________
Just when you least expect it...just what you least expect-The Pet Shop Boys.
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05-17-2022, 05:42 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2018
Location: South of heaven
Posts: 385
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BlueChip@DRF
I was right. He did fill in one of the superfecta spots. |
This is the best post of the year so far.
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