When you say that the bettors "will not take the short odds", are you advocating betting on these 3/5 shots that we occasionally see...simply because they figure on paper to be 2/5?
I would say that.
(Assuming, of course, that I have history that says such 3/5s as THIS one are profitable FOR ME.)
(Assuming, of course, that I have history that says such 3/5s as THIS one are profitable FOR ME.)
I am in that school. I do not like betting odds on horse straight, I much rather single them in a pick 3/4/5 or key them on top when I like them. I don't doubt they could be profitable, especially with rebates, it is just a tendency I have always had. These horses can be tricky however, you sometimes do not know if you are going to get 2/5, 3/5 or 4/5 until after the bell, and that is break even of .70 to .55. If I am keying him in a pick 3 I don't particularly care, but if I was trying to grind out profits these late odds changes can be monumental.
These are horses that make you want to dutch the rest of the field
Robert,
When I read the above, it reminded me of a race at Ak-Sar-Ben back in the early 80s where, except for the 4-1 second choice, you could have literally dutch the rest of the field and not lost money - and the heavy favorite lost.
began to take heavy late money and enter minus-pool territory, and then was a late scratch by the stewards. 
