FORMULA'S ONGOING RESULTS -

[formula_2002]

having reviewed well over 400 races, i've made some adjustments to the playable races follows;

for the win bets, factor to be >1.80, bet size >0

additionally, there is also a win play for factor>=1.50, bet size >=70

the exactas will also apply for each of the two win plays and will be posted as such.

the beat the favorite plays will consist of a factor <1.50 and column bh figure >=3.04. and bet size <30

i'll post the plays in the selection forum "FORMULA'S PLAYS, WEEK OF 5/8/2023.

I'll also make an occasional reference to late money action, whenever the late money drives the odds down by >=150 %

[Triopstor]

Originally Posted by formula_2002

[B][COLOR="BLACK"]


47 RACES WHEN MY CALULATED BET SIZE >=15 AND MY FACTOR >=1.45
$1 FB RETURN = $1.14
MY $1 BET SIZE RETURN = $1.12
70% WINNERS
STRAIGHT EXACATA FAV/ALL $1 RETURNED $1.09

ATRpro PROGARM IS USED FOR DOWNLOADING THE WPS AND EXACTA BOARDS ONLY. ALL FORMULA'S AND PLAYS ARE MINE. NO ACTUAL BETTING IS DONE AT THIS TIME

Hi!

What occurs when the "MY CALCULATED BET SIZE IS <15 AND MY FACTOR >=1.45"?

[formula_2002]

Originally Posted by Triopstor

Hi!

What occurs when the "MY CALCULATED BET SIZE IS <15 AND MY FACTOR >=1.45"?

something like my doctor's answer to my question about how i would feel if my pacemaker was no longer pacing, "you will not fell well".

here is an update

betting against the favorite.
factor <1.5, bet size >30
$1 return $1.09, 27 races 18 wins

betting the favorite.
condition 1
factor>=1.80, $1 return !.09, 27 races , 18 wins

condition 2
factor >=1.50, bet size >=60
44 races, 30 wins.

over 600 races reviewed

[formula_2002]

HERE IS A WEEKLY UPDATE, 5/8/2023 through 5/14/2020
TOTAL RACES REVIEWED ABOUT 350

BETTING AGAINST THE FAVORITE
FACTOR (BH SHEET 2) <1.5, INDICATOR (CO/BF SHEET 2)>=3.03530
BET SIZES, LINES BH 147 THROUGH BH 149 SHEET 2
19 PLAYS
10 WINS
53% WINNERS
$1 FLAT BET RETURN $0.85
MY BET SIZE $1 RETURN $0.85

BETTING THE FAVORITE CONDITION 1
FACTOR (BH SHEET 2) >=1.80,
BET SIZE, P/X SHEET 1
22 PLAYS.
12 WINS
55% WINNERS
$1 FLAT BET RETURN $0.81
MY BET SIZE $1 RETURN $081

BETTING THE FAVORITE CONDITION 2
FACTOR (BH SHEET 2) >=1.50,
BET SIZE, P/X SHEET 1
25 PLAYS.
13 WINS
52% WINNERS
$1 FLAT BET RETURN $0.81
MY BET SIZE $1 RETURN $0.81

[formula_2002]

ALL FURTHER RESULTS AND PLAY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSTED IN THE SELECTION FORUM

HERE IS A WEEKLY UPDATE, 5/15/2023 through 5/20/2020
TOTAL RACES REVIEWED ABOUT 350

BETTING AGAINST THE FAVORITE
FACTOR (BH SHEET 2) <1.5, INDICATOR (CO/BF SHEET 2)>=3.03530
BET SIZES, LINES BP 147 THROUGH BP 149 SHEET 2
27 PLAYS
19 WINS
73% WINNERS
$1 FLAT BET RETURN $1.16
MY BET SIZE $1 RETURN $1.16

BETTING THE FAVORITE CONDITION 1
FACTOR (BH SHEET 2) >=1.70,
BET SIZE, P/X SHEET 1
17 PLAYS.
11 WINS
65% WINNERS
$1 FLAT BET RETURN $0.95
MY BET SIZE $1 RETURN $0.93

BETTING THE FAVORITE CONDITION 2
FACTOR (BH SHEET 2) >=1.50,
BET SIZE, P/X SHEET 1
NO PLAYS

[formula_2002]

FACTOR>>>=	2.93	WIN BET>>=	0.0327	 	 RACE EXACTA COMBINATIONS AND BET SIZES															 	 
DATE	TRACK	RACE #	PRNO	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11.00	12	13	14	15	16	EX BET TOT	factor>=1.7 or factor >1.50 and win bet size <0.10
5/21	BEL	3	10	$0.00	$58.24	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00	$58.24

[elhelmete]

Originally Posted by formula_2002

ALL FURTHER RESULTS AND PLAY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSTED IN THE SELECTION FORUM

I guess not...

[formula_2002]

Originally Posted by elhelmete

I guess not...

OH, THAT PLAY WAS POSTED HERE IN ERROR.

5 POSTED PLAYS IN THE SELECTION FORUM ALL WON.
ON THE DAY 7 WINS IN 8 RACES

[Half Smoke]

Originally Posted by formula_2002

OH, THAT PLAY WAS POSTED HERE IN ERROR.

5 POSTED PLAYS IN THE SELECTION FORUM ALL WON.
ON THE DAY 7 WINS IN 8 RACES

this is what you posted yesterday at 5:22 p.m. in the selections thread:

Originally Posted by formula_2002

RACE	PGNO	PGNO	PGNO
WO_	9	4	3	8
	BETS	$1.06	$1.01	$0.95
NOTES: <1.5,bh>=3.04,BS<30	1.13	3.18	16.59

first of all race 1 at Woodbine went off at 1:12 p.m.

the 3 horse won race 9 but the 4, 3 and 8 didn't win any races at Woodbine

your notes are incomprehensible as are the figures which you don't bother to explain what they mean - I assume they are odds and payouts - but why would you name 4 horses and have 3 figures on top and 3 figures on the bottom

you don't indicate what race nos. you are referring to

I would like to try and follow some of your stuff - but I don't know why your posts are so abstruse

why can't you post what you are trying to say in simple language___?

if you continue to choose to post in such an unclear manner then your posts are totally worthless to me


all you have to say is this - BEFORE THE RACE STARTS

Wo - R1 - #5 - m.l. 4/1

R5 #6 m.l. 2/1

R7 #3 m.l. 8/5

R9 #1 m.l. 3/1


it's as simple as that - all of your other stuff is totally useless


.

[Half Smoke]

.

too late to edit

meant to say the #3 horse won race 9 and the 8 horse won races 4, 7, and 8 at Woodbine but the #9 and #4 horse didn't win any races

it looks to me like you are deliberately posting in an abstruse manner as a kind of showing off

.

[headhawg]

Originally Posted by Half Smoke

it looks to me like you are deliberately posting in an abstruse manner as a kind of showing off

Plenty of members here have pointed out the ineffectuality and inanity of his so-called research. It has zero practical value. How can you trust it? For example, if this was serious research he would know exactly how many races he reviewed. Instead he writes "about 350". It's impossible to take this stuff seriously; it's mostly mental masturbation for him. Reactions to his posts are akin to the expression "bad press is better than no press".

The best thing to do is simply look away. He craves view counts which is why he starts a zillion threads which are usually about the same useless topic. I am weening myself from looking at his posts because it's not even entertaining anymore. It's more along the lines of "there's nothing to see here".

[formula_2002]

 				
TRACK	RACE	PGNO	PGNO	PGNO
wo	9	4	3	8
	BETS	$1.06	$1.01	$0.95
NOTES: <1.5,BH OR BM>=3.04,BS<30

you are right regarding the post. I cleared it up as shown above

Its the 9th race at woodbine (wo as indicated it ATRpro software).
this structure represents the bet against the favorite by betting;
$1.06 on pgno (program number) 4
$1.01 on pgno 3
$0.95 on pgno 8

the notes at the bottom indicate the conditions for the bet (my reference only)

my calculations are made ATRpro time slot for the first zero minutes after 1 minute (see the attached). At that point, depending on the track the horses could be way off of the starting gate or loading into it.

the 3 horse won, $1 win return was $5.60, bet size on the 3 was $1.06.
total bet on 4,3 and 8 was $3.02

[formula_2002]

Originally Posted by headhawg

Plenty of members here have pointed out the ineffectuality and inanity of his so-called research. It has zero practical value. How can you trust it? For example, if this was serious research he would know exactly how many races he reviewed. Instead he writes "about 350". It's impossible to take this stuff seriously; it's mostly mental masturbation for him. Reactions to his posts are akin to the expression "bad press is better than no press".

The best thing to do is simply look away. He craves view counts which is why he starts a zillion threads which are usually about the same useless topic. I am weening myself from looking at his posts because it's not even entertaining anymore. It's more along the lines of "there's nothing to see here".

on a good day, its about 50 races per day.

I have a file structure that indicates every race reviewed.
extracting that data will take a bit of work if and when I think it worth the effort.
someone who knows what they are doing can probably extract it in a flash. For me, it will take a bit of work.

You truly need to put you mind and hand in a better place.

Have a great day.
O, have a successful weening process.

[formula_2002]

LINK TO SELECTION FORUM.
MY RESULTS 5/8 THROUGH 5/27
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...52#post2880352

[formula_2002]

Originally Posted by headhawg

Just more of the same...

FOR YOUR ENJOYMENT.
NOT MOVING THE GOLD POST JUST MOVING THE FOOTBALL TO A BETTER LOCATION