Changing over from Del Mar to the turf course at Kentucky Downs a major change of handicapping for the day. I'm going to bet $10 to Win on my top play and roll the pick 3's for $.50 increments. The picks:
Race -`1 The
Trainer Hiles hitting at 29% after the win last out. Owns a win and a 3rd over this course and has the highest Bris number at this distance of the field. PICK 3 RUNNERS (12-9-7-3)
Race -2 The
1st time starter from the Kenneally barn hitting at 13% with debut runners and 18% with debut turf runners. 335k 2 year old purchase looks to have some talent here. PICK 3 RUNNERS (6-14-9-3)
Race -3 The
Big scratch of the 4 in here leaves this Ward runner as strictly the one to beat. Cut back to a sprint and Ward always dangerous off the layoff. PICK 3 RUNNERS (3-2)
Race -4 The
3rd off the layoff for Mott hitting at 14% with the angle. Little trouble out of the gate hurt chances in last 2. A clean start and 6-1 on the ML gets this one home. PICK 3 RUNNERS (1-2-6-4)
Race -5 The
Draws in off the AE for Mott after an even run last out at Saratoga. Has the speed to lay close to the pace in here but not need the lead to win. 8-1 feels right. PICK 3 RUNNERS (15-10-6)
Race -6 The
Drops in off the G1 attempt last out at Saratoga. Will appreciate the relief for sure. Been working well for Shug hitting at 20% off the layoff. May be the best bet on the card. PICK 3 RUNNERS (4-8)
Race -7 The
Owns the high last out Bris figure of the group for Ward. Improving with every effort and a bullet work over at Saratoga for the 2nd start off the bench. Solid gate jock up for the ride. 9-2 on the ML seals the deal. PICK 3 RUNNERS (9-8-3-1)
Race -8 The
. 2nd off the layoff for Ward off a troubled trip in the G2 up at Woodbine last out. Race 2 back at Woody wins this. We'll take 5-1 on the line here. PICK 3 RUNNERS (1-5-3-7)
Race -9 The
Looked visually impressive in the maiden breaker 1st out on the green. Going 5 deep in the pick 3 here in what appears to be a wide open affair. PICK 3 RUNNERS (9-10-4-7-8)
Race -10 The
. Bred to run all day and picks an interesting place for the turf debut. Assmussen takes the blinkers off for a solid 25% trainer angle. I'll take 7-2 in the get out race today. PICK 3 RUNNERS (10-7-6)
Total Win Wagers -$100
Total PICK 3 Wagers -$154
Good Luck Today
KidCapper