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05-02-2018, 06:10 AM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2015
Posts: 1,362
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Undercard Locks
Lets jinx some horses on the undercard.
Ill go first. Race 9 River Boyne can't lose. Will be a single for me in pick 3 and pick 4.
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05-02-2018, 07:05 AM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2015
Posts: 1,362
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hopefully the undercard payouts are like 2016 last year was pretty much all chalk.
quick question. i know supers are $1 but a tri's .50?
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05-02-2018, 08:02 AM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 5,800
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PowerUpPaynter
Lets jinx some horses on the undercard.
Ill go first. Race 9 River Boyne can't lose. Will be a single for me in pick 3 and pick 4.
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Love the concept.
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05-02-2018, 08:12 AM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 5,800
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05-02-2018, 09:36 AM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 316
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PowerUpPaynter
Lets jinx some horses on the undercard.
Ill go first. Race 9 River Boyne can't lose. Will be a single for me in pick 3 and pick 4.
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Love this idea Paynter. Let me call Rushing Fall a lock in the 9th as well , then maybe we might have a chance to beat both of them.
Last edited by jahura2; 05-02-2018 at 09:38 AM.
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05-02-2018, 09:51 AM
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#6
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Random Numbers Generator
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: In the grandstand looking under the seats for tickets or food
Posts: 2,291
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Race 1: Once On Whiskey
Hey, it's Cinco de Mayo and what a way to open the day!
__________________
Where will you be when diarrhea strikes?
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05-02-2018, 09:54 AM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 2,956
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PowerUpPaynter
hopefully the undercard payouts are like 2016 last year was pretty much all chalk.
quick question. i know supers are $1 but a tri's .50?
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YES! (scroll down to the bottom)
https://www.churchilldowns.com/racin...ard/post-times
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05-02-2018, 10:25 AM
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#8
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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pat day mile
Man...
Like a naive countryman , I don't have any locks
*ducks rotten tomatoes*
back to the show: Mississippi JUMPS OFF THE PAGE as a value.
10/1 ML and the public is not going to account for his trip last time. I guess you can call it 'subtle' (I wouldn't call it subtle), but it's not the type of trip that is obvious to the public, and he's somewhat under the radar to begin with.
Drew post 9 with that short run to the first turn. 'Brisk'(not as hard as 'hard' but harder than 'kept busy' and much harder than 'allowed to settle') ride from the gate to ensure a chance to get over. About the 3-path entering the first turn(every bit of ground loss into that turn counts @ GP.)
He was neck and neck with Audible following the break.
As that insane pace duel developed up ahead - Combination of JV's wisdom and Audible's lazyness sent them along at a perfect approach. For reference,, Bris has them 95/105 E1 E2
- Mississippi and Leparoux did not adapt, chasing about 4 lengths ahead of Audible, and they were the first to tackle the leaders when they eventually weakened. For reference Mississippi registered 107,107 E1 E2
Done nothing so far in his career to make me feel he's a lock in a field that has REstoring Hope(had a trip of his own in the Wood, but will not be overlooked by the public), and Mask and others, but at 10/1 with that kind of value-laden trip, Mississippi seems like a vertical exotics key
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Last edited by Robert Fischer; 05-02-2018 at 10:27 AM.
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05-02-2018, 10:31 AM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 245
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
Mississippi JUMPS OFF THE PAGE as a value.
10/1 ML and the public is not going to account for his trip last time. I guess you can call it 'subtle' (I wouldn't call it subtle), but it's not the type of trip that is obvious to the public, and he's somewhat under the radar to begin with.
Drew post 9 with that short run to the first turn. 'Brisk'(not as hard as 'hard' but harder than 'kept busy' and much harder than 'allowed to settle') ride from the gate to ensure a chance to get over. About the 3-path entering the first turn(every bit of ground loss into that turn counts @ GP.)
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I thought the same...
When I saw "Mississippi 10/1" , I thought maybe I was thinking of another horse..
I hope he flies under the radar and hits for us at a price.
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05-03-2018, 11:21 AM
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#10
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,269
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Pat Day Mile R10...gimme Pletcher and the #1 National Flag
4-1 ML is fine with me
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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05-03-2018, 12:03 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Bismarck, ND
Posts: 1,625
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I prefer the term best bet. I have bet on a lot of horses I thought were "locks" only to have them finish second or worse.
Race 5: McCracken - This horse is 4 for 5 at the track and the one miss was last year's Derby which is easily forgiven. Speed figures top the field. The only reservation is layoff since October.
Race 11: Beach Patrol - This one is head and shoulders above the rest. Chad Brown is red hot. Only reservation, like McCracken, is the layoff. Even if he misfires he is extremely likely to hit the trifecta.
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05-03-2018, 12:10 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Plano, TX
Posts: 262
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race 11
I agree with Beach Patrol but I will place modest bet on#7 Synchrony which I will include in my pick 3.
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05-03-2018, 01:31 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,118
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour
Pat Day Mile R10...gimme Pletcher and the #1 National Flag
4-1 ML is fine with me
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And here I thought that that race was one of the tougher ones. Good luck. You should get close to those odds also.
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05-03-2018, 01:35 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Bismarck, ND
Posts: 1,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour
Pat Day Mile R10...gimme Pletcher and the #1 National Flag
4-1 ML is fine with me
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The rail was red hot Wednesday, winning 6 of 10 races on the card. Today's card started off with another rail win. Crazy.
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05-03-2018, 04:05 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2015
Posts: 332
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
Man...
Like a naive countryman , I don't have any locks
*ducks rotten tomatoes*
back to the show: Mississippi JUMPS OFF THE PAGE as a value.
10/1 ML and the public is not going to account for his trip last time. I guess you can call it 'subtle' (I wouldn't call it subtle), but it's not the type of trip that is obvious to the public, and he's somewhat under the radar to begin with.
Drew post 9 with that short run to the first turn. 'Brisk'(not as hard as 'hard' but harder than 'kept busy' and much harder than 'allowed to settle') ride from the gate to ensure a chance to get over. About the 3-path entering the first turn(every bit of ground loss into that turn counts @ GP.)
He was neck and neck with Audible following the break.
As that insane pace duel developed up ahead - Combination of JV's wisdom and Audible's lazyness sent them along at a perfect approach. For reference,, Bris has them 95/105 E1 E2
- Mississippi and Leparoux did not adapt, chasing about 4 lengths ahead of Audible, and they were the first to tackle the leaders when they eventually weakened. For reference Mississippi registered 107,107 E1 E2
Done nothing so far in his career to make me feel he's a lock in a field that has REstoring Hope(had a trip of his own in the Wood, but will not be overlooked by the public), and Mask and others, but at 10/1 with that kind of value-laden trip, Mississippi seems like a vertical exotics key
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I agree with Mississippi jumping off the page. Unfortunately in my experience these types always get bet way down. You think you find a gem but everybody else sees the same thing. Hopefully, I’m wrong.
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