Quote:
Originally Posted by FakeNameChanged
Can you give your definition of weak favorite, and Live long shot? I'm fairly familiar with dead on the board, but not sure how you're defining the other two categories.
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Determining a “Live Long Shot” or an entry considered “Dead on the Board” are both misnomers from the perspective of the casual tote board observer. That’s because it’s impossible for any individual to monitor all the pools simultaneously that illustrate the flow of money which inevitably results in providing specific betting patterns. Most of these simple observations are limited to either watching the odds (the Win pool only) or the Will Pays (Exacta or Quinella Pools).
From the analysis standpoint however it becomes a much clearer picture when comparing the generated entry values in combination with the PAR value from one betting interval to the next.
The #1 entry (@ 4.4/1) was certainly NOT dead on the board as the 2nd betting choice and finished 2nd!
The #8 entry (@ 7.7/1) also got solid action, but faded slightly by post time, yet finished 1st.
The #7 entry (@ 24/1) received marginal action, but did take a bit of late action by post time and finished 3rd.
The #9 entry (@ 142/1) did not get much early or late play, yet managed to finish 4th.
TOTE ANALYSIS for HK Sha Tin Race # 10 – (See Results & Comments in earlier posts above)
Entries w/Computed Values closest to PAR are always of interest –
The PAR value is based on all the combined monies in the Win, Place & Quinella pools)
Code:
PK F 0m 3m 7m 12m ENT#
1 2 344 283 270 257 1
618 545 533 527 2
4 321 314 314 296 3
2 332 254 260 270 4
3 414 334 313 304 5
6 387 352 347 350 6
3 420 466 450 446 7
5 1 363 317 318 324 8
4 601 552 544 532 9
489 406 401 387 10
413 449 394 393 11
506 400 390 369 12
667 658 680 710 13
589 567 579 585 14
378 333 325 321 PAR
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