Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Handicapping Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 11-02-2022, 12:09 PM   #1
PhantomOnTour
C'est Tout
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 12,502
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies

There's a lot of speed on paper...
Grand Love is likely the quickest of them all (and may run away with this if she's sharp enough), but Wonder Wheel has speed and I think Vegas Magic will show speed on the stretch out from the rail.
Saez rides Atomically, and he may push early with her as well.

Going to take a shot with NY bred You're My Girl from the 2 hole with Johnny V. Hoping he lays off a potential early war and gets the good inside stalking trip. Move her into contention early into the second turn & get the jump on the late type runners with the short finish line at Kee going 1m16.

Rosario broke her like a shot in the Frizette and got all the way over to the inside (maybe that wasn't the place to be at Aqu on Oct2?) where she fought on well when headed by Chocolate Gelato. My amateur eye says she galloped out nicely, and should be fit for this race.

10-1 ML is more than generous - I'm buying at or near that price

Good luck, and who ya' got??
__________________
Picking up, are you picking up now?
Positive Vibrations yeah.
-Robert Nesta Marley

Last edited by PhantomOnTour; 11-02-2022 at 12:10 PM.
PhantomOnTour is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-02-2022, 12:25 PM   #2
usfgeology
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2017
Location: Tampa Bay
Posts: 1,092
I donít have anywhere near a single in this race and will be spreading 5 wide possibly with Wonder Wheel, Chop Chop, Atomically, Chocolate Gelato, and Raging Sea.

Best value I see is Raging Sea (not sure if the 14 is an AE?). Gets Prat back (not that itís an upgrade from Ortiz Jr.) but he was aboard for her maiden victory. Comments indicate a possible spoiled trip down the stretch in the Alcibiades finishing 3rd by a neck to WW and CC. Need to watch the replay but RS is nearly double the ML odds of those two.
usfgeology is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-04-2022, 08:37 AM   #3
MarylandMan
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2021
Posts: 9
Quote:
Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour View Post
There's a lot of speed on paper...
Grand Love is likely the quickest of them all (and may run away with this if she's sharp enough), but Wonder Wheel has speed and I think Vegas Magic will show speed on the stretch out from the rail.
Saez rides Atomically, and he may push early with her as well.

Going to take a shot with NY bred You're My Girl from the 2 hole with Johnny V. Hoping he lays off a potential early war and gets the good inside stalking trip. Move her into contention early into the second turn & get the jump on the late type runners with the short finish line at Kee going 1m16.

Rosario broke her like a shot in the Frizette and got all the way over to the inside (maybe that wasn't the place to be at Aqu on Oct2?) where she fought on well when headed by Chocolate Gelato. My amateur eye says she galloped out nicely, and should be fit for this race.

10-1 ML is more than generous - I'm buying at or near that price

Good luck, and who ya' got??
YMG w/Johnny V at 10-1 or close to that is not the worst stab in the world in a VERY wide open race. Nice analysis you presented. I'll see your YMG and raise you one Chop Chop. Odds should be decent enough and I think he'll be ready to pounce and win. Also like Raging Sea but that post...ugh.
MarylandMan is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-04-2022, 09:36 AM   #4
PalaceOfFortLarned
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2021
Posts: 987
Chocalate Gelato feels like a serious horse. Chop Chop is a must include for me. Raging Sea gets a bad post but feels dangerous. Leave No Trace is my wild card here. Solid works. Anything over 14/1 on the is a must play for me.
PalaceOfFortLarned is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-04-2022, 10:13 AM   #5
Bennie
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 966
On paper I'm looking at the 5,7,8,10 and 14. On history, with Pletcher 0-14 last 20+ years in Juv. Fillies races and Casse 0-13, I'm going to fade the 5,8,10 and use the 7 with the 14, although I too hate the post, and toss in the 3 as my top horses but use chocolate gelato under them is exactas/tris.
Bennie is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 11-04-2022, 04:49 PM   #6
PhantomOnTour
C'est Tout
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 12,502
Quote:
Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour View Post
There's a lot of speed on paper...
Grand Love is likely the quickest of them all (and may run away with this if she's sharp enough), but Wonder Wheel has speed and I think Vegas Magic will show speed on the stretch out from the rail.
Saez rides Atomically, and he may push early with her as well.

Going to take a shot with NY bred You're My Girl from the 2 hole with Johnny V. Hoping he lays off a potential early war and gets the good inside stalking trip. Move her into contention early into the second turn & get the jump on the late type runners with the short finish line at Kee going 1m16.

Rosario broke her like a shot in the Frizette and got all the way over to the inside (maybe that wasn't the place to be at Aqu on Oct2?) where she fought on well when headed by Chocolate Gelato. My amateur eye says she galloped out nicely, and should be fit for this race.

10-1 ML is more than generous - I'm buying at or near that price

Good luck, and who ya' got??
Got exactly the trip I was hoping for, but just couldn't go with these gals late.
Nice try - not quite good enough
__________________
Picking up, are you picking up now?
Positive Vibrations yeah.
-Robert Nesta Marley
PhantomOnTour is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply




Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:37 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2023, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2022 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.