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Old 06-03-2020, 08:51 AM   #1
CheckMark
 
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Belmont Park Brisnet System 6/3/2020

Since Light gave me a good idea to resurface my brisnet system I have decided to do Belmont's full card today and see how the value plays out! Thanks Light!
Good luck all!
I have included the favourite win% on each race too (according to BRISNET)

BEL 6/3/2020
R1: Kilmarknock 6-1 (4) 48%
R2: Smile Bryan 2-1 (6) 56%
R3: PASS NO ENOUGH INFO 73%
R4: Lucky Six 12-1 (4) 35% (Early Speed 102)
R5: Strongerthanuknow 5/2 (4) 22%
R6: Bareequ 5-1 (5) 45%
R7: Forest Spirit 5-1 (8) 20%
R8: Cross Border 4-1 (7) 57%
R9: Rushing Fall 6/5 (7) 62%
R10: In The Loop 9/5 (6) 32%

Best Bet R7 #11
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Old 06-03-2020, 11:36 AM   #2
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Race #2:

River Knight: 11 yr old warrior with 63 lifetime starts. Last and only win came on 12/5/15. I hope this guy stays healthy and would be nice to see him get his second win sometime this year.
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:47 PM   #3
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Race #6: Bareeqa 5/1

Value: Repatriated Gem 15/1


Race #7: Inside Info 4/1

Value Apex Predator 8/1
Tough race, more of a spread race IMO.


Race #8: Hay Dakota 8/1

Value The Last Zip 12/1


Race #9: Got Stormy 9/5


Race #10: Justice of War 7/2

Value: Split Verdict 15/1
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:50 PM   #4
Immortal6
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In race 1 I haven’t seen anyone on the Dodged a Bullet. Who knows how the track is playing, and this horse clearly has speed and ran great off a longer layoff than this 1st out at aqueduct with Cancel up. He’s a good bet to me at anywhere near his ML... but what do I know?

could win, but I see a fragile big brown horse who was just eased in his last. Can’t bet him at a short price off of that.
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:55 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Immortal6 View Post
In race 1 I haven’t seen anyone on the Dodged a Bullet. Who knows how the track is playing, and this horse clearly has speed and ran great off a longer layoff than this 1st out at aqueduct with Cancel up. He’s a good bet to me at anywhere near his ML... but what do I know?

could win, but I see a fragile big brown horse who was just eased in his last. Can’t bet him at a short price off of that.
Star of the West and the Lost in Rome have some potential.
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Old 06-03-2020, 01:03 PM   #6
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Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Star of the West and the Lost in Rome have some potential.
Agree 100%, they were actually my next two horses I was taking a look at. Big boy Cardenas could have a little closer, should like the extra half furlong
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Old 06-03-2020, 01:52 PM   #7
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r 2

8 1 4 Ex

8 1 2
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Old 06-03-2020, 02:59 PM   #8
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r4

3 8 13

3 7 13
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Old 06-03-2020, 04:32 PM   #9
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r 7

win 6
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Old 06-03-2020, 04:36 PM   #10
Immortal6
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R7

Think is best off class drop and ftg, no love on the tote for who has actually finished 1st at this distance at 11-1 but was DQd. should get a much better trip here than in his last.

Box em all and Dutch the
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Old 06-03-2020, 05:38 PM   #11
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R9


I swear if that’s wins
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Old 06-03-2020, 07:37 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckMark View Post
Since Light gave me a good idea to resurface my brisnet system I have decided to do Belmont's full card today and see how the value plays out! Thanks Light!
Good luck all!
I have included the favourite win% on each race too (according to BRISNET)

BEL 6/3/2020
R1: Kilmarknock 6-1 (4) 48%
R2: Smile Bryan 2-1 (6) 56%
R3: PASS NO ENOUGH INFO 73%
R4: Lucky Six 12-1 (4) 35% (Early Speed 102)
R5: Strongerthanuknow 5/2 (4) 22%
R6: Bareequ 5-1 (5) 45%
R7: Forest Spirit 5-1 (8) 20%
R8: Cross Border 4-1 (7) 57%
R9: Rushing Fall 6/5 (7) 62%
R10: In The Loop 9/5 (6) 32%

Best Bet R7 #11
CM.....you need to re-evaluate your style of play
You had 4 winners but all of them were favorites....
That tells me your no different than the public
Also I see you all over the boards running in every direction
with thoroughbreds and harness horses.
Your going to drive yourself into a wall if you
dont step on the brakes.
I dont know how a kid has money to throw around as you do but
at this pace it wont last long and the game will not be as fun.
Stop betting and learn the game!!

IMO

Mike
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Old 06-03-2020, 08:07 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mikesal57 View Post
CM.....you need to re-evaluate your style of play
You had 4 winners but all of them were favorites....
That tells me your no different than the public
Also I see you all over the boards running in every direction
with thoroughbreds and harness horses.
Your going to drive yourself into a wall if you
dont step on the brakes.
I dont know how a kid has money to throw around as you do but
at this pace it wont last long and the game will not be as fun.
Stop betting and learn the game!!

IMO

Mike
I don't bet my picks I just have F-U-N with posting picks with playing either TV or harness I have not bet since February 8th (R11 @ Tampa Bay with Sole Volante paying $13 60)

I try to play around with UFC Picks Harness picks or TB Picks and use methods that I have found to work one day and then fall apart the next and up and down pattern

Not sure if I am ready really to bet big but I am trying to learn how to actually handicap but not sure if this is the right way to do so right now

I am going to practise practise practise for Woodbine TB for the whole meet along with testing spot plays for Grand River for harness and UFC plays

I am so sorry to upset you since I was giving a good link for pp's and life was good until you knew what happened next and my world "fell apart" since then well maybe not fall apart but handicapping wise not good and finding a way that worked in the past is not showing up today but always has a odd day you would not expect to win!

Sorry to upset mikesal I just got used to using the Ultimate PP's from Brisnet and using the system without knowing if the favourite will be in my top selection or not

Just don't know if this is the right sport for me to play in or breed of racing?
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Last edited by CheckMark; 06-03-2020 at 08:08 PM.
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Old 06-03-2020, 08:14 PM   #14
CheckMark
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckMark View Post
Since Light gave me a good idea to resurface my brisnet system I have decided to do Belmont's full card today and see how the value plays out! Thanks Light!
Good luck all!
I have included the favourite win% on each race too (according to BRISNET)

BEL 6/3/2020
R1: Kilmarknock 6-1 (4) 48%
R2: Smile Bryan 2-1 (6) 56%
R3: PASS NO ENOUGH INFO 73%
R4: Lucky Six 12-1 (4) 35% (Early Speed 102)
R5: Strongerthanuknow 5/2 (4) 22%
R6: Bareequ 5-1 (5) 45%
R7: Forest Spirit 5-1 (8) 20%
R8: Cross Border 4-1 (7) 57%
R9: Rushing Fall 6/5 (7) 62%
R10: In The Loop 9/5 (6) 32%

Best Bet R7 #11
R1: 5th
R2: WON $6.80
R3: was a pass
R4: 11th
R5: WON $5.90
R6: 4th
R7: 13th
R8: 2nd
R9: WON $3.70
R10: WON $4.60

A show parlay of starting with $2 would have went like this
R1: lost
R2 +$6.80
R3: kept cash here
R4: lost
R5 +$5.90
R6: lost
R7: lost
R8: +$4.00
R9: kept cash since no show
R10: +9.20
Not good today for that lol
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Old 06-03-2020, 08:20 PM   #15
mikesal57
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckMark View Post
I don't bet my picks I just have F-U-N with posting picks with playing either TV or harness I have not bet since February 8th (R11 @ Tampa Bay with Sole Volante paying $13 60)

I try to play around with UFC Picks Harness picks or TB Picks and use methods that I have found to work one day and then fall apart the next and up and down pattern

Not sure if I am ready really to bet big but I am trying to learn how to actually handicap but not sure if this is the right way to do so right now

I am going to practise practise practise for Woodbine TB for the whole meet along with testing spot plays for Grand River for harness and UFC plays

I am so sorry to upset you since I was giving a good link for pp's and life was good until you knew what happened next and my world "fell apart" since then well maybe not fall apart but handicapping wise not good and finding a way that worked in the past is not showing up today but always has a odd day you would not expect to win!

Sorry to upset mikesal I just got used to using the Ultimate PP's from Brisnet and using the system without knowing if the favourite will be in my top selection or not

Just don't know if this is the right sport for me to play in or breed of racing?
Conley...I'm not upset....I'm just trying to help you out...

OK...now I know you dont bet...thats good....

Get some handicapping books and gain the knowledge...
Its good your using the PP's...
Thats the best start you can get...

Mike
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