Top Horse Analytics: 11/24/2014 Weekly Statistics

[Augenj]

Welcome to a subset of the weekly statistics produced by Top Horse Analytics. Updated win stats will be posted here weekly for Favorites, Morning Line Favorites, Top Horse, and Conditional Top Horse* for all of the active and paused tracks we analyze.

THA Active Tracks: AQU, CD, DMR, GPW
THA Paused Tracks: SA
THA Inactive Tracks: BEL, GP, KEE, OP, SAR, TAM

Active - currently active tracks.
Paused - between meets in a logical year.
Inactive - between logical years.

* What is a Conditional Top Horse?
It is the calculated Top Horse (100.0000) joined with conditional factors (filters) such as Race Age 2, Horse Is 3YO in 3UP Race, 2nd Race After 45 Days Off, and many more. Each conditional factor is also paired with its opposite "Not" condition, such as Race Not Age 2, etc. The selected conditional factors for the Top Horse have shown the best persistent (year-to-year) ROI and have occured at least 30 times during the previous logical year.

The following statistics simulate betting $2.00 to win from the start of the current logical year to the present for all active and paused tracks.

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At AQU
Start Of Logical Year - 10/29/2014
Updated Through - 11/23/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 187
Number Of Wins - 64
Win Per Cent - 34.22
Dollars In - 374.00
Dollars Out - 285.30
ROI - 0.7628

M/L Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent - 98.40
Number Of Races - 184 *
Number Of Wins - 61
Win Per Cent - 33.15
Dollars In - 368.00
Dollars Out - 297.00
ROI - 0.8071
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At AQU
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 187
Number Of Wins - 60
Win Per Cent - 32.09
Dollars In - 374.00
Dollars Out - 340.80
ROI - 0.9112

Top Horse When Favorite At AQU
Occurs Per Cent - 57.75
Number Of Races - 108
Number Of Wins - 44
Win Per Cent - 40.74
Dollars In - 216.00
Dollars Out - 181.00
ROI - 0.8380

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At AQU
Occurs Per Cent - 64.17
Number Of Races - 120
Number Of Wins - 44
Win Per Cent - 36.67
Dollars In - 240.00
Dollars Out - 197.70
ROI - 0.8238

Conditional Top Horse At AQU
Occurs Per Cent - 17.11
Number Of Races - 32
Number Of Wins - 11
Win Per Cent - 34.38
Dollars In - 64.00
Dollars Out - 93.20
ROI - 1.4563

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At CD
Start Of Logical Year - 04/26/2014
Updated Through - 11/23/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At CD
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 685
Number Of Wins - 262
Win Per Cent - 38.25
Dollars In - 1370.00
Dollars Out - 1212.40
ROI - 0.8850

M/L Favorites At CD
Occurs Per Cent - 97.81
Number Of Races - 670 *
Number Of Wins - 224
Win Per Cent - 33.43
Dollars In - 1340.00
Dollars Out - 1071.20
ROI - 0.7994
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At CD
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 685
Number Of Wins - 186
Win Per Cent - 27.15
Dollars In - 1370.00
Dollars Out - 1029.60
ROI - 0.7515

Top Horse When Favorite At CD
Occurs Per Cent - 54.31
Number Of Races - 372
Number Of Wins - 138
Win Per Cent - 37.10
Dollars In - 744.00
Dollars Out - 596.60
ROI - 0.8019

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At CD
Occurs Per Cent - 58.10
Number Of Races - 398
Number Of Wins - 136
Win Per Cent - 34.17
Dollars In - 796.00
Dollars Out - 607.40
ROI - 0.7631

Conditional Top Horse At CD
Occurs Per Cent - 0.00
Number Of Races - 0
Number Of Wins - 0
Win Per Cent - 0.00
Dollars In - 0.00
Dollars Out - 0.00
ROI - 0.0000

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At DMR
Start Of Logical Year - 07/17/2014
Updated Through - 11/23/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At DMR
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 420
Number Of Wins - 131
Win Per Cent - 31.19
Dollars In - 840.00
Dollars Out - 699.20
ROI - 0.8324

M/L Favorites At DMR
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 420 *
Number Of Wins - 116
Win Per Cent - 27.62
Dollars In - 840.00
Dollars Out - 663.80
ROI - 0.7902
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At DMR
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 420
Number Of Wins - 99
Win Per Cent - 23.57
Dollars In - 840.00
Dollars Out - 626.40
ROI - 0.7457

Top Horse When Favorite At DMR
Occurs Per Cent - 46.90
Number Of Races - 197
Number Of Wins - 65
Win Per Cent - 32.99
Dollars In - 394.00
Dollars Out - 325.00
ROI - 0.8249

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At DMR
Occurs Per Cent - 46.43
Number Of Races - 195
Number Of Wins - 59
Win Per Cent - 30.26
Dollars In - 390.00
Dollars Out - 302.00
ROI - 0.7744

Conditional Top Horse At DMR
Occurs Per Cent - 16.19
Number Of Races - 68
Number Of Wins - 24
Win Per Cent - 35.29
Dollars In - 136.00
Dollars Out - 151.60
ROI - 1.1147

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At GPW
Start Of Logical Year - 10/08/2014
Updated Through - 11/23/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At GPW
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 390
Number Of Wins - 126
Win Per Cent - 32.31
Dollars In - 780.00
Dollars Out - 596.10
ROI - 0.7642

M/L Favorites At GPW
Occurs Per Cent - 99.49
Number Of Races - 388 *
Number Of Wins - 96
Win Per Cent - 24.74
Dollars In - 776.00
Dollars Out - 490.70
ROI - 0.6323
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At GPW
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 390
Number Of Wins - 98
Win Per Cent - 25.13
Dollars In - 780.00
Dollars Out - 643.10
ROI - 0.8245

Top Horse When Favorite At GPW
Occurs Per Cent - 51.28
Number Of Races - 200
Number Of Wins - 62
Win Per Cent - 31.00
Dollars In - 400.00
Dollars Out - 265.70
ROI - 0.6643

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At GPW
Occurs Per Cent - 49.74
Number Of Races - 194
Number Of Wins - 56
Win Per Cent - 28.87
Dollars In - 388.00
Dollars Out - 264.10
ROI - 0.6807

Conditional Top Horse At GPW
Occurs Per Cent - 15.13
Number Of Races - 59
Number Of Wins - 23
Win Per Cent - 38.98
Dollars In - 118.00
Dollars Out - 202.20
ROI - 1.7136

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At SA
Start Of Logical Year - 09/26/2014
Updated Through - 11/02/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 228
Number Of Wins - 74
Win Per Cent - 32.46
Dollars In - 456.00
Dollars Out - 363.40
ROI - 0.7969

M/L Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent - 98.25
Number Of Races - 224 *
Number Of Wins - 70
Win Per Cent - 31.25
Dollars In - 448.00
Dollars Out - 371.40
ROI - 0.8290
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 228
Number Of Wins - 58
Win Per Cent - 25.44
Dollars In - 456.00
Dollars Out - 341.20
ROI - 0.7482

Top Horse When Favorite At SA
Occurs Per Cent - 59.21
Number Of Races - 135
Number Of Wins - 46
Win Per Cent - 34.07
Dollars In - 270.00
Dollars Out - 216.60
ROI - 0.8022

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At SA
Occurs Per Cent - 56.58
Number Of Races - 129
Number Of Wins - 45
Win Per Cent - 34.88
Dollars In - 258.00
Dollars Out - 212.40
ROI - 0.8233

Conditional Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent - 5.70
Number Of Races - 13
Number Of Wins - 6
Win Per Cent - 46.15
Dollars In - 26.00
Dollars Out - 54.20
ROI - 2.0846

[saddle sore]

Didn't really get the point spreads that i was looking for....so away weeee go. .....Saints playing there 3rd straight home game losing the previous 2. I can't see them losing 3 straight home games.....Jets lost at home to Buffalo by 20 points and had 6 turnovers to do it. Buffalo losing there home game playing in Detroit cause of the weather......Take the Saints minus 3 over the Ravens.....Take the Jets plus 3 over Buffalo.....Happy Thanksgiving.

[Augenj]

Originally Posted by saddle sore

Didn't really get the point spreads that i was looking for....so away weeee go. .....Saints playing there 3rd straight home game losing the previous 2. I can't see them losing 3 straight home games.....Jets lost at home to Buffalo by 20 points and had 6 turnovers to do it. Buffalo losing there home game playing in Detroit cause of the weather......Take the Saints minus 3 over the Ravens.....Take the Jets plus 3 over Buffalo.....Happy Thanksgiving.

Good luck and have a Happy Thanksgiving.

[saddle sore]

Aug i,m waiving the flag.....5-4 will make me even....How the Ryan,s are ever coaching is beyond me. They both should of been fired longtime ago....I look at 2 play's in the Saints game....The 4th and one and the goal line on a silly run play up the middle that was stuffed from the get go...and Drew Brees only bad pass of the night that was a pick 6.........As for the Jets they need to clean house....Maybe i should send them my resume....Night...