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05-06-2016, 09:08 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 261
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Your Derby wagers
Last edited by dballard125; 05-06-2016 at 09:10 PM.
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05-06-2016, 09:22 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 1,753
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I like how you mixed up your triples, that's how you hit triples!
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05-06-2016, 09:30 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 261
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by SecretAgentMan
I like how you mixed up your triples, that's how you hit triples!
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Thanks man. I'm all over the place w/ my plays underneath Nyquist...but this thing is so wide open, I figured I better spread it around as much as possible.
Watch someone like Trojan Nation run 3rd and screw me all to hell lol.
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05-06-2016, 09:42 PM
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#4
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Canadian since 51
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Toronto
Posts: 3,458
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$2Ex
 ,  ,  over , , ,  ,  ,  ,  ,  = $42 (14x 3)
$1 Tris
, , over , , over , , , , , , , = $24
(Already have $30 W locked @ 7-2. = $30
TOTAL = $96
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05-06-2016, 09:53 PM
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#5
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Refugee from Bowie
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 1,598
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I'm playing 2 different angles.
Boxing the 4 gray horses in the exacta and trifecta.
Boxing all of the California horses in the exacta and trifecta.
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05-06-2016, 10:12 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 261
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Shemp Howard
I'm playing 2 different angles.
Boxing the 4 gray horses in the exacta and trifecta.
Boxing all of the California horses in the exacta and trifecta.
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I see nothing wrong with that bet whatsoever. Good luck sir!
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05-06-2016, 10:16 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 261
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Rookies
$2Ex
, , over , , , , , , , = $42 (14x 3)
$1 Tris
, , over , , over , , , , , , , = $24
(Already have $30 W locked @ 7-2. = $30
TOTAL = $96 |
Seems like we see this playing out similarly. I hope we're right.
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05-06-2016, 10:30 PM
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#8
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Canadian since 51
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Toronto
Posts: 3,458
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by dballard125
Seems like we see this playing out similarly. I hope we're right.
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Indeed! 
I was looking at that Exactor chart. Aside from Breeder's Day(s), the KD gives you tremendous value on exotics, especially if Nyquist doesn't win.
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05-06-2016, 10:32 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2015
Posts: 332
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Don't have dollar amounts yet but win bets on: Destin, Gun Runner, and Mor Spirit. I will put together at least one superfecta and some exactas. Regardless, those are the 3 contenders I am rolling with.
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05-06-2016, 10:39 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,950
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Here's something to consider:
Triple bets w/2 Keys 13 & 17 and total coverage w/5 others (2-5-9-14-20):
13 / 2-5-9-14-17-20 / 2-5-9-14-17-20 = 30 bets
2-5-9-14-17-20 / 13 / 2-5-9-14-17-20 = 30 bets
2-5-9-14-17-20 / 2-5-9-14-17-20 / 13 = 30 bets
17 / 2-5-9-13-14-20 / 2-5-9-13-14-20 = 30 bets
2-5-9-13-14-20 / 17 / 2-5-9-13-14-20 = 30 bets
2-5-9-13-14-20 / 2-5-9-13-14-20 / 17 = 30 bets
Total – 180 bets @ minimum of $0.50/ea. = $90
If both Keys are in the money the Triple is hit 2X. 
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05-06-2016, 11:03 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Michigan
Posts: 70
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Nitro
Here's something to consider:
Triple bets w/2 Keys 13 & 17 and total coverage w/5 others (2-5-9-14-20):
13 / 2-5-9-14-17-20 / 2-5-9-14-17-20 = 30 bets
2-5-9-14-17-20 / 13 / 2-5-9-14-17-20 = 30 bets
2-5-9-14-17-20 / 2-5-9-14-17-20 / 13 = 30 bets
17 / 2-5-9-13-14-20 / 2-5-9-13-14-20 = 30 bets
2-5-9-13-14-20 / 17 / 2-5-9-13-14-20 = 30 bets
2-5-9-13-14-20 / 2-5-9-13-14-20 / 17 = 30 bets
Total – 180 bets @ minimum of $0.50/ea. = $90
If both Keys are in the money the Triple is hit 2X.
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That's a sweet setup
Leaving Exaggerator off ticket
Good Luck!
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05-06-2016, 11:38 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,950
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by five-eighths
That's a sweet setup
Leaving Exaggerator off ticket
Good Luck! |
Yeah I’m leaving Exaggerator off the ticket because I didn’t like his race in the San Felipe with decent pace he tired at 1 1/16 miles. He sure moves way up on an off track, but from what I’m told the track should be fast. I don’t particularly like its most recent 5f WO at CD either, especially when compared to way some of the others have worked.
Good luck to you also!
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05-07-2016, 03:28 AM
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#13
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Bet small...win BIG!
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Nevada
Posts: 2,072
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My computer model picked the 2015 Derby 18-2-10-8-15-5. the results were
18-10-8-15.
Using the same computer model to predict the outcome of 2016 Derby the predicted order of finish is 9-13-11-5-2-3-7. Maybe the 9 should be tossed and maybe not. Of course I'll use him on a exacta tri and super as a key to win besides supporting the favorite the 13. Racing luck will more than likely play a role in the outcome.
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05-07-2016, 08:58 AM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2011
Posts: 600
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Boxing the 3 top finishers in the Arkansas Derby in exacta and trifecta.
Also Nyquist over the above in the pick 4.
Last edited by forced89; 05-07-2016 at 08:59 AM.
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05-07-2016, 09:50 AM
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#15
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Enthusiast
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Maryland
Posts: 684
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Win  , (dutch)
Exacta key box  + ,
Trifecta , /other closers/ ,
The win dutch is an 11/2 proposition, better than the favorite. I like best among the closers, so taking insurance on him to beat me, but expect the pace/midpack runners to fare best. I'll spread a bit with the trifecta in the place position but require both my top picks to win and show. I'd try the superfecta but I'm too cheap to play it for a dollar
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