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04-02-2016, 02:01 PM
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#16
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 1,692
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Just going to watch. Nyquist won three G1, the one to beat.
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04-02-2016, 04:57 PM
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#17
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
2 monsters face off here. While Mohaymen looks a bit better, I believe they may be close enough in talent to trade wins over a series of races.
I think that the post draw plays a role.
 Mohaymen is piloted by the Wizard-of-one-turn,- Junior Alvarado, who may be forced to adopt the wait-n-wide approach (asking for tactical position from the gate is very risky here in terms of potential wasted energy).
Mohaymen's huge middle-moves aren't going to be as easy in a 9F race with a good pace.
I don't have any questions about  Nyquist's stamina. I think he saves a couple lengths ground/energy and gets 1st meaningful run (perhaps behind a faltering wrong-lead Jorge Navarro miracle claimer?). |
Win= Nyquist (Mohaymen may well eat him up in the stretch, but these both appear to be Grade 1 horses and Nyquist may have a few lengths advantage today from post and race shape).
Longshots:
 Chovanes = Hit-or-miss type with a good price. Only longshot with a chance to win outright. He'd have to change leads. Dangerous to hit the board in a speed favoring race. Most likely fails to change leads and falters badly in stretch.
 Fellowship = Obvious underneath type, draws a good post, excellent chance to save ground and run a legit 3rd. Needs help to run 2nd and needs a lot of help to win.
 Majesto = Allowance type, figures to get a great trip, Castellano will ride him like he rides a Pletcher favorite, only this time he'll be trying for a smooth, strong 3rd. Needs help to finish better than 3rd.
most likely = / /
'Bomb' = / /
my bet =
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Last edited by Robert Fischer; 04-02-2016 at 05:01 PM.
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04-02-2016, 05:06 PM
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#18
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 1,501
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
Chovanes = Hit-or-miss type with a good price. Only longshot with a chance to win outright.
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seriously...."only longshot w/ a chance to win"
you can't be serious and don't actually believe this....
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04-02-2016, 05:10 PM
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#19
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 1,501
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20 triples
49/49/7
10 triples
49/49/13
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04-02-2016, 05:17 PM
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#20
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 756
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by boys at tosconova
20 triples
49/49/7
10 triples
49/49/13
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The 1 is kind of interesting but I think his last race was more of a show of his affinity for poly rather than talent. I don't see him improving much but he wouldn't have to to hit the board here. Still like others better.
__________________
Devil His Due (Lasix, Bute free in 40 of 41 starts)
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04-02-2016, 05:19 PM
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#21
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by boys at tosconova
seriously...."only longshot w/ a chance to win outright"
you can't be serious and don't actually believe this....
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Yes I do.
None of the horses other than Chovanes has any chance if and/or runs their typical race and doesn't face catastrophic trouble.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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04-02-2016, 05:22 PM
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#22
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$2 Showbettor
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: The Villages
Posts: 2,578
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Because of the $1 mil bonus, Nyquist wants this more. High 5:
4 / 9 / 2,3,7 / 2,3,7,10 / 2,3,7,10
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04-02-2016, 05:36 PM
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#23
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 1,753
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They have a triple your wager payout on Nyquist & Mohaymen for the KD.
If you bet either or both today in the Fla derby & it wins, & then goes on to win the KD, you get triple the odds.
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04-02-2016, 05:56 PM
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#24
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Registered user
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: FALIRIKON DELTA
Posts: 4,439
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__________________
whereof one cannot speak thereof one must be silent
Ludwig Wittgenstein
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04-02-2016, 06:09 PM
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#25
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,827
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Best East - West match up since Sunday Silence and Easy Goer! Great for racing, but by my eye you got to go with WEST!
__________________
Every time you are tempted to react in the same old way, ask if you want to be a prisoner of the past or a pioneer of the future.
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04-02-2016, 06:32 PM
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#26
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,861
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East. Not a shadow of doubt about it.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Last edited by Tom; 04-02-2016 at 06:34 PM.
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04-02-2016, 06:48 PM
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#27
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: Bakersfield, CA
Posts: 1,791
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Bombs away with the and the 
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04-02-2016, 06:52 PM
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#28
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: donkeys ride from ASD
Posts: 13,002
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04-02-2016, 06:52 PM
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#29
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Cincinnati,Ohio
Posts: 5,289
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Wow what a card. I haven't made a wager since the 8th race! And that's it for this one. Hit the 6th with plus exacta and that's all folks! The race here is entertainment enough 
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04-02-2016, 07:00 PM
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#30
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 1,753
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Nyquist looks spectacular!!! Blew Mohaymen away!!!
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