Quote:
Originally Posted by wiffleball whizz
Can you tell gfnut at some point he has to make a move!!!
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Think of it like a Turf race.....at some point one has to make a move if they want to try to win the race.
Just continue to look at the attached "detail" spreadsheet, and take into consideration the number of games a player has.
The fewer the games, the more one is subject to significant changes either up or down.
Consider too that higher scores are much harder to maintain. In terms I know you will understand, if you or I started out with bowling a 3-game block of 762, what are the chances that our next 3-game block will be equal to or greater than the first one?
If gfnut maintains his current rate while getting in the required number of plays, I would assess his chances of NOT winning the contest at about 1 in 10,000.
I know it is hard to WAIT when you are wiffleball whizz.