My choice for the Belmont is as follows:
Tonalist – Well-bred for this distance and his race in the Peter Pan only enhanced his status in my mind because he came off a solid pace and drew away.
Ride On Curlin – A hard knocker and going wide in the Preakness might have cost him the victory.
Commissioner – The last of the AP Indys and Todd Pletcher is “on fire” at Belmont; this could be a day for Pletcher to remember considering all of the horses he entered for all of the races.
*Samraat – This is my sleeper and he will challenge California Chrome to the 1-1/8 mile pole.
What about California Chrome? I will stick to my belief that pedigree is important for class and distance.
Therefore I don’t see this horse having either the breeding or class to win the Belmont. Yes, he did win the Ky Derby in a pedestrian time with a slow pace and uncanny racing luck. In the Preakness I wasn’t impressed with his performance albeit it was good.
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