What's Your Derby Play?

[depalma113]

Originally Posted by zico20

I guess I will go down in flames all by myself it looks like. I love Mage, if he breaks well and that is a big if, he should be sitting right behind the leaders and have five lengths on Forte instead of being five behind him.

with with 22. for third and fourth. Then put Forte in the third and fourth spots with those horses. That super should pay real well if it comes in.

If Mage doesn't hit the board, I don't cash.

[JustRalph]

I cannot separate the above by more than a length.....hell ...gonna have to box them.

would get win tickets at their prices.

Longshots: 2nd flight.....but with little improvement, they could win it. I love Johnny V on a 50-1 shot

[Michael]

Still working on how to attack tomorrow. Have a live future bet on Candy Ride at 30/1. (Confidence Game & Hit Show) Which I'm glad I made back in November... Lord only knows how these horses are going to run.

Good Luck everyone

[dballard125]

It’s sorta hard to believe that there isn’t one horse over 50-1 right now in live betting.

[zico20]

Originally Posted by zico20

I guess I will go down in flames all by myself it looks like. I love Mage, if he breaks well and that is a big if, he should be sitting right behind the leaders and have five lengths on Forte instead of being five behind him.

with with 22. for third and fourth. Then put Forte in the third and fourth spots with those horses. That super should pay real well if it comes in.

With Skinner out I am throwing in the in his place.

[CheckMark]

my picks+bets below with some analysis

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Good luck tomorrow ladies and gentlemen! Going to be a GREAT one!

[boys at tosconova]

Originally Posted by dballard125

It’s sorta hard to believe that there isn’t one horse over 50-1 right now in live betting.

it's funny to watch the casual bettors and rich strike do this to longshots. if you like any of the longshots exotics is the way to go. hard to believe the worst horses in this race will translate into worst win values
as well.

[keithw84]

$5 W on
$2 W on
$2 WPS on 22 (Where is the icon for 22, lol?)
$2 Ex: //22 w/ ///22
$1 Tri: / w/ ///22 w//////22
Total Bets: $55

[horses4courses]

10 units WIN - 14 units SHOW (24 units)

1 unit EX Box
#22 (12 units)

1 unit TRI
in 1st and 2nd
with #22 (24 units)

60 units wagered (it's a big race, right?)
Regardless of whether your bet unit is $1 or $100.

Good luck, everyone!!!

[keithw84]

Originally Posted by horses4courses

10 units WIN - 14 units SHOW (24 units)

1 unit EX Box
#22 (12 units)

1 unit TRI
in 1st and 2nd
with #22 (24 units)

60 units wagered (it's a big race, right?)
Regardless of whether your bet unit is $1 or $100.

Good luck, everyone!!!

I like that someone else is interested in Disarm. I like that his speed figures are steadily improving and that he always moves up in position over the course of his races.

[dballard125]

Changing my bets with Skinner out and the 22 in.


50 cent tri


22

50 cent tri
22



$2 ex box


$1 ex
22


And I'll do a few 50 cent supers for fun.

[Nitro]

My Derby selections (in case you missed it) are located in Post #10 on
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...d.php?t=175990

I’ll be using my preferred top selections in Vertical Exotics like the Triple and Super. At the moment, my top 4 look like great Keys to work with, and I’ll base my final permutations on using them in many of the top 4 slots. I believe that if every entry can run to its demonstrated capabilities that I’ll have decent shot at cashing.

The unknowns of course in large fields like this involve troubled trips. I believe that horses that have shown a tendency to have racing difficulties will continue to do so, but I also believe that high quality/classy animals can very often overcome adversity. That’s why I’m a bit skeptical about the inherent Class of those beyond my top 6 selections.

GL
.
.

[horses4courses]

Originally Posted by keithw84

I like that someone else is interested in Disarm. I like that his speed figures are steadily improving and that he always moves up in position over the course of his races.

Disarm

Trouble in each of his last two outings.
With clear sailing this time, who knows?

Obviously, not my top win candidate.
Has a fair chance to hit the board.

[JustRalph]

Originally Posted by JustRalph

I cannot separate the above by more than a length.....hell ...gonna have to box them.

would get win tickets at their prices.

Longshots: 2nd flight.....but with little improvement, they could win it. I love Johnny V on a 50-1 shot

I actually sneaked/snuck out to SHRP and placed some bets on the horses above. I had 3 bucks left in the voucher and dropped that on the nose of kingbarns.big spender huh?

I’m spread in the exacta w above horses on exacta and super boxes. Also

25 win on
20 to win on
20 to win on

Skipped the win bet on the …….

First time I’ve bet the Derby in a while. $150 bucks all in.

Btw, I didnt know SHRP Had live racing going on. Pretty decent crowd for as late as it was

[Sunday Silence]

Not really. All horses odds get watered down in the Derby. What should be 60-1 shots are 30-1