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Old 03-10-2018, 06:29 PM   #16
Tom
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I liked the on his TF rating last race, but the 5 horses at Q6 took me off him.
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Old 03-10-2018, 06:50 PM   #17
Afleet
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Gotham S.
1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds | G3 STAKES | PURSE: $300,000

Mostly Sunny Precip: 3% High: 45°F | Low: 31°F

Should be a fast track

1 ML 10-1 Dial Operator
2 ML 30-1 Cove Blue
3 ML 8-1 Beautiful Shot
4 ML 15-1 Whereshetoldmetogo
5 ML 5-2 Firenze Fire
6 ML 9-5 Free Drop Billy
7 ML 15-1 Old Time Revival
8 ML 30-1 Nine Route
9 ML 7-2 Enticed

Semi-interesting race. Free Drop exits that super fast Holy Bull won by Audible in 1:41.4. What did the Fountain of Youth go in-1:44 and change or thereabouts.
Romans other horse, Cove Blue, a rabbit for Free Drop Billy? Free Drop Billy crushed Enticed in the Holy Bull. Cove Blue has speed which gives him a shot. Firenze Fire on the turn back in distance. Unbeaten Dial Operator gets the class test. Only horses to finish in front of Beautiful Shot are Mourinho and Grevitos-both stakes winners. Old Time Revival ran a bang up 2nd in the Miracle Wood@LRL at todays distance. Going w/Enticed; cashed a few tickets on his dam back in the day and she won stakes races at AQU. Hopefully her son likes AQU as well.

Who do you like?
Enticed was the easiest of winners. Geared down at the wire . Not sure about 1 1/4
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Old 03-10-2018, 08:51 PM   #18
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Interesting that Tiz Mischief was a no-show at Tampa Bay, but Enticed wins easily at Aqueduct.

Yet, Free Drop Billy was in the Aqueduct race and he was well ahead of Enticed and Tiz Mischief at Gulfstream.
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Old 03-10-2018, 11:55 PM   #19
PowerUpPaynter
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Anyone who needs a soft spot might as well ship in for the Wood Memorial. The Gotham was a joke.
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Old 03-11-2018, 12:10 AM   #20
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Anyone who needs a soft spot might as well ship in for the Wood Memorial. The Gotham was a joke.
For a while, anybody with a serious KD contender has come from races out of Santa, Arkansas, or Florida.

IF a horse you like doesn't land there at some point in time, and seriously contend and/or win, then find another.
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Old 03-11-2018, 12:31 AM   #21
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For a while, anybody with a serious KD contender has come from races out of Santa, Arkansas, or Florida.

IF a horse you like doesn't land there at some point in time, and seriously contend and/or win, then find another.
This. And for some reason if the horse runs in the FL Derby but fails to win it then the horse also fails to win in KY. Santa Anita horses winning the Derby tend to finish the SA Derby in sub 1:48 times. Arkansas Derby to KY winners are less common. There have been six in the last 40 years. Smarty Jones hot the hat trick at OP. American Pharoah was there so Baffert could spit him and Dortmund. Super Saver was nosed after shipping from Tampa. Another goofy stat: It's been all Raise A Native on top or Buckpasser-x Derby winners in recent years. Nyquist, Chrome, and Orb were Buckpasser-x. Always Dreaming, American Pharoah, and I'll Have Another were Raise A Native.
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