|
|
01-26-2019, 01:10 PM
|
#61
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
|
RACE 16
PARX 3
A-6, B-3, C-1, D-2, E-7
$1 EX
6/2
3/2,7
1/2,7
2/1,3,6,7
7/1,2,3,6
WAGERED- $13
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
Last edited by coachv30; 01-26-2019 at 01:16 PM.
|
|
|
01-26-2019, 01:21 PM
|
#62
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by coachv30
RACE 16
PARX 3
A-6, B-3, C-1, D-2, E-7
$1 EX
6/2
3/2,7
1/2,7
2/1,3,6,7
7/1,2,3,6
WAGERED- $13
|
FINISHED 6-3-1-2-5
Did not qualify
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
|
|
|
01-26-2019, 01:28 PM
|
#63
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
|
RACE 17
GULFSTREAM 5
Only 5 runners
$1 EX
6 / 7,9
7/ 6,9
9 / 4,6,7,8
WAGERED- $8
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
|
|
|
01-26-2019, 01:40 PM
|
#64
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by coachv30
RACE 17
GULFSTREAM 5
Only 5 runners
$1 EX
6 / 7,9
7/ 6,9
9 / 4,6,7,8
WAGERED- $8
|
FINISHED 4-6-7-8
Did not qualify
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
|
|
|
01-26-2019, 01:40 PM
|
#65
|
what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by coachv30
I plan on testing a new exacta strategy.
First off...with this strategy, I'm looking for a $24 return or better for $1. The Max total wager is $8.00. I will begin by handicapping the race as usual, narrowing it down to my top 5 contenders. Based on qualitative / quantitative factors, i will identify those top 5 using (A-E). "A" being my top selection, "E" being my fifth selection.
Only selections A and /or B can / will be on top in the exacta, depending on the projected will pays.
At 5 minutes to post, i will look at projections to see which combos meet my $24 goal. I wiil look at the following combos:
A-B, A-C, A-D, A-E as well as B-A, B-C, B-D, B-E..
If by chance, all eight combos are paying $24 or more, then my ticket wii be...
$1 EX- A, B / A,B,C,D,E
Lets say only B-C and B-D meet the criteria....i will then play..
$4 EX- B / C,D- $8
|
I'LL OFFER AN UNSOLICITATED VIEW .
I DON'T KNOW OF ANY SUCCESSFUL EXCATA PLAY THAT CAN WIN LONG TERM, UNLESS THE ACUTAL EXACTA PAYOUT, EXCEEDS THE CALCULATED PAYOUT AS BASED ON THE WIN POOLS ODD.
IF INTERESTED, I HAVE THAT CALCULATION ON EXACTAMATRIX.COM
GOOD LUCK AND ENJOY
PS OF COURSE IF YOUR ODDS LINE IS SOME DEGREE BETTER THAN THE PUBLIC'S ,THEN YOU SHOULD USE THAT ODDS LINE IN THE CALCULATION
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
|
|
|
01-26-2019, 01:54 PM
|
#66
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
I'LL OFFER AN UNSOLICITATED VIEW .
I DON'T KNOW OF ANY SUCCESSFUL EXCATA PLAY THAT CAN WIN LONG TERM, UNLESS THE ACUTAL EXACTA PAYOUT, EXCEEDS THE CALCULATED PAYOUT AS BASED ON THE WIN POOLS ODD.
IF INTERESTED, I HAVE THAT CALCULATION ON EXACTAMATRIX.COM
GOOD LUCK AND ENJOY
PS OF COURSE IF YOUR ODDS LINE IS SOME DEGREE BETTER THAN THE PUBLIC'S ,THEN YOU SHOULD USE THAT ODDS LINE IN THE CALCULATION
|
Thanks Formula.....after 100 races, I plan on taking out the bottom and top outliers and seeing what the results look like. Right now, that $600+ payout will be coming out at the end....although it is a beautiful score.
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
|
|
|
01-26-2019, 01:56 PM
|
#67
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
I'LL OFFER AN UNSOLICITATED VIEW .
I DON'T KNOW OF ANY SUCCESSFUL EXCATA PLAY THAT CAN WIN LONG TERM, UNLESS THE ACUTAL EXACTA PAYOUT, EXCEEDS THE CALCULATED PAYOUT AS BASED ON THE WIN POOLS ODD.
IF INTERESTED, I HAVE THAT CALCULATION ON EXACTAMATRIX.COM
GOOD LUCK AND ENJOY
PS OF COURSE IF YOUR ODDS LINE IS SOME DEGREE BETTER THAN THE PUBLIC'S ,THEN YOU SHOULD USE THAT ODDS LINE IN THE CALCULATION
|
BTW....These are the rules I'm actually testing...
I am not going to limit myself to just my A and B selections on top. Instead, I will use any combo out of A,B,C,D,E that shows a $24 or higher return at roughly 5 minutes to post.
I want to eventually make this my method of play if it shows profit at the end. I'm just happy I made this tweak early in the test. I can assure you that there will be no more tweaks to what I'm testing.
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
|
|
|
01-26-2019, 02:01 PM
|
#68
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
|
RACE 18
GULFSTREAM 6
A-14, B-9, C-7, D-2, E-1
$1 EBX
1,2,7,9,14
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
|
|
|
01-26-2019, 02:13 PM
|
#69
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by coachv30
RACE 18
GULFSTREAM 6
A-14, B-9, C-7, D-2, E-1
$1 EBX
1,2,7,9,14
|
FINISHED 9-10-1-14
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
|
|
|
01-26-2019, 02:39 PM
|
#70
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
|
RACE 19
GULFSTREAM 7
A-8, B-5, C-4, D-2, E-6
$1 EBX KEY
6/ 2,4,5,8
WAGERED- $8
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
Last edited by coachv30; 01-26-2019 at 02:40 PM.
|
|
|
01-26-2019, 02:41 PM
|
#71
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by coachv30
RACE 19
GULFSTREAM 7
A-8, B-5, C-4, D-2, E-6
$1 EBX KEY
6/ 2,4,5,8
WAGERED- $8
|
FINISHED 2-7-8-4
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
|
|
|
01-26-2019, 02:53 PM
|
#72
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
|
RACE 20
GULFSTREAM 8
I have to step out for a while so I'm posting this one early. I don't know what the will pays will be at 5 minutes to post.
A-9, B-8, C-5, D-7, E-3
$1 EX
9/ 7,8
8 / 3,5,7,9
5 / 3,7,8
7 / 3,5,8,9
3 / 5,7,8
WAGERED- $16
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
|
|
|
01-26-2019, 05:05 PM
|
#73
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by coachv30
RACE 20
GULFSTREAM 8
I have to step out for a while so I'm posting this one early. I don't know what the will pays will be at 5 minutes to post.
A-9, B-8, C-5, D-7, E-3
$1 EX
9/ 7,8
8 / 3,5,7,9
5 / 3,7,8
7 / 3,5,8,9
3 / 5,7,8
WAGERED- $16
|
FINISHED 7-9-8-2
7-9 Paid $36.60 for $1
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
|
|
|
01-26-2019, 05:21 PM
|
#74
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
|
RACE 21
GULFSTREAM 12
A-3, B- 5, C-12, D-1, E-7
$1 EX
3,5 / 1,7,12
12/ 1,3,5,7
1/ 3,5,7,12
7 / 1,3,5,12
WAGERED- $18
Will pays are with 15 minutes to post.
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
Last edited by coachv30; 01-26-2019 at 05:23 PM.
|
|
|
01-26-2019, 05:51 PM
|
#75
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
|
RACE 22
OAKLAWN 8
A-5, B-10, C-3, D-4, E-1
$1 EX
5/1
10/ 1,3,4
3/ 1,4,5,10
4/ 1,3,10
1/ 3,4,5,10
WAGERED- $15
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
|
|
|
|
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
|
|