Bomb Search Experiment

[coachv30]

Today I would like to add a variable to this angle. I will research the most favorable posts for each track for the current meet and limit my selections to these posts only. Qualifiers need a 8-1 morning line or better as well as the same driver/trainer.

[coachv30]

I went with the top 4 posts instead.

Balmoral (Posts 5,10,4,6)

2-4
4-5
5-6

Buffalo (posts 1,2,4,3)

2-1
3-2
4-4
9-4
11-1,2
12-4

Harrahs Philly (posts 5,4,3,2)

11-4

Ocean (posts 1,3,2,5)

3-3
8-5

Pocono (posts 4,5,1,3)

2-5
3-4

Running Aces (posts 5,3,2,4)

2-5
4-2
8-5
10-4

Saratoga (posts 1,2,3,4)

4-3
6-4
7-1
9-4

Vernon (posts 5,4,1,2)

1-1,2
2-1
3-5
5-4
6-1
8-4

30 selections

$60 wagered

[spreader]

For your future reference Yonkers driver Larry Stalbaum is married to trainer Kim Asher. I do not believe this has effected your calculations to date . They placed at 13-1 in the 11th at Yonkers last night.

[LottaKash]

Originally Posted by spreader

For your future reference Yonkers driver Larry Stalbaum is married to trainer Kim Asher. I do not believe this has effected your calculations to date . They placed at 13-1 in the 11th at Yonkers last night.

I always wondered about that relationship between the two of them...He always got first call on her horses....

How could he not...haha..

[coachv30]

I think it's time to put a lid on this experiment. Time is showing that this angle is not profitable over the long term Sure....you may hit lightning in a bottle every now and then but there are just too many to cover for long term profit.

For those of you who know baseball terminology, I took an "0 for" today.

[pandy]

Nice try Coach. Tests are very good and you can often learn from them. When I develop and expand on my handicapping methodology, it involves a lot of testing of different theories and I learn things along the way.

When Ray posted those Robot stats, I knew your method was doomed. Ray's Robot knows....

[traynor]

Originally Posted by coachv30

I think it's time to put a lid on this experiment. Time is showing that this angle is not profitable over the long term Sure....you may hit lightning in a bottle every now and then but there are just too many to cover for long term profit.

For those of you who know baseball terminology, I took an "0 for" today.

It has made a good case for avoiding small sample models when developing wagering strategies. The scenarios that seem the most productive in small samples are often the most misleading.

[spicytomato]

I do this sometimes as a short cut for a few wins

However, I do check the % of wps rate on the data on the websites

I do not just bet them because they have the same driver trainer
and higher ML

I also check for visiting drivers, one night Cory C hit quite a few long
while visiting

It was a good thread to follow

thanks