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06-07-2020, 04:59 AM
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#721
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 245
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Race 7
8 drops 17% with all and 5 drops 14% with all horse
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06-07-2020, 05:14 AM
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#722
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,992
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R#9- 1600M C3 (8F)T….……4-14-9 W/ 2-7-5…@3mins to Post Late Scr #11
Last edited by Nitro; 06-07-2020 at 05:20 AM.
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06-07-2020, 05:16 AM
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#723
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 245
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Race 7
Nitro
What do you show the drop on the 8 at 3 mtp to 2 mtp? in Percentage or dollars
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06-07-2020, 05:28 AM
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#724
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,992
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#9- 1600M C3 (8F)T
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4-14-9 W/ 2-7-5
@3mins to Post Late Scr #11
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2-6-9-7 Dutch LOSS 105% Profit Margin PLAYED/ Some very late action on the LS Placer after the late SCR of #11
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06-07-2020, 05:31 AM
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#725
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,992
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hypnotist1
Nitro
What do you show the drop on the 8 at 3 mtp to 2 mtp? in Percentage or dollars
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15% on #8 & 29% on #5
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06-07-2020, 05:42 AM
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#726
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 245
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Race 7
Nitro
Well the will pays don t show that on my data
The 5/8 drops from 36 to 26 is that what you show as well
from 3 mtp to 2 mtp
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06-07-2020, 05:48 AM
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#727
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,992
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R#10-1400M C2 (7F)T
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2-12-1 W/ 5-8-14
.@3mins to Post
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06-07-2020, 05:49 AM
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#728
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,992
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hypnotist1
Nitro
Well the will pays don t show that on my data
The 5/8 drops from 36 to 26 is that what you show as well
from 3 mtp to 2 mtp
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My %'s are based on ALL pools combined
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06-07-2020, 06:00 AM
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#729
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,992
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#10-1400M C2 (7F)T
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2-12-1 W/ 5-8-14
.@3mins to Post
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1-4-12-10 Dutch WIN 57% Profit Margin PLAYED/ Not much action on the LS Placer #4
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06-07-2020, 06:06 AM
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#730
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,992
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It turned out to be very tough race card with only some fair results. The Dutch Win bets produced a loss of 27% with the result of only hitting 3 of 5 races. There were only a few decent Verticals and one really nice score.
I had mixed feelings about this mornings card being on a yielding surface after all that rain.
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06-13-2020, 11:41 PM
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#731
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,992
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HONG KONG - SHA TIN SUN - 6/14/20
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
Im wont be posting my pre-race selections for this very competitive race card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 11 races at Sha Tin with 8 races on Turf & 3 on Dirt..
Post Time Race #1 12:30 AM SUN EST
Ive taken a look at the M/Ls in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with my preliminary picks for each race. However, Ill be only posting live selections this morning because the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these entries and any others I might have missed.
The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores. A few of the races this morning look wide open!
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I cant make a Dutch Win bet Ill generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.
For those of you that have the resources to bet more than $2 per race you might want to consider the following in terms of betting:
1) Win Dutching 3 entries means betting each of the 3 entries so that no matter which one wins the return is the same. (Wait until 4 mins to post for final odds calculations).
2) For Quinellas there are many options:
a) Using all 3 of the top Keys with all the others = 12 bets
b) Boxing all 6 selections = 15 bets
3) Triples there also many options:
a) Using any Key in the top position w/All others = 20 bets
b) Using all 3 Keys in the top position w/All others = 60 bets
c) Using Top 4 selections in the top position w/All others = 80 bets
d) Boxing all 6 selections = 120 bets
(Warning: The odds of the selected entries @ 7 mins to post should determine playability by comparing the combined value of each group of 3 that may complete the triple with the amount to be bet).
Good Luck if youre playing!
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06-14-2020, 12:27 AM
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#732
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,992
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R#1-1000M C6 (5F)T
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.1-3-4 W/ 5
@3mins to Post
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06-14-2020, 12:39 AM
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#733
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,992
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#1-1000M C6 (5F)T
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.1-3-4 W/ 5
@3mins to Post
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1-3-4-5 Dutch WIN 0% Profit Margin - PASSED / $6.60 Quinella & $16.60 Triple COLD
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06-14-2020, 12:57 AM
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#734
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,992
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R#2-1400M C4 (7F)T
.11-7-4 W/ 1-8-5
@3mins to Post
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06-14-2020, 01:09 AM
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#735
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,992
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#2-1400M C4 (7F)T
.11-7-4 W/ 1-8-5
@3mins to Post
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8-11-4-13 Dutch LOSS 75% Profit Margin - PLAYED / $46.90 Quinella & $502.20 Triple BX w/ Great Some Value!
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