Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Racing Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 10-22-2021, 09:23 PM   #1
FRMNBRI
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2021
Posts: 122
Handicapping Remington Park???

Hey Fellas-

How many of you guys play Remington Park? Its a very tough track for me to undertand if I go by PP,s and the DRF. Some of the races I feel are very similiar to Gulfstream Park when you scatch your head after a 45-1 wins that has been 80-1 last time out in the same conditions and beat a total of total of 25 lengths since in its last 5 starts. Not to mention a trainer like Hector Echeverria that is hitting at a .3% clip with 88 starts. Anyways does anyone else like to handicap and play this track or is one of those on the list that most true players pass on?

For the ones that do play it, what are some angles to look at and consider? I know Asmussen has a decent string of horses there along with Pish and Kroberg. There just are usually some big prices that make no sense so just looking for some advice. Hope everyone is staying safe and cashing tickets.
FRMNBRI is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-22-2021, 09:53 PM   #2
CheckMark
 
CheckMark's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,709
I have been back and forth with this racetrack and I have to say this track offers a lot of value and what I mean by that is that the favourites don't win that often (that I have seen) and usually you will see better prices win more times than not!

I would have to say that this track favors front runners (usually E or E/P) and the best posts are 1 through 6 with a lot of days seeing posts 1-3 winning or 1-6 winning all the races but definitely consider the front running horses and specific running styles in all Dirt or Turf races!

Look for the following connections
Jockeys: David Cabrera or Richard Eramia as they win the most races
Trainers: Steve Asmussen or Carl Broberg or C R Trout to send out top horses
Owners: Danny Caldwell or C R Trout or Danny R Caldwell

Hope this helps
__________________
Handicapping the world year round'
-Conley
CheckMark is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-22-2021, 10:03 PM   #3
FRMNBRI
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2021
Posts: 122
Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckMark View Post
I have been back and forth with this racetrack and I have to say this track offers a lot of value and what I mean by that is that the favourites don't win that often (that I have seen) and usually you will see better prices win more times than not!

I would have to say that this track favors front runners (usually E or E/P) and the best posts are 1 through 6 with a lot of days seeing posts 1-3 winning or 1-6 winning all the races but definitely consider the front running horses and specific running styles in all Dirt or Turf races!

Look for the following connections
Jockeys: David Cabrera or Richard Eramia as they win the most races
Trainers: Steve Asmussen or Carl Broberg or C R Trout to send out top horses
Owners: Danny Caldwell or C R Trout or Danny R Caldwell

Hope this helps
Thank you for taking the time CheckMark to reply back. Great info and yes that helps alot. Its kinda like my new vice to try and figure this track out. Your are 100 percent right on value. If your able to break down the race and find some decent prices the payouts are huge. Last night it was off the charts. 4/5 was over 9k. I spent alot of time handicapping the early pick 5 tonight but the 2nd leg got me lol.... Couldn't pull the trigger on that one.

Asmussen has some horses there that they paid lots of money for but I feel he knows they are not going to cut it at Keenland, Churchill etc.. so he runs them at Remington.
FRMNBRI is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-22-2021, 10:13 PM   #4
ranchwest
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,151
Quote:
Originally Posted by FRMNBRI View Post
Hey Fellas-

How many of you guys play Remington Park? Its a very tough track for me to undertand if I go by PP,s and the DRF. Some of the races I feel are very similiar to Gulfstream Park when you scatch your head after a 45-1 wins that has been 80-1 last time out in the same conditions and beat a total of total of 25 lengths since in its last 5 starts. Not to mention a trainer like Hector Echeverria that is hitting at a .3% clip with 88 starts. Anyways does anyone else like to handicap and play this track or is one of those on the list that most true players pass on?

For the ones that do play it, what are some angles to look at and consider? I know Asmussen has a decent string of horses there along with Pish and Kroberg. There just are usually some big prices that make no sense so just looking for some advice. Hope everyone is staying safe and cashing tickets.
Are you referring to #8 in R2 tonight? My pace line selection was line 4 and by my numbers that gave the horse the best Total Energy in the race.

I didn't bet on RP today.
__________________
Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
ranchwest is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-22-2021, 10:28 PM   #5
FRMNBRI
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2021
Posts: 122
Quote:
Originally Posted by ranchwest View Post
Are you referring to #8 in R2 tonight? My pace line selection was line 4 and by my numbers that gave the horse the best Total Energy in the race.

I didn't bet on RP today.
Yes I am referring to the 8 horse. I dont have access to those extra tools you mentioned. I just was using the basic PP's in the DRF. What exactly is pace line selction and Total Energy? Too bad you didnt play that horse, I think he drifted up to 40-1. Thanks for the reply.
FRMNBRI is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-22-2021, 10:41 PM   #6
ranchwest
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,151
Quote:
Originally Posted by FRMNBRI View Post
Yes I am referring to the 8 horse. I dont have access to those extra tools you mentioned. I just was using the basic PP's in the DRF. What exactly is pace line selction and Total Energy? Too bad you didnt play that horse, I think he drifted up to 40-1. Thanks for the reply.
It's pace handicapping.

The pace line is the race that you select as being what you want to use considering today's race situation. Normally, the pace line should be a similar surface, distance, etc.

Pace handicapping divides the race into three sections and calculates figures for each section. Total Energy is one of many calculations that can be derived from the figures for the three sections.

I'm not saying pace handicapping is perfect. I am just pointing out that there were ways to find that winner. It wasn't a total fluke that that horse won.
__________________
Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
ranchwest is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-22-2021, 10:55 PM   #7
FRMNBRI
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2021
Posts: 122
Quote:
Originally Posted by ranchwest View Post
It's pace handicapping.

The pace line is the race that you select as being what you want to use considering today's race situation. Normally, the pace line should be a similar surface, distance, etc.

Pace handicapping divides the race into three sections and calculates figures for each section. Total Energy is one of many calculations that can be derived from the figures for the three sections.

I'm not saying pace handicapping is perfect. I am just pointing out that there were ways to find that winner. It wasn't a total fluke that that horse won.
Thanks Ranchwest for explaining that to me, very interesting. Is there info online or in a book you would recommend that would help me learn that. There is so much info out there and I know learning more will helo me be a better capper and hopefully make more money in this tough game. I struggle trying to compare how a horse will run at a different track though. Like Remington versus Lone Star using that 8 horse as an example with a differnt jockey as well. Thanks again for the help. Much appreciated!!!
FRMNBRI is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-22-2021, 11:18 PM   #8
Robert Fischer
clean money
 
Robert Fischer's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,556
I don't know.

Once in a while a 'watch list' horse ends up at Remington, and one thing leads to another

__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Robert Fischer is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-22-2021, 11:32 PM   #9
FRMNBRI
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2021
Posts: 122
Robert when that horse comes up on the watch list for Remington please let me know.
FRMNBRI is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-22-2021, 11:48 PM   #10
ranchwest
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,151
Quote:
Originally Posted by FRMNBRI View Post
Thanks Ranchwest for explaining that to me, very interesting. Is there info online or in a book you would recommend that would help me learn that. There is so much info out there and I know learning more will helo me be a better capper and hopefully make more money in this tough game. I struggle trying to compare how a horse will run at a different track though. Like Remington versus Lone Star using that 8 horse as an example with a differnt jockey as well. Thanks again for the help. Much appreciated!!!
You might try Modern Pace Handicapping. It's a bit dated, but it will give you the basics.

The "guru" of pace handicapping was Sartin. He wrote a number of pace programs, but he is now deceased. One program today that uses his concepts in called RDSS.

My pace programming is from a program I wrote for myself.
__________________
Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
ranchwest is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-23-2021, 12:14 AM   #11
FRMNBRI
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2021
Posts: 122
Quote:
Originally Posted by ranchwest View Post
You might try Modern Pace Handicapping. It's a bit dated, but it will give you the basics.

The "guru" of pace handicapping was Sartin. He wrote a number of pace programs, but he is now deceased. One program today that uses his concepts in called RDSS.

My pace programming is from a program I wrote for myself.
Im going to check it out and see what I can find. I actually read quite a bit of Modern Pace Handicapping but it was very difficult to get through and like you said because it was outdated it made for a tough read.
FRMNBRI is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-23-2021, 12:41 AM   #12
ranchwest
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,151
Quote:
Originally Posted by FRMNBRI View Post
Im going to check it out and see what I can find. I actually read quite a bit of Modern Pace Handicapping but it was very difficult to get through and like you said because it was outdated it made for a tough read.
It's a tough read because there are a lot of formulas. It is outdated because the formulas have been made more powerful through distance adjustments, track-to-track adjustments, etc. Also, today there are additional concepts that can work in conjunction with the pace basics.
__________________
Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
ranchwest is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-23-2021, 12:47 AM   #13
FRMNBRI
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2021
Posts: 122
Quote:
Originally Posted by ranchwest View Post
It's a tough read because there are a lot of formulas. It is outdated because the formulas have been made more powerful through distance adjustments, track-to-track adjustments, etc. Also, today there are additional concepts that can work in conjunction with the pace basics.
So ranch what would you recommend to look at if you did not have your own system you use or is more of something I need to learn on my own more or less. Appreciate all the help. Handicpping is just so tough but I think I love the challenge which is what draws me to this sport so much. The gratifaction you get when a horse runs exactly how you figured it would.
FRMNBRI is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-23-2021, 12:52 AM   #14
ranchwest
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,151
Quote:
Originally Posted by FRMNBRI View Post
So ranch what would you recommend to look at if you did not have your own system you use or is more of something I need to learn on my own more or less. Appreciate all the help. Handicpping is just so tough but I think I love the challenge which is what draws me to this sport so much. The gratifaction you get when a horse runs exactly how you figured it would.
I haven't used any program except my own, so it wouldn't be fair of me to say one is better than another. I am more familiar with RDSS than the others and I do see some people being successful with it. But, it isn't a magic wand. You have to learn how to best utilize it.

Many people who are successful handicappers are maintaining track profiles, record keeping on what factors win.
__________________
Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
ranchwest is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-23-2021, 05:48 PM   #15
Tom
The Voice of Reason!
 
Tom's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,755
MPH the program is available at Trackmaster, web version.
Still works today. I still use my original DOS version with the BRIS download.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Tom is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply




Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:17 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.