.
re Rufus Peabody who developed a software company, Unabated, to formulate and sell sports picks
to be clear, I'm not recommending anybody buy his picks - I would never do that
but from several different articles the guy is a major league bettor himself - and the link is a story about his personal betting
the link tells how he bet the last Super Bowl - his thing is props - he had 130 different bets on just that one game - he and his team had more than $2 million worth of action on the game
from the article:
"Most of what Rufus and his team want to bet are unders, meaning players will get fewer yards, or points or tackles than the totals set by the bookmakers.
The public, however hates unders. We don't want to bet that something won't happen. We want to bet that something will happen. We like to bet overs.
Which means that by game day, and really the closer to the game the better, the bookmakers will move the lines ever so slightly up, to try to attract some action on the unders.
For people who want to bet overs, Rufus says bet early. If you want to bet unders wait as long as you can.
'I basically want nothing to happen,' Rufus says."
https://www.theringer.com/2022/9/28/...-rufus-peabody
.