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05-09-2015, 08:45 PM
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#31
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Denver
Posts: 4,163
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cratos
There should be little or no argument at all that Andrew Beyer is the legendary ambassador of modern thoroughbred handicapping.
However in terms of journalistic writing about horseracing I would put the late Jim Murray of the LA Times and the late Red Smith of the NY Times ahead of Beyer.
Having said that, Beyer gets the edge over them and Tom Ainsile with his introduction to the horseracing public a practical and simple handicapping tool in the form of his "speedfigure" methodology which is still the premier tool today after 40+ years.
Also we shouldn't overlook Phil Bull of Timeform who is truly the "godfather" of modern quantitative handicapping with his Timeform Ratings and Timefigures which he introduced in the 1930s.
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If we're going back to the war years, Ray Taulbot gets a mention. He was pace makes the race long before it became part of the modern handicapping literature. I think American Turf Monthly might still be recirculating his articles.
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05-09-2015, 08:56 PM
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#32
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,871
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I met Tom (Dick Carter) at a Sartin seminar in Albany. He sat in front of me and we chatted a bit during breaks. Very nice man. He was learning to use the advanced Sartin programs and was very interested in the whole thing.
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Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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05-09-2015, 10:48 PM
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#33
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: The Big Apple
Posts: 4,252
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HalvOnHorseracing
If we're going back to the war years, Ray Taulbot gets a mention. He was pace makes the race long before it became part of the modern handicapping literature. I think American Turf Monthly might still be recirculating his articles.
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The war years? Ray Taulbot who passed away in 1969 was very relevant during Beyer's early years and I didn't include him because Beyer and others wrote for widely distributed daily newspapers whereas Taulbot was writing for a niche publication.
This doesn't demean Taulbot, but I don't think journalistically he had the same effect on the sport with his writings as Beyer.
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Last edited by Cratos; 05-09-2015 at 10:51 PM.
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05-10-2015, 12:00 AM
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#34
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Denver
Posts: 4,163
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cratos
The war years? Ray Taulbot who passed away in 1969 was very relevant during Beyer's early years and I didn't include him because Beyer and others wrote for widely distributed daily newspapers whereas Taulbot was writing for a niche publication.
This doesn't demean Taulbot, but I don't think journalistically he had the same effect on the sport with his writings as Beyer.
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I know Taulbot was born in 1895 and I believe he was managing editor at ATM from the 30's until his death, wasn't he? It's hard to compare eras - horseracing was a different game until the middle of the 20th century, but Taulbot might have been one of the better known "handicapping writers" in that era. I know ATM relentlessly pushed his pace calculator and they sold an awful lot of them. For those of us who got their start pre-Beyer, Taulbot was one of the few references we had until Ainslie's 1968 book. I would agree he didn't have nearly the impact Beyer did at any time, and a lot of Taulbot's stuff was based on "angles" which were a popular handicapping tool in an era when the racing form had more limited data set. I was familiar with ATM because later on I wrote for them when the Bomze brothers were running the show and there was definitely a formula for the articles. Beyer has the advantage of recency and his bibliography well surpasses anything Taulbot did, but in the day ATM and Racing Digest had a pretty wide distribution in the Northeast anyway. Beyer is the clear winner in any comparison, and perhaps Taulbot wouldn't make a top five list, but for a lot of us he was the first guy to fool around with handicapping "science" and he does hold a special place.
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05-10-2015, 12:10 AM
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#35
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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While this article was firmly written tongue-in-cheek on April Fool's Day, I do see this particular quote as quite poignant:
As the “saberists'” popularity has grown, a great debate has emerged between sabermetrics and traditional scouting. You cannot remain in the “saberists'” good standing if you place any value in anything a scout has ever said.
I see this as quite true in horse racing.
Both sides of the fence riddle the other in their methods when it comes to "numbers" or "computer" generated models versus the wiley veteran that utilizes pen, paper, and a racing form to earn their trade.
Both can be great. Both can be woefully wrong.
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05-10-2015, 12:16 AM
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#36
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,558
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Anyone know which handicapping author was the biggest bettor?
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"Theory is knowledge that doesn't work. Practice is when everything works and you don't know why."
-- Hermann Hesse
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05-10-2015, 12:43 AM
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#37
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Buckle Up
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 10,614
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos
Anyone know which handicapping author was the biggest bettor?
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Are we talking at least $5K a day, in 1985 dollars?
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05-10-2015, 01:01 AM
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#38
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: St. Louis suburb
Posts: 1,761
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
While this article was firmly written tongue-in-cheek on April Fool's Day, I do see this particular quote as quite poignant:
As the “saberists'” popularity has grown, a great debate has emerged between sabermetrics and traditional scouting. You cannot remain in the “saberists'” good standing if you place any value in anything a scout has ever said.
I see this as quite true in horse racing.
Both sides of the fence riddle the other in their methods when it comes to "numbers" or "computer" generated models versus the wiley veteran that utilizes pen, paper, and a racing form to earn their trade.
Both can be great. Both can be woefully wrong.
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A high school player can't be measured by sabermetrics...
http://www.baseballamerica.com/minor...e-trout-12308/
...but his development can be measured once in the system...
http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx...on=OF#advanced
To establish the satire, the author created a false dichotomy...
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/what-...-teams-use-it/
--but I still enjoyed the April Fool's joke.
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"I like to come here (Saratoga) every year to visit my money." ---Joe E. Lewis
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05-10-2015, 01:10 AM
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#39
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos
Anyone know which handicapping author was the biggest bettor?
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Charles Barkley and Michael Jordan have both authored books. I'd say they are the biggest bettors; even to date.
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05-10-2015, 01:25 AM
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#40
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,558
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
Charles Barkley and Michael Jordan have both authored books. I'd say they are the biggest bettors; even to date.
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Handicapping books?
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"Theory is knowledge that doesn't work. Practice is when everything works and you don't know why."
-- Hermann Hesse
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05-10-2015, 03:03 AM
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#41
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos
Handicapping books?
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They weren't?
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05-10-2015, 08:56 AM
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#42
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,871
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ReplayRandall
Are we talking at least $5K a day, in 1985 dollars?
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I would guess Beyer, or Davidowitz.
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Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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05-10-2015, 10:31 AM
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#43
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Racing Form Detective
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Lincoln, Ne but my heart is at Santa Anita
Posts: 16,316
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos
Anyone know which handicapping author was the biggest bettor?
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I am going to hazard a guess that it might be C X Wong.
Although he did not write about handicapping, Pete Axthelm was know to wager large amounts of money on the ponies.
__________________
Some day in the not too distant future, horse players will betting on computer generated races over the net. Race tracks will become casinos and shopping centers. And some crooner will be belting out "there used to be a race track here".
Last edited by Robert Goren; 05-10-2015 at 10:37 AM.
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05-10-2015, 05:39 PM
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#44
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos
There are better numbers out there, so, you can't call the Beyer figures the "standard". Beyer the man casts a much bigger shadow than just the numbers bearing his name.
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I didn't say Beyer numbers were the best, just the standard by which all are measured against.
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"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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05-10-2015, 05:43 PM
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#45
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: MI
Posts: 6,330
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Beyer, to his credit, could entertain us in his writings leaving all authors behind. Beyer didn't invent parellel time charts. He just gave them life to the public.
__________________
"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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