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09-21-2019, 05:21 PM
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#31
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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Larry Jones...
Street Band has really matured. This was a horse who I once felt was a non-contender in the division.
(also thought she was an underlay and non-contender today. Wrong.)
She had a little bit of an odd trip today, and it may have actually worked in her favor, and  Guarana failed again to live up to her hype, but it was a solid win.
Can't argue with $1M purse... forget time or speed figs.. $$$
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-21-2019, 05:23 PM
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#32
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
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Quote:
Originally Posted by clicknow
Horologist ran 3rd.  |
I had the 8-3/6 tri 10x....not meant to be i guess.
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09-21-2019, 05:30 PM
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#33
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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PA Derby
looks like the odds for
 IMPROBABLE
and
 MR. MONEY
will be much closer than I had expected.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-21-2019, 05:30 PM
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#34
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2017
Posts: 3,641
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GMB@BP
I had the 8-3/6 tri 10x....not meant to be i guess.
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SO CLOSE! I hate those kinda burns.
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09-21-2019, 05:38 PM
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#35
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: Baystater
Posts: 3,495
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PA derby. Improbable is going to be tough. win
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09-21-2019, 05:39 PM
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#36
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2017
Posts: 3,641
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
looks like the odds for
IMPROBABLE
and
MR. MONEY
will be much closer than I had expected. |
I think War of Will puts on his glue-ons, and takes this.
Again, looks too chalky to bother with putting together a ticket, unless you believe some big longshot will win or place. I REALLY can't take Mr. Money at those odds.
With Paco aboard, the only big value is Spun To Run, if you like the Hard Spuns, which I do. Local horse, never run out of the money, albeit not against this class, but there are things to like over 6/5 chalk
Last edited by clicknow; 09-21-2019 at 05:47 PM.
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09-21-2019, 05:42 PM
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#37
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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this would be 'prime big bet' situation if I had expected to vie for favoritism...
here we have a 3/5 shot in Improbable, and he's going to go off around even-money, maybe even better.
He's much, much, much the best... The 6 is supposed to be a nice fan horse and the 2nd choice with the field being depleted,...
Time to UNLOAD on the , right?
but when I did not expect and can't explain why a horse is either not taking enough money, or another horse is taking competitive money, I can't bet with a confidence that my opinion of the race is accurate.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
looks like the odds for
IMPROBABLE
and
MR. MONEY
will be much closer than I had expected. |
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Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-21-2019, 05:45 PM
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#38
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: pa.
Posts: 477
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PA DERBY
EX 2-5-6
TRI 2-5-6
SUPER 2-4-5-6
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09-21-2019, 05:46 PM
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#39
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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09-21-2019, 05:46 PM
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#40
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2017
Posts: 3,641
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
Improbable, and he's going to go off around even-money, maybe even better.
He's much, much, much the best...
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Last time Improbable got the job done in a G1 was back in 2018. He couldn't even get it done in a G2.
Horse is vastly overrated. I used to like him a lot though. I'm sure Baffert will have him ready.
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09-21-2019, 05:50 PM
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#41
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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trouble/randomness aside I can't see Improbable losing this
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Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-21-2019, 05:53 PM
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#42
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2017
Posts: 3,641
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Used math wizard on my superfecta....in 4th.  Those come from behind horses are rockin' in last 2 races.
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09-21-2019, 05:55 PM
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#43
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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Irad with a patient ride and perfect trip on the bomb.
And the 3YO division gets even muddier. 
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09-21-2019, 05:56 PM
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#44
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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Quote:
Originally Posted by clicknow
Last time Improbable got the job done in a G1 was back in 2018. He couldn't even get it done in a G2.
Horse is vastly overrated. I used to like him a lot though. I'm sure Baffert will have him ready.
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I've always felt he was pretty good, but that's fair 
I didn't learn much today. Reared in the gate, then tossed his head at the break and was taken out of his game.
However, he showed absolutely no 'life' today.
Did run the best in this disappointing addition.
 was fortunate to capitalize, but hats off to them,..
$1M and it's called a 'G1' in the books
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Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-21-2019, 05:58 PM
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#45
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2017
Posts: 3,641
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
trouble/randomness aside I can't see Improbable losing this
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This clinches his record........One G1 win back in 2018 @ 1-1/16th.
I was going to say before that IF this race was 1-1/16th or shorter, I would have used him. This horse is all Baffert hype --- if was any other horse with this kind of record .... his distance is not 1-1/8 or longer I don't think.
Your description of the head tossing, etc. he was not into the race. so I'lll give you that.
As for WoW, he's not dependable and very inconsistent.
Last edited by clicknow; 09-21-2019 at 06:02 PM.
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Spun to Run