*Handicapping Methods-Spot Play Testing-Software Etc

[NorCalGreg]

Checked a few TDN cards...noticed TOP E-1 E-2 wins quite a bit there--then I looked at today's not-yet-completed card:

You'll have to look the results up--but there's a $37.00 winner--with 5 of the 1st 7 races winning

[Winger]

Originally Posted by Winger

I'll play along. I'll say that Raging Warrior isn't going to win in 2nd at Emerald Downs.

He missed the board.

[NorCalGreg]

Been getting a lot of good comments from people that are just now beginning with BEST-5. I've never gotten this many responses , this quick. I love it!

This is from a brother in Oakland...I don't know him personally--he lives on the other side of town--he sent this message:

"Just hit pick 4 at santa anita for $1122.22 . Used the new program"


And this one really made me feel good--because this is exactly what I'm trying to accomplish here with my programs:

"25 years of handicapping and have never seen a software find price horses like this one. You will never find a better software at this price point it is an extreme bargain--Charlie"

[NorCalGreg]

I whiffed on my pick-3's today--happens a lot, that's the reason for playing WITHIN your bankroll. $8 and $9 plays are in my comfort zone...so I'm not hurting. I was playing larger amounts previously--right away nailed a pick-4 for $300...just missed on others--and hit a big one at Belmont. I was doing that little jig that gold miners do when they find gold---checked my ADW balance even though I already ball-parked what it now was--only to find they had DQ'd my horse. I got squadoosh-nada-diddly.

My first instinct was to snatch up my monitor ----Run to the backyard and punt it about 60 yards.

My goal is to find the most optimal (most optimal is that redundent? It's either optimal or it's not, right?)

Anyhoo Im lookling for the optimal way of playing these small exotics. I used to do well playing Doubles with PLATINUM.
If one of the two races is top Platinum Power--and not the favorite---and the other race one of the top 2 horses is 5-1+...it's a bet. Cost = $2 or 1 unit per play. Try it sometime.

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by Winger

I'll play along. I'll say that Raging Warrior isn't going to win in 2nd at Emerald Downs.

Good call Winger. 🍻

11 picks
6 wins
3 2nds
2 finished off the board--including Wingers

I'll put more up later...we'll see who can pick the horse the finshes off the board.

[NorCalGreg]

This is today's EXOTIC BETS! Tip Sheet MONMOUTH.

I noted two horses:

UN PO DI VINO is a single on the comp report...which means he the only qualifier for the list. Then I looked at the HOT LIST ---there he was. That's a solid horse to wager. He won and paid $7.00.

FUNDY'S TIDE.....wasn't a single--but he is also on the hot list--none of the others from that race are. So I bet that one, as well--mainly for the big price. That race hasn't run yet so I'll see how Fundy' does.

[NorCalGreg]

This is just clicking SPEED @ Belmont---4 of 5 already. Guess I finally solved Belmont

[NorCalGreg]

PLATINUM POWER just OWNS Gulfstream today.

Platinum Power showed a higher ROI than Bris Prime Power in a 6K race sample. Prime Power has a higher win%--because everyone has it it's overbet. Only Pace View users have the proprietary Platinum Power.

[oughtoh]

At Belmont today the late on ponypickers had 5 winners out of 10 races for a total of $84.50, including the $64.50 in the 6th and with the boss pick hit the exacta for $222. Got killed at Parx, Finger Lakes and Gulfstream mainly because I was trying to hit exactas and tris.

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by oughtoh

At Belmont today the late on ponypickers had 5 winners out of 10 races for a total of $84.50, including the $64.50 in the 6th and with the boss pick hit the exacta for $222. Got killed at Parx, Finger Lakes and Gulfstream mainly because I was trying to hit exactas and tris.

Where you at Ed? Vegas?

I looked at PonyPickers....you aren't kidding! Playing all "late" horses, you even had that big $64.00 longshot. Do you always play the LATE @ Belmont? That is the damdest track to figure out.

[NorCalGreg]

Take a look at LoneStar Sunday....it's very good to PonyPicker and

PLATINUM players ...not to mention Best-Five.

I'll be playing it so I put the TipSheet for Lone Star up on the website. I circled a couple good looking plays.

Here's what I'll be playing:


LONESTAR 07/02


3rd MR STREAM 5/2
4TH BABY CAT 2-1
5TH CAME UP ROSIE 5/2
6TH CHUKKA 10-1
7TH NOTABLE GAME 4-1
8TH NEW LUCKY PENNY 5-1
9TH EMERY'S VISUALIZER 4-1


Book 'em

-NCG

[NorCalGreg]

Noticed a top-4 ABILITY play today at Belmont


These are auto-bets for me...I try not to miss a bet. I'm glad I got that $69.00 winner early on in the meet--I know Wolsons was on it.

That pretty much insured our profitability for the meet, once again.

Anyhoo here is today's play:

[oughtoh]

No Laughlin. Had to take my wife and a vacation I always play the late and sometime add the E2's at belmont. Today there is 6 horses in the lates at 8-1 or over. Two races have two horse which I am not sure on. We will see how they do today.

[NorCalGreg]

This was something you don't see every day--a horse 10-1 listed on top of the BEST-5 consensus.

I checked and he was #1 on both Best 3 and 1-2-3 methods. When you see ANY horse 10-+ on the consensus--check to make sure it's not a maiden race full of FTS, and your 10-1 horse isn't just #1 by default.

This horse SCATTERED THOUGHTS I would have never bet by just looking at the form.

[Vinnie]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

This was something you don't see every day--a horse 10-1 listed on top of the BEST-5 consensus.

I checked and he was #1 on both Best 3 and 1-2-3 methods. When you see ANY horse 10-+ on the consensus--check to make sure it's not a maiden race full of FTS, and your 10-1 horse isn't just #1 by default.

This horse SCATTERED THOUGHTS I would have never bet by just looking at the form.

Greg:

Beautiful PIC 3, 3x3x3 Races 5-7. For a buck it returned $430.30. That one alone would have made your day. Very Nice!!