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07-17-2015, 05:52 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2015
Posts: 48
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The Eddie Read at Del Mar - Selections
Tomorrow is the Grade 1 $400,000 Eddie Read Handicap at Del Mar and we have a good field. Unfortunately, there are rain and thunderstorms in the forecast for Saturday so there's a likely chance we could get a wet turf course. Hopefully it'll be dry, but let's dig deep into this field of seven for tomorrow. (please note, I used TimeformUS PPs to handicap this race)
I really like Finnegans Wake in here. You can throw out that last race in the SA Gold Cup as that was a dirt race, and he is more of a turf horse. In fact, all of his seven wins came on the grass. Earlier this year, he won a couple of grade 2 races at Santa Anita and won the G1 Woodford Reserve Turf Classic on the Kentucky Derby undercard.
I'm going with Midnight Storm for second. He was runner-up in the Shoemaker Mile in Sth. California and he won the Del Mar Derby last year so he has experience over the course.
Power Ped ran third in the G2 San Gabriel and G2 San Marcos, two races in which Finnegans Wake had won. It's unfortunate that he has to face him again, but he's shown he can compete with this kind of company.
For last I'll go with Twentytwentyvision. This is his graded stakes debut. He's won a couple of allowance races at Santa Anita in the spring, but this is a big step in class for him.
MY SELECTIONS
Finnegans Wake
Midnight Storm
Power Ped
Twentytwentyvision
Post time for the Eddie Read is 6:42pm ET/3:42pm PT. Good luck!
Last edited by grandstander21; 07-17-2015 at 05:59 PM.
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07-17-2015, 06:29 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 3,208
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Nearly impossible race without knowing whether Midnight Storm will duel Big Cazanova or take back.
If Midnight Storm duels Big Cazanova, who is not going to rate, Finnegans Wake will win easily. It might be a little harder if that doesn't happen.
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07-18-2015, 12:01 AM
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#3
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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Never been all that impressed with Finnegans Wake. He beat some weak fields at SA on turf that were the same old same olds time in and time out. He is still only 7 for 31 lifetime even after winning 4 of 5 races from November to May.
The Gabriel Charles piques my interest the most. Lightly raced in 2015 and likely pointed towards this one for a big time effort. He has won at this track and distance before and gets Mike Smith that has rode him very well in the past. ML is 5/1, but I think we can get him at 7/1 or better.
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07-18-2015, 08:49 AM
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#4
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Random Numbers Generator
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: In the grandstand looking under the seats for tickets or food
Posts: 2,291
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Power Ped
__________________
Where will you be when diarrhea strikes?
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07-18-2015, 09:54 AM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,058
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
The Gabriel Charles piques my interest the most. Lightly raced in 2015 and likely pointed towards this one for a big time effort. He has won at this track and distance before and gets Mike Smith that has rode him very well in the past. ML is 5/1, but I think we can get him at 7/1 or better.
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+1
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07-18-2015, 10:30 AM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2003
Location: SLR Clocker Shack
Posts: 140
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Del Mar Weather updates
I live just a stones throw from the track, and while we only got about a half hour of rain, we had more thunder and lightning than I've experienced in the last decade here.
I'm more concerned with how that may impact the horses running today.
__________________
"In spite of the difficult odds of winning at the track, life is fairer here than the outside world, because at the track everyone gets the same set of odds."
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07-18-2015, 12:17 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2015
Posts: 48
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
Never been all that impressed with Finnegans Wake. He beat some weak fields at SA on turf that were the same old same olds time in and time out. He is still only 7 for 31 lifetime even after winning 4 of 5 races from November to May.
The Gabriel Charles piques my interest the most. Lightly raced in 2015 and likely pointed towards this one for a big time effort. He has won at this track and distance before and gets Mike Smith that has rode him very well in the past. ML is 5/1, but I think we can get him at 7/1 or better.
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I see what you mean about Finnegans Wake, but 14 of his races have been contested on either a dry or wet main track hence his 7-for-31 record. He's better on turf. Plus, his current turf form is great.
Gabriel Charles may need a little bit more time to develop into the races. He's unraced in 2014 and ran second against allowance company ( Midnight Storm was the winner that day). He finished third in the G3 American and this is a tough spot just third off the year-layoff.
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07-18-2015, 12:19 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2015
Posts: 48
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Inglewood Flamingo
I live just a stones throw from the track, and while we only got about a half hour of rain, we had more thunder and lightning than I've experienced in the last decade here.
I'm more concerned with how that may impact the horses running today.
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Thanks for the weather report. I'll rely on you for weather updates until the first post.
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07-18-2015, 12:48 PM
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#9
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EXCEL with SUPERFECTAS
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 10,206
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07-18-2015, 01:02 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2003
Location: SLR Clocker Shack
Posts: 140
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10am Weather Report
Overcast with sunny peeking through at times, a cool 79 with slight humidity at 60%.
A gorgeous day for racing.
__________________
"In spite of the difficult odds of winning at the track, life is fairer here than the outside world, because at the track everyone gets the same set of odds."
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07-18-2015, 02:47 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 5,005
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Giving a big shot to the . See him tripsitting in 3rd behind the and , who will hopefully mix it up in the front.
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07-18-2015, 03:12 PM
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#12
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EXCEL with SUPERFECTAS
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 10,206
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ocala Mike
Giving a big shot to the . See him tripsitting in 3rd behind the and , who will hopefully mix it up in the front.
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I think Big Casanova gets the lead without being too pressured (turf race) but don't think he can hold on to the wire. Hoping the 2 steps up at the end! My other 2 contenders won't pay anything.
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07-18-2015, 03:49 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2003
Location: SLR Clocker Shack
Posts: 140
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Boy how things change quickly. Steady rain, thunder and overcast will likely be off the turf if not already.
__________________
"In spite of the difficult odds of winning at the track, life is fairer here than the outside world, because at the track everyone gets the same set of odds."
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07-18-2015, 04:07 PM
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#14
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EXCEL with SUPERFECTAS
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 10,206
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Inglewood Flamingo
Boy how things change quickly. Steady rain, thunder and overcast will likely be off the turf if not already.
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Yeah, with a 60% chance, per the earlier forecast, I figured they would be "off the turf" today. That will change things, and that would favor Big Casanova and Finnegan's Wake. Although I have a feeling Finnegan's Wake needs a breather, and Big Casanova might not have what it takes to last, especially if he gets some pressure early from Midnight Storm, if he doesn't scratch. Probably will pass this race if it comes off the turf.
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07-18-2015, 05:02 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 955
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There's a picture on Paulick's site where they're sealing the track at Del Mar. I'll bet that hasn't happened in eons.
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