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04-01-2023, 12:57 PM
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#1
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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FORMULA'S ONGOING RESULTS -
HERE ARE SOME RESULTS HAVING REVIEWED 378 U.S.A RACES, USING THE FAV0RTE WPS AND EXACTA POOL DOLLAR TOTALS INDICATED IN THE PROGRAM ATRpro AT THE FIRST "0" MINUETES TO POST TIME AFTER THE "1" TO POST TIME TOTALS.
ALL 378 RACES
$1 FLATBET RETURN = %0.87
38% WINNERS
47 RACES WHEN MY CALULATED BET SIZE >=15 AND MY FACTOR >=1.45
$1 FB RETURN = $1.14
MY $1 BET SIZE RETURN = $1.12
70% WINNERS
STRAIGHT EXACATA FAV/ALL $1 RETURNED $1.09
38 RACES WHEN MY CALCULATED BET SIZE >=15 AND MY FACTOR <1.45
$1 FB RETURN=$0.98
MY $1 BET SIZE RETURN= $1.01
50% WINNERS
STRAIGHT EXACTA FAV/ALL $1 RETURNED $0.88
146 RACES WHEN BET SIZE <15*
$1 FB RETURN=$0.77
MY $1 BET SIZE RETURN = $0.85
33% WINNERS
*THE FAVORITE PLACED 18% OF THE TIME
THE MINIMUM $1 AVERAGE EXACTA RETURN REQUIRED TO BREAK EVEN = $5.41
I’LL POST THIS EXACTA PLAY AND OTHER PLAYS ON THE “SELECTIONS FORUM” AND RECAP HERE
ATRpro PROGARM IS USED FOR DOWNLOADING THE WPS AND EXACTA BOARDS ONLY. ALL FORMULA'S AND PLAYS ARE MINE. NO ACTUAL BETTING IS DONE AT THIS TIME
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 04-01-2023 at 01:01 PM.
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04-04-2023, 12:07 PM
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#2
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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HERE ARE THE RESULTS FOR 4/1 AND 4/2/2023 W/O REGARDS FOR ANY FACTORS OTHER THAN MY PROBABILITY ESTIMATES USING WPS AND EXACTA BOARD PROBABILITIES.
STRAIGHT WIN PLAYS, 9 WINS IN 26 RACES $1 RETURN $0.88
EXACTA LINE PLAY (FAV/ SELECTED HORSES), 4 WINS IN 26 RACES $1 RETURN $0.62
REVERSE EXACTA PLAY ALL/FAV, 7 WINS IN 22 PLAYS $1 RETURN $1.19
PLAYING THE FULL EXACTA MATRIX ELIMINATING THE TOP TWO CHOICES TO COME IN 1ST OR SECOND, 2 WINS IN 4 PLAYS $1 RETURN $1.87
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-04-2023, 01:08 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,735
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You must be rolling in dough!
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04-04-2023, 03:22 PM
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#4
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by elhelmete
You must be rolling in dough!
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NO, JUST HARD WORK
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-04-2023, 07:24 PM
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#5
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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EXAMPLE
PLAYING THE FULL EXACTA MATRIX ELIMINATING THE TOP TWO CHOICES TO COME IN 1ST OR SECOND, 2 WINS IN 4 PLAYS $1 RETURN $1.87
TUP RACE 7 3 AND 2 4/4/2023
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-04-2023, 07:42 PM
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#6
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
EXAMPLE
PLAYING THE FULL EXACTA MATRIX ELIMINATING THE TOP TWO CHOICES TO COME IN 1ST OR SECOND, 2 WINS IN 4 PLAYS $1 RETURN $1.87
TUP RACE 7 3 AND 2 4/4/2023
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GOOD NEWS/ BAD NEWS .. 7/5 EXACTA WINS, BUT FOR WHAT SEEMS THE 1ST TIME THE $1 RETURN WAS ONLY .19 UNITS COMPARED TO .23 UNITS PLAYED
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-05-2023, 12:22 PM
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#7
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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another examply
Code:
FACTOR>>>= 0.99 WIN BET
DATE TRACK RACE # PRNO
4/5 TAM 1 4
5
eliminate the 4 and 5 from the matrix
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-05-2023, 12:25 PM
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#8
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
another examply
Code:
FACTOR>>>= 0.99 WIN BET
DATE TRACK RACE # PRNO
4/5 TAM 1 4
5
eliminate the 4 and 5 from the matrix |
4/5 exacta wins 
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-05-2023, 02:23 PM
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#9
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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HERE IS SOME GOOD NEWS REGARDING MY CURRENT FAV WIN PLAYS FROM APRIL 1,2023 THROUGH THIS POST
12 WINS IN 32 RACES $1 FLAT BET RETURN = $0.95
MY $1 BET SIZE RETURN= $1.06
HERE IS THE REALLY GOOD NEWS REGARDING MY FAVORITE WIN PLAYS.
WHEN MY BET SIZE >=15, 4 WINS IN 6 RACES, MY $1 BET SIZE RETURN IS $1.39
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-05-2023, 02:30 PM
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#10
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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FACTOR>>>= 1.49 WIN BET
DATE TRACK RACE # PRNO
4/5 PHA 5 9
2
ELIMINATE THE 9 AN 2 FROM THE EXACTA MATRIX
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-05-2023, 02:43 PM
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#11
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
FACTOR>>>= 1.49 WIN BET
DATE TRACK RACE # PRNO
4/5 PHA 5 9
2
ELIMINATE THE 9 AN 2 FROM THE EXACTA MATRIX
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MUCH BETTER. 5/1 EXACTA WINS, .13 UNTS BET, .54 RETURNED
SINCE 04/01/2023 THERE WERE 8 SUCH PLAYS, 4 WON, RETURNING $1.15 ON THE DOLLAR
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-05-2023, 04:15 PM
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#12
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SaratogaFan1
Join Date: Mar 2022
Posts: 356
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What an easy game, huh.
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04-05-2023, 04:26 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,735
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Quote:
Originally Posted by $w1fT
What an easy game, huh.
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When there's $0 real money at stake and the 'game' is copypasta.
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04-05-2023, 04:52 PM
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#14
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,825
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Somebody wrote and asked if this should be moved to selections. I'd say no as I don't see any actual selections, just after the fact reporting. Am I missing anything?
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04-05-2023, 05:20 PM
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#15
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
Somebody wrote and asked if this should be moved to selections. I'd say no as I don't see any actual selections, just after the fact reporting. Am I missing anything?
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Yep you got it right. I'll throw in a few selections only to give substance to the reporting. ATRpro has made my wps and exacta pools much easier for me to down load.
I'm monitoring 4 different plays. Win play, win play with exacta, reverse exacta and playing the entire exacta board, excluding the top two choices win or place.
ATPpro allows me to consistently down load the wps and exacta boards at the same moment. I use the first zero minutes to post after the one minute post. Some plays are made to the exclusion of other.
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 04-05-2023 at 05:21 PM.
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