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10-20-2018, 07:40 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 51
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Pick3 prices at Keeneland
Check out this comparison today between Keen, GPW and Laurel.
GPW Pick3 seq: $87.20 (win prices total, no faves) 28 runners, paid $4213.
Laurel Pick3 seq: $83.20 (win prices total, no faves) 34 runners, paid $2563.
Keen Pick3 seq: $79.60 (win prices total, no faves) 34 runners, paid $668.
Which would you rather play as a Pick3 player?
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10-20-2018, 07:49 PM
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#2
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Top Horse Analytics
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,303
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Redhook206
Check out this comparison today between Keen, GPW and Laurel.
GPW Pick3 seq: $87.20 (win prices total, no faves) 28 runners, paid $4213.
Laurel Pick3 seq: $83.20 (win prices total, no faves) 34 runners, paid $2563.
Keen Pick3 seq: $79.60 (win prices total, no faves) 34 runners, paid $668.
Which would you rather play as a Pick3 player?
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Pretty obvious. Moving on, I want your dog.
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10-20-2018, 09:42 PM
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#3
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,889
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I think I bet on your dog today!
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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10-20-2018, 10:29 PM
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#4
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Veteran
Join Date: Apr 2018
Posts: 188
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10-21-2018, 09:33 AM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 51
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ZippyChippy423
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So prices, number of runners, and takeout don't matter to you?
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10-21-2018, 10:14 AM
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#6
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Veteran
Join Date: Apr 2018
Posts: 188
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Not if im “ in the know” or feel confident about a pick. Never let the price deter you from a strong play ever! I know someone who handicapped a pick 4 at Calder several years ago but didnt play it because he thought the take out percentage was too high. It came out and paid like 35k.
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10-21-2018, 11:54 AM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 930
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This Is Faulty Arithmetic???
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10-21-2018, 12:05 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 51
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SandyW
This Is Faulty Arithmetic???
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Pretty sure my arithmetic is correct. Where did I screw up?
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10-21-2018, 01:12 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2011
Posts: 4,285
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Redhook206
Pretty sure my arithmetic is correct. Where did I screw up?
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Are you showing just the $.50 payoff from Laurel? GPW appears to be for $1.00.
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10-21-2018, 01:16 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 51
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These are all .50 cent payouts.
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10-21-2018, 01:19 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 51
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Redhook206
These are all .50 cent payouts.
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Saturday Oct 20
GPW race9
Laurel race8
Keen race10
Last edited by Redhook206; 10-21-2018 at 01:29 PM.
Reason: date
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10-21-2018, 02:11 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
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It's a matter of both opinion as well as stubbornness...
I prefer playing 20 cent PK 6's @ Laurel, PId and 10 centers at LAD with short fields. I can get some good coverage for $44 and possibly take down a $4000 pot with one longshot opposed to playing the Rainbow 6 at GP with 13 horse fields and three 2 YO MSW races mixed in there.
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
Last edited by coachv30; 10-21-2018 at 02:12 PM.
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10-21-2018, 02:33 PM
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#13
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Out-of-town Jasper
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 2,364
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Redhook206
Check out this comparison today between Keen, GPW and Laurel.
GPW Pick3 seq: $87.20 (win prices total, no faves) 28 runners, paid $4213.
Laurel Pick3 seq: $83.20 (win prices total, no faves) 34 runners, paid $2563.
Keen Pick3 seq: $79.60 (win prices total, no faves) 34 runners, paid $668.
Which would you rather play as a Pick3 player?
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I'm not a pick 3 player so I may be wrong about this, but I think you are allowed to play all three.
__________________
“If you want to outwit the devil, it is extremely important that you don't give him advanced notice."
~Alan Watts
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10-22-2018, 10:12 AM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2016
Posts: 106
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Separate pools, one does not effect the other. Could be that people spread out more in the sequence at Keeneland or keyed a specific horse in the sequence thus lowering the payout. Need to look and see if they beat a BIG favorite in one of the legs at the other two tracks or were the winners true longshots at Keeneland or were they 2nd or 3rd choices that were played but not for the win in that race. There are many variables that affect the payouts in the horizontals none of them being the win payout of the races.
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10-22-2018, 10:48 AM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: NJ
Posts: 3,823
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ZippyChippy423
Not if im “ in the know” or feel confident about a pick. Never let the price deter you from a strong play ever! I know someone who handicapped a pick 4 at Calder several years ago but didnt play it because he thought the take out percentage was too high. It came out and paid like 35k.
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So the guy handicapped the entire Pick 4, came up with a play, and after all that suddenly decided to look up the takeout and refused to make the bet?
Sounds plausible...
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