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01-02-2012, 09:33 AM
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#1
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Winter Survival at the Big M 2012
It's on
Jan 13 thru Apr 21 2012, 1 horseshoe
heyheyitsray
http://wintersurvivalchallenge.com/
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__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
Last edited by Ray2000; 01-02-2012 at 09:34 AM.
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01-02-2012, 11:14 AM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Pottstown
Posts: 829
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sweet! thanks so much for posting this.
happy new year!
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01-02-2012, 11:22 AM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,754
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happy new year, best wishes and lots of winners for all the harness handicappers out there this year
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01-05-2012, 07:41 AM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 371
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Big M is back , Good luck to all.
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01-06-2012, 11:53 AM
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#5
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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BigM Contest Survival Contest, "By The Numbers"....
I'll post these Computer Rankings for awhile (at least until I get kicked off the island ),
along with my contest plays.
Drivers are ranked by UDR over the last 2 years Will be Brennan, Sears, Tetrick, when driving
Trainers are ranked by percent 'On the Board' in my data base.
Win% 2yr is from horses record
WPS% 2yr ditto
Class is average of best 2-4 lines
Speed ...ditto
Best Form is secret
Best Finish is average beat-by lengths last several races (3-8)
Fastest 4thQ Last Race (may be at a different track)
Fastest Time Last Race (may be at a different track)
Earnings Last 6 races
Off Track is lifetime mud record for OTB %
Best Ranked is total appearances in top 3 rankings
As an example here are the 1st,2nd,3rd rankings for 3 races tonight.
Friday, January 06, 2012 Meadowlands Race Track
Race Number.......Race3.........Race4.........Race8
Driver............9,6,3.........1,4,8.........9,3, 10
Trainer...........8,2,7.........2,8,1.........1,7, 2
Win % 2yr.........8,4,6.........3,5,7.........10,3,4
WPS% 2yr..........2,6,9.........3,4,1.........7,10,3
Class.............4,3,8.........7,8,9.........5,1, 2
Speed.............9,3,8.........9,2,6.........1,2, 10
Best Form.........6,1,7.........5,3,1.........9,7,2
Best Finish.......7,8,9.........3,2,6.........6,7,10
Best 4thQ.........2,4,8.........7,10,9........1,10,4
Final Time........3,1,6.........10,1,7........10,2,6
EarningsL6........4,1,3.........6,8,5.........10,3 ,4
Offtrack .........9,4,10........3,6,4.........7,10,1
Most Ranked.........8............1,3...........10
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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01-06-2012, 12:06 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: north wales, pa
Posts: 3,917
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Ray--My list of price plays for opening night at BigM. See if any of them "cut the mustard" with the Robot.
R1 1 Shortest Distance 12-1
R6 6 Best Boss 8-1
R8 1 Newport Volo 8-1
R9 2 Beau Rivage 8-1
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01-06-2012, 12:13 PM
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#7
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Very Close except for R6
R1.........9 w/1,4 ...Stacked Deck-9/2
R6.........5 w/7,2 ...Keystone Katherine-8/1
R8.........4 w/1,5 ...Dash For The Cash-6/1
R9.........2 w/8,1 ...Beau Rivage N-8/1
R10........8 w/9,5 ...Pembroke Prayer-3/1
Good Luck
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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01-06-2012, 12:23 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: north wales, pa
Posts: 3,917
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Thanks Ray. Will watch the odds on Zumba Mouse in R2 also. If over 6-1 worth a play to me. Does go off stride but worth the risk if odds are solid.
Hope Billy (the Kid) Dobson gets some drives at M1 this year. I have good very good results with him at lesser tracks in the past.
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01-06-2012, 06:21 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Palm Beach FL but heart at Monmouth Park
Posts: 178
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The 3rd and 4h races are very difficult for me.
I was going to play some pick 3's starting in 2nd race as I was going to single Zumba Mouse. But alas no pick 3's except for last 3 races of the night.
I will play some doubles with Zumba Mouse.
But I don't expect him to be anywhere near 6/1.
She is the 3rd choice Morning Line with horses driven by Eric Abbatiello and Ray Schnittker with the Morning Line Choices.
I expect Zumba might end up the favorite and would not be shocked if she goes off 9/5.
Two trainers to watch this meet: Jason Robinson and PJ Fraley
__________________
Arno Umpire
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01-06-2012, 07:36 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: north wales, pa
Posts: 3,917
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Arno-Looks like your correct. Zumba at 1 to post is the fav at 3-1. At these odds I'll take a pop on the 9 Powerful Tom at 11-1.
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01-06-2012, 07:45 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: north wales, pa
Posts: 3,917
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Nice Arno a big mile from Zumba a winner at $8.40. Nice Miller DD at $37.20.
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01-07-2012, 11:25 AM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Lehigh Valley, PA.
Posts: 7,464
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Big M Picks
I had some technical problems uploading the free Meadowlands picks to the USTA site for Saturday, so I put them on my trotpicks.com site under Free Picks.
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01-07-2012, 02:51 PM
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#13
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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3 picks for Sat night at Big M
Daily Double...
The BigM R1......... Hurrikane Anthony w/ teenager Joe Bongiorno driving
WPS and DD
The BigM R2......... Grab A Crab-6/1 with another young driver Matt Kakaley
Box these 3 3 in the exacta
The BigM R7........ Hypnotist-5/1...
Try out that 10¢ Super with.....1/24/247910/247910......$2.40 bet
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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01-07-2012, 04:37 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 1,915
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Got them Pandy. Thank you
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01-13-2012, 06:03 AM
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#15
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Friday 13th picks
Here we go, Friday the 13th and a stray black cat under my trailer...
Heyheyitsray entries
Race: 3 No: 1 IRISH ELITIST
Race: 6 No: 6 SOUTHWIND SWALLOW
Race: 8 No: 1 DASH FOR THE CASH
By Rankings...
Race Number.......Race 3........Race 6.......Race 8
Driver............3,8,4.........10,8,7........9,7, 5
Trainer...........6,3,1.........1,9,10........5,3, 2
Win% 2yr..........10,8,7........9,1,5.........6,5,1
WPS% 2yr..........9,4,8.........1,5,10........1,6,2
Class.............1,9,4.........6,9,7.........2,6, 7
Speed.............3,8,10........6,1,8.........4,2, 5
Best Form.........4,9,3.........9,5,8.........8,6,3
Best Finish.......3,8,10........1,7,8.........9,4,8
Best 4thQ.........8,7,1.........6,10,2........4,7,1
Final Time........3,9,8.........6,1,2.........4,7,6
EarningsL6........6,9,7.........9,6,2.........9,2, 4
Offtrack .........9,10,4........1,7,8.........9,5,6
Most Ranked.........8.............1............6
Good Luck to all Contestants...Hoping for a PA winner (double entendre intended )
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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