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06-25-2006, 09:08 PM
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#1
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Journeyman
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 31
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How Good is Flower Alley?
How good do you think Flower Alley is? I mean Watchmaker has him #1 and He looked good winning yesterday so how good is he and the classic division?
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06-26-2006, 12:36 AM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Denver, CO
Posts: 313
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I never thought he was all that good -- even after the Travers last year. But, his performance in the Classic showed me something. And, he didn't run his best race yesterday, and still managed to beat a decent group. It was the first time I've ever placed a bet (straight exacta with Park Avenue Ball) on him.
Is he have the highest ceiling in the division? Probably not, but, except for the weird jockey club start on the turn last year, he's as consistent as anybody. I'd put Lava Man above him right now, though.
Here's the watchmaker list (for reference).
1 - Flower Alley
Division needs him to come back strong
2 - Lava Man
So versatile; focuses now on dirt races
3 - Surf Cat
Big talent is slowed with a foot bruise
4 - Commentator
There is very little depth in this division
5 - Bellamy Road 8 - Buzzards Bay (7)
6 - Brass Hat 9 - Silver Train
7 - Perfect Drift (8) 10 - Invasor
__________________
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06-26-2006, 01:45 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 32
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cesario!
I never thought he was all that good -- even after the Travers last year. But, his performance in the Classic showed me something. And, he didn't run his best race yesterday, and still managed to beat a decent group. It was the first time I've ever placed a bet (straight exacta with Park Avenue Ball) on him.
Is he have the highest ceiling in the division? Probably not, but, except for the weird jockey club start on the turn last year, he's as consistent as anybody. I'd put Lava Man above him right now, though.
Here's the watchmaker list (for reference).
1 - Flower Alley
Division needs him to come back strong
2 - Lava Man
So versatile; focuses now on dirt races
3 - Surf Cat
Big talent is slowed with a foot bruise
4 - Commentator
There is very little depth in this division
5 - Bellamy Road 8 - Buzzards Bay (7)
6 - Brass Hat 9 - Silver Train
7 - Perfect Drift (8) 10 - Invasor
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well lava man may be fast out west, but he won't hit the board on 11-6 in kentucky,
neither will surf cat, 10f is just too far for him.
commentatoer, is still an active horse ?
same for bellamy road
silver train is a sprinter who shpuld have been taken down in the BCS for interference.
flower alley runs once at 8f and he is on top of the division.
how is it that clockbreaker stays employeed??
hr obviously doesn't spend much time thinking about his lists
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06-26-2006, 03:16 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Denver, CO
Posts: 313
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I would jump at a chance to take that Lava Man bet. East Coast Bias is so prevelant in this sport -- I can't wait till November.
__________________
"Stealing Money from the Crowd," a short e-book on contrarian strategies for the Breeders Cup is available now at alldayracing.com.
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06-26-2006, 03:27 PM
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#5
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Journeyman
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 31
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Quote:
Originally Posted by horse1
well lava man may be fast out west, but he won't hit the board on 11-6 in kentucky,
neither will surf cat, 10f is just too far for him.
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Man your wrong on that one, Lava Man is a tough horse. Surf Cat is even better in my book.!
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06-26-2006, 03:42 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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I think Lava Man would destroy Flower Alley.
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06-26-2006, 03:48 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 9,569
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Lava Man
The only thread on PA with "Lava Man" in the title has 3 total posts; this one now has 7!
Flower Alley wins, 7-3! And was a horse to watch of mine a year aog!
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06-26-2006, 05:40 PM
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#8
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PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,658
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06-27-2006, 06:10 AM
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#9
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,830
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I haven't done the figures for the Mth race, and seeing it was nothing but a prep it probably isn't a big one. But, Flower Alley is faster on my numbers by a decent amount over Lava Man.
I am a fan of Lava Man, by the way. How many horses can you think of that are G1 winners on dirt and turf in the last 20 years?
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06-27-2006, 09:03 AM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,827
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Seems like horses are taking to the hard grass or something? More and more are running well on both these days. Perfect Drift runs well on both, but does not win on either, but his figures are close on each.
__________________
Every time you are tempted to react in the same old way, ask if you want to be a prisoner of the past or a pioneer of the future.
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06-27-2006, 10:50 AM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 32
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BIG49010
Seems like horses are taking to the hard grass or something? More and more are running well on both these days. Perfect Drift runs well on both, but does not win on either, but his figures are close on each.
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perfect drift is no where near the money on the turf, not at Ap years back, not in his preps this year or last, they run him on the turf to gets his legs in shape and save his ankles a little shock.
lava man may beat flower alley, out west at delmar or even at oak tree,
but the west coast horses will not have a chance on the soft east coast dirt,
and vise versa. st liam shipped west and was no where to be seen, he finished up the track.
the only horse that shipped form the west coast and did any damage recently was the awesome son of el prado, borrego. and he ran his BCC in the JCGC.
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06-27-2006, 10:55 AM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Meadowlands
Posts: 1,908
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I agree with Watchmaker. Flower Alley ran a great race last year in the Classic. Nice time off to improve. Huge player in the handicap divison. On class alone he deserves his ranking.
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06-27-2006, 12:20 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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Perfect Drift is nowhere near as good on grass as he is on dirt. His two mediocre turf races to start 2006 helped darken the form enough to make him a big overlay in the Foster, and IMO, the right bet in that race. The fact he missed by an inch doesn't mean he wasn' the proper play in the Foster.
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06-27-2006, 12:22 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
I haven't done the figures for the Mth race, and seeing it was nothing but a prep it probably isn't a big one. But, Flower Alley is faster on my numbers by a decent amount over Lava Man.
I am a fan of Lava Man, by the way. How many horses can you think of that are G1 winners on dirt and turf in the last 20 years?
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I may have to go back over 20 years but the ones that come to mind are John Henry, Greinton, Lord at War and believe it or not, Castledale. Giants Causeway was pretty close, narrowly missing in the BC.
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06-27-2006, 12:41 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Saratoga, NY
Posts: 190
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Valuist
I may have to go back over 20 years but the ones that come to mind are John Henry, Greinton, Lord at War and believe it or not, Castledale. Giants Causeway was pretty close, narrowly missing in the BC.
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How about With Anticipation? Didn't he win some on the dirt? I suspect not a G1...
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