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11-02-2022, 11:09 AM
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#1
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,269
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Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies
There's a lot of speed on paper...
Grand Love is likely the quickest of them all (and may run away with this if she's sharp enough), but Wonder Wheel has speed and I think Vegas Magic will show speed on the stretch out from the rail.
Saez rides Atomically, and he may push early with her as well.
Going to take a shot with NY bred You're My Girl from the 2 hole with Johnny V. Hoping he lays off a potential early war and gets the good inside stalking trip. Move her into contention early into the second turn & get the jump on the late type runners with the short finish line at Kee going 1m16.
Rosario broke her like a shot in the Frizette and got all the way over to the inside (maybe that wasn't the place to be at Aqu on Oct2?) where she fought on well when headed by Chocolate Gelato. My amateur eye says she galloped out nicely, and should be fit for this race.
10-1 ML is more than generous - I'm buying at or near that price
Good luck, and who ya' got??
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
Last edited by PhantomOnTour; 11-02-2022 at 11:10 AM.
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11-02-2022, 11:25 AM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2017
Location: Tampa Bay
Posts: 1,100
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I don’t have anywhere near a single in this race and will be spreading 5 wide possibly with Wonder Wheel, Chop Chop, Atomically, Chocolate Gelato, and Raging Sea.
Best value I see is Raging Sea (not sure if the 14 is an AE?). Gets Prat back (not that it’s an upgrade from Ortiz Jr.) but he was aboard for her maiden victory. Comments indicate a possible spoiled trip down the stretch in the Alcibiades finishing 3rd by a neck to WW and CC. Need to watch the replay but RS is nearly double the ML odds of those two.
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11-04-2022, 07:37 AM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2021
Posts: 9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour
There's a lot of speed on paper...
Grand Love is likely the quickest of them all (and may run away with this if she's sharp enough), but Wonder Wheel has speed and I think Vegas Magic will show speed on the stretch out from the rail.
Saez rides Atomically, and he may push early with her as well.
Going to take a shot with NY bred You're My Girl from the 2 hole with Johnny V. Hoping he lays off a potential early war and gets the good inside stalking trip. Move her into contention early into the second turn & get the jump on the late type runners with the short finish line at Kee going 1m16.
Rosario broke her like a shot in the Frizette and got all the way over to the inside (maybe that wasn't the place to be at Aqu on Oct2?) where she fought on well when headed by Chocolate Gelato. My amateur eye says she galloped out nicely, and should be fit for this race.
10-1 ML is more than generous - I'm buying at or near that price
Good luck, and who ya' got??
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YMG w/Johnny V at 10-1 or close to that is not the worst stab in the world in a VERY wide open race. Nice analysis you presented. I'll see your YMG and raise you one Chop Chop. Odds should be decent enough and I think he'll be ready to pounce and win. Also like Raging Sea but that post...ugh.
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11-04-2022, 08:36 AM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2021
Posts: 2,079
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Chocalate Gelato feels like a serious horse. Chop Chop is a must include for me. Raging Sea gets a bad post but feels dangerous. Leave No Trace is my wild card here. Solid works. Anything over 14/1 on the is a must play for me.
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11-04-2022, 09:13 AM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 1,011
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On paper I'm looking at the 5,7,8,10 and 14. On history, with Pletcher 0-14 last 20+ years in Juv. Fillies races and Casse 0-13, I'm going to fade the 5,8,10 and use the 7 with the 14, although I too hate the post, and toss in the 3 as my top horses but use chocolate gelato under them is exactas/tris.
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11-04-2022, 03:49 PM
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#6
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,269
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour
There's a lot of speed on paper...
Grand Love is likely the quickest of them all (and may run away with this if she's sharp enough), but Wonder Wheel has speed and I think Vegas Magic will show speed on the stretch out from the rail.
Saez rides Atomically, and he may push early with her as well.
Going to take a shot with NY bred You're My Girl from the 2 hole with Johnny V. Hoping he lays off a potential early war and gets the good inside stalking trip. Move her into contention early into the second turn & get the jump on the late type runners with the short finish line at Kee going 1m16.
Rosario broke her like a shot in the Frizette and got all the way over to the inside (maybe that wasn't the place to be at Aqu on Oct2?) where she fought on well when headed by Chocolate Gelato. My amateur eye says she galloped out nicely, and should be fit for this race.
10-1 ML is more than generous - I'm buying at or near that price
Good luck, and who ya' got??
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Got exactly the trip I was hoping for, but just couldn't go with these gals late.
Nice try - not quite good enough
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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