Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Handicapping Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 05-26-2023, 02:43 PM   #1
TP83WPS
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2023
Posts: 3
Post LOW/Decent Takeout Percentages

I was hoping we could use this thread to post some of the sub 20% Takeouts

Here is what I have so far:

Gulfstream:
P5- 15%

NYRA Tracks (Aqueduct, Belmont, Saratoga):
P5,P6 - 15%
DD - 18.5%

Hawthorne:
P4,P5 - 15%
WPS - 12%

Santa Anita:
Early P5 - 14%

Assiniboia:
P4 - 15%

Century Mile:
P5 - 10%
DD, P3, P4 - 15%
WPS - 19%

Fort Erie:
P4 - 17%

Woodbine:
Win - 15%

Monmouth:
P4,P5 - 15%
WPS - 17%

Louisiana Downs:
P4,P5 - 15%

TP83WPS is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-26-2023, 04:32 PM   #2
Robert Fischer
clean money
 
Robert Fischer's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
good idea for a thread
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Robert Fischer is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-26-2023, 10:01 PM   #3
BarchCapper
Registered User
 
BarchCapper's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2019
Location: Clarksville, AR
Posts: 1,218
Chris Larmey of the Sport of Kings and Bet With the Best podcast and on the NHC Players' Committee has put together a color coded chart with good/bad takeouts across North America.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1_gQ...PVklEX3tP/view
__________________
Tom in NW Arkansas
——————
”Past performances are no guarantee of future results.” - Why isn't this disclaimer printed in the Daily Racing Form?
BarchCapper is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-27-2023, 07:07 AM   #4
Michael
Registered User
 
Michael's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Long Island, NY
Posts: 753
Quote:
Originally Posted by BarchCapper View Post
Chris Larmey of the Sport of Kings and Bet With the Best podcast and on the NHC Players' Committee has put together a color coded chart with good/bad takeouts across North America.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1_gQ...PVklEX3tP/view
Thanks for the link Barch.

Just looking at the pdf... I understand Kentucky Downs increased their take by 1% across the board. It just seems irrational to "boycott" them when they're providing full fields of 12 on the turf for a single week out of the year.

I mean... the guy codes ever single one of their bets green and at the same time says boycott.

Forget the takeout - Kentucky Downs needs to fix their run up distances.
Michael is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-27-2023, 08:25 AM   #5
Michael
Registered User
 
Michael's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Long Island, NY
Posts: 753
Are these rates actually reasonable for the common 7 horse fields we're seeing these days?

I'm honestly not sure if this is political... but it reminds me of stamps. How can you charge me 49 cents to mail a letter down the street to my next door neighbor? While at the same time charge me the same price to mail a letter to Alaska? Charles Ponzi would be laughing his ass off at forever stamps.

This isn't rocket surgery.

Should the takeout be 17% for a 12 horse field on the turf? should we boycott Kentucky Downs because of a 1% hike?

If there was only 6 horses entered... that's half of a race.

Should the take be 8.5%? Obv my post is absurd... or is it?
Michael is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-27-2023, 09:05 AM   #6
BarchCapper
Registered User
 
BarchCapper's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2019
Location: Clarksville, AR
Posts: 1,218
Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael View Post
Thanks for the link Barch.

Just looking at the pdf... I understand Kentucky Downs increased their take by 1% across the board. It just seems irrational to "boycott" them when they're providing full fields of 12 on the turf for a single week out of the year.

I mean... the guy codes ever single one of their bets green and at the same time says boycott.

Forget the takeout - Kentucky Downs needs to fix their run up distances.
Some of the distress is based on the fact that KD is swimming in money now, and was able to do another big increase in purses, yet had to also increase the takeout.

He's not the only one railing at Kentucky Downs for the increase. Me - I find it funny that both Keeneland a few years ago, and Kentucky Downs now, get railed at for increases, while all the CDI owned tracks maintain the HIGHEST takeout in the state, and nobody's calling for boycotts of them (except me, every time a KD boycott is mentioned )

I'm happy to get mad at Kentucky Downs (because no, I don't think they were right to increase the take), as long as people are ALSO getting mad at Churchill Downs!!!
__________________
Tom in NW Arkansas
——————
”Past performances are no guarantee of future results.” - Why isn't this disclaimer printed in the Daily Racing Form?
BarchCapper is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-27-2023, 09:28 AM   #7
Michael
Registered User
 
Michael's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Long Island, NY
Posts: 753
Quote:
Originally Posted by BarchCapper View Post
Some of the distress is based on the fact that KD is swimming in money now, and was able to do another big increase in purses, yet had to also increase the takeout.

He's not the only one railing at Kentucky Downs for the increase. Me - I find it funny that both Keeneland a few years ago, and Kentucky Downs now, get railed at for increases, while all the CDI owned tracks maintain the HIGHEST takeout in the state, and nobody's calling for boycotts of them (except me, every time a KD boycott is mentioned )

I'm happy to get mad at Kentucky Downs (because no, I don't think they were right to increase the take), as long as people are ALSO getting mad at Churchill Downs!!!
Exactly! I'm on board with your logic.

Truth be told... I woke up on the wrong side of the bed this morning. Neighbor's kid graduated high school and they had all her friends over for a party. One of them slashed my spare tire with a knife and I had to yell at my neighbor.

So I maybe just going off on the track takeouts a bit bc I'm pissed off.
I swear I have no clue what's going on in this world anymore.
Michael is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-27-2023, 09:29 AM   #8
therussmeister
Out-of-town Jasper
 
therussmeister's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 2,364
Quote:
Originally Posted by BarchCapper View Post
Some of the distress is based on the fact that KD is swimming in money now, and was able to do another big increase in purses, yet had to also increase the takeout.
I wonder if the increase is their response to penny breakage.
__________________
“If you want to outwit the devil, it is extremely important that you don't give him advanced notice."

~Alan Watts
therussmeister is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-27-2023, 09:48 AM   #9
MJC922
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2012
Posts: 1,542
Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael View Post
Exactly! I'm on board with your logic.

Truth be told... I woke up on the wrong side of the bed this morning. Neighbor's kid graduated high school and they had all her friends over for a party. One of them slashed my spare tire with a knife and I had to yell at my neighbor.

So I maybe just going off on the track takeouts a bit bc I'm pissed off.
I swear I have no clue what's going on in this world anymore.
I'm with you there. As many issues as racing might have it's still a comforting refuge and escape from the madness and downward spiral that lives on outside of the racing bubble. Hope your holiday weekend improves.
__________________
North American Class Rankings
MJC922 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-27-2023, 04:50 PM   #10
Robert Fischer
clean money
 
Robert Fischer's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
Don't forget

- the jackpot/rainbow type of 'single winnner' or carryover bets tend to be terrible, but occasionally good on the mandatory payout day.

- and there are some wagers that increase takeout when there is a carryover
example = 15% on pick 6 with no carryover – 25% with carryover (at NYRA tracks)

yet another blog/article https://www.casino.org/blog/takeout-rates/
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Robert Fischer is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-28-2023, 10:09 AM   #11
Michael
Registered User
 
Michael's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Long Island, NY
Posts: 753
Quote:
Originally Posted by MJC922 View Post
I'm with you there. As many issues as racing might have it's still a comforting refuge and escape from the madness and downward spiral that lives on outside of the racing bubble. Hope your holiday weekend improves.
Thanks MJC. Appreciate it. Oddly it helps knowing I'm not the only one losing their mind at how mental things are these days.
Michael is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:08 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.