Rolling Vulnerable Chalk thread for Saratoga and Del Mar. Need reasons why vulnerable

[Robert Fischer]

Originally Posted by ranchwest

I think the was blinkers off, so I'd deduce that it was Ward who elected to take back.

yea, missed talking horses that day, but Twitter was later abuzz with stuff bettors complaining and others saying that it was well known that Ward would be rating his speed today.
I guess I just missed that part.

didn't bet the race at all. Would have been discouraged (not encouraged) seeing the will-pays project higher odds. And upset and out of the loop as far as the tactic change.

Looked like the winner ran well enough to beat any version easily.

[pic6vic]

DMR 4TH #11 HALOSNHEAVEN

5/2 ML Baffert trains, also trained dam who ran 16 times, 10 wins 5 seconds. Should take money, but the 10 post going 5F is not the place to be. Think this one gets bet. Play against

[Sheffwed]

many of the favorites look live at the Spa today

the one I wonder about is Stage Raider in the 9th

he has two wins to date - his maiden in April 2021 at Keeneland was solid, and his only allowance win in May 2021 where he was 1-9 against 4 others who were a pretty weak bunch

then he's off for almost a year, and he's a favorite (in effect) three times this year, each time running second, and he's not as strong a closer on paper than some of the others and he hasn't run for almost two months

[pic6vic]

9TH DMR

#12 SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT

6/5 ML, sure looks good on paper. However, the post is a big detriment. Other speed may cause him to be wide going into first turn, even if he gets the lead he will have to work. So far on turf all the winners have saved ground for most of the race. I expect him to be wide the whole trip. Even if he gets the lead, speed has not been good. HUGE PLAY AGAINST

[Andy Asaro]

2nd at Del Mar the #2 is the ML fav at 9-2. There's other pace in the race. Virat, Peso, and Straight No Chaser (has super workout comments)

3rd at Del Mar Loud Mouth at 3-1 is a toss. Looks like he's headed the wrong way and there's other early speed in the race.

[pic6vic]

5th DMR
#10 Jonny Podres post will hurt since he has no speed, but plenty of speed to set up his close. However, I don't see him getting anything but a wide trip. Play against

[pic6vic]

I was wrong easy win. First runner to go wide and win

[Andy Asaro]

https://www.capitalotbhandicapping.c...oga-racecourse

We start out Week 3 with a flat bet profit for the meet, and want to let y'all know that we'll be going over today's card with Anthony Mormino on the Capital OTB channel ( 1250 ) & livestream from 9:00 A.M. to 10 A.M., followed by our regular 15+ minute spot on the 10:00 A.M. show.

Today's Beatable Favorite(s): None

[Andy Asaro]

https://www.capitalotbhandicapping.c...oga-racecourse

Those who caught us on 'Handicapper's Report' & 'America's Day at the Races' yesterday (where we gave out our top 3 for each race as well as having professed our love for horizontals), were rewarded with: A $4,360 Rolling Pk. 5, a $1,630 Rolling Pk.4, 5 Rolling Pk.3's of $295, $202, $133, $463 & $49, six Rolling Doubles of $21, $91, $90, $12, $212 & $19 !! And not that anyone's betting it ( to the tune of $729 ), but a $14,220 Rolling Pick Six as well.

Today's Beatable Favorite(s):None

[Andy Asaro]

4th Del Mar IMO the #8 Maven is vulnerable for Wesley Ward at 3-1 There is other pace in the race and this one appears to be heading the wrong way


GL

[Andy Asaro]

https://www.capitalotbhandicapping.c...oga-racecourse

Today's Beatable Favorite(s): Race 1 - #6 Bourbon Resolve

[Andy Asaro]

Twitter

[Andy Asaro]

OK I'll make a fool of myself and say Jackies Warrior is vulnerable at 1-5. Last two races ran slow first quarters on speed favoring surfaces. Other pace in race. GL